玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/112.53-7.0540.525.2310.317.31N/A-
2024/102.7231.8219.5222.77.737.02N/A-
2024/92.06-7.77-6.7819.996.346.880.82-
2024/82.24-13.3313.7217.928.096.820.82-
2024/72.5829.0114.5215.697.336.790.83-
2024/62.0-9.26-2.0513.095.927.040.9-
2024/52.21-22.0613.9111.097.57.720.82-
2024/42.835.535.918.896.026.860.92-
2024/32.6898.47-7.146.06-3.766.060.99-
2024/21.35-33.38-34.483.38-0.95.671.06-
2024/12.03-11.4150.482.0350.486.120.99本月營收較去年同期增加50.48%,主係受春節假期影響(今年春節為2月份去年為1月份)
2023/122.2927.26-9.6125.16-17.376.370.87-
2023/111.8-20.93-28.522.87-18.076.290.88-
2023/102.282.82.0321.07-17.046.460.86-
2023/92.2112.52-15.8818.98-18.16.440.94-
2023/81.97-12.72-8.7216.58-19.266.260.97-
2023/72.2510.756.1714.61-20.56.230.97-
2023/62.045.12-20.1712.35-24.036.051.19-
2023/51.94-7.01-36.8210.32-24.746.911.04-
2023/42.08-28.11-27.298.38-21.277.041.02-
2023/32.940.4-22.926.31-18.956.311.19-
2023/22.0653.0112.843.41-15.245.941.27-
2023/11.35-46.78-38.621.35-38.626.41.18-
2022/122.530.66-13.0230.4510.17.281.03-
2022/112.5212.8411.9227.9212.837.361.02-
2022/102.23-14.74-13.2825.412.927.01.07-
2022/92.6221.3841.5423.1516.226.891.03-
2022/82.161.5149.020.5413.636.821.05-
2022/72.12-16.564.8318.3810.567.730.92-
2022/62.54-16.9711.3516.2611.328.470.92-
2022/53.067.0121.9813.7111.319.680.81-
2022/42.86-23.7128.8710.658.588.450.92-
2022/33.75105.369.417.782.587.780.84-
2022/21.83-16.77-1.794.02-3.056.940.94-
2022/12.2-24.68-4.082.2-4.087.360.89-
2021/122.9229.7-9.0427.663.87.741.04-
2021/112.25-12.58-4.0124.745.566.661.21-
2021/102.5739.725.6422.496.635.861.37-
2021/91.8427.27-19.3319.916.725.311.3-
2021/81.45-28.57-33.1118.0710.355.741.21-
2021/72.03-10.75-14.1116.6316.966.811.02-
2021/62.27-9.6717.5614.5923.017.01.02-
2021/52.5113.0564.2912.3224.078.160.885月較去年增加,因去年自4月起受COVID-19影響各國陸續停工,影響公司出貨。今年疫情控制得宜,出貨量增加。
2021/42.22-35.173.599.816.747.510.954月較去年增加,係為去年4月受COVID-19影響各國陸續停工,影響公司4月出貨。今年因疫情控制下,景氣逐漸復甦。
2021/33.4283.9440.797.586.427.580.81-
2021/21.86-18.71-34.64.15-11.417.360.84-
2021/12.29-28.6324.452.2924.457.840.79-
2020/123.2136.9716.7626.65-11.797.990.68-
2020/112.34-3.78-3.3223.44-14.657.070.77-
2020/102.436.21-13.2321.09-15.756.890.79-
2020/92.295.99-6.8218.67-16.026.810.86-
2020/82.16-8.27-21.8816.38-17.176.420.91-
2020/72.3624.13-17.6514.22-16.45.791.01-
2020/61.924.21-18.6411.83-16.364.711.4-
2020/51.5319.45-41.39.93-15.915.241.25-
2020/41.28-47.3-51.978.4-8.736.561.0本月份營收較去年同期減少 51.98%,係受COVID-19疫情影響各國陸續停工,連帶影響本公司4月份出貨,造成營收下降。
2020/32.43-14.65-2.117.128.867.120.88-
2020/22.8554.6886.364.6915.587.440.85本月營收較去年同期增加86.37%,主係受春節假期影響(今年為1月份去年為2月份)及武漢肺炎疫情,中國部分訂單轉單所致。
2020/11.84-33.14-27.181.84-27.180.0N/A-
2019/122.7513.5617.4930.224.110.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.032023/11.352022/12.22021/12.292020/11.84
2024/21.352023/22.062022/21.832021/21.862020/22.85
2024/32.682023/32.92022/33.752021/33.422020/32.43
2024/42.832023/42.082022/42.862021/42.222020/41.28
2024/52.212023/51.942022/53.062021/52.512020/51.53
2024/62.02023/62.042022/62.542021/62.272020/61.9
2024/72.582023/72.252022/72.122021/72.032020/72.36
2024/82.242023/81.972022/82.162021/81.452020/82.16
2024/92.062023/92.212022/92.622021/91.842020/92.29
2024/102.722023/102.282022/102.232021/102.572020/102.43
2024/112.532023/111.82022/112.522021/112.252020/112.34
N/AN/A2023/122.292022/122.532021/122.922020/123.21
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.51%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.08-11.1133.33
24Q2 (19)0.09-10.050.0
24Q1 (18)0.111.11100.0
23Q4 (17)0.0950.080.0
23Q3 (16)0.060.0100.0
23Q2 (15)0.0620.020.0
23Q1 (14)0.050.066.67
22Q4 (13)0.0566.6725.0
22Q3 (12)0.03-40.0-62.5
22Q2 (11)0.0566.670.0
22Q1 (10)0.03-25.0-70.0
21Q4 (9)0.04-50.0-60.0
21Q3 (8)0.0860.0-38.46
21Q2 (7)0.05-50.0-16.67
21Q1 (6)0.10.00.0
20Q4 (5)0.1-23.0842.86
20Q3 (4)0.13116.670.0
20Q2 (3)0.06-40.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.142.860.0
19Q4 (1)0.070.00.0

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