玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1112.28-20.84-10.28159.7-11.9341.15N/A-
2024/1015.5116.19-11.3147.42-12.0745.27N/A-
2024/913.35-18.59-9.62131.91-12.1646.321.16-
2024/816.4-0.983.15118.56-12.4346.311.16-
2024/716.5724.1812.9102.15-14.5146.111.17-
2024/613.34-17.66-19.4985.59-18.3543.331.48-
2024/516.217.45-7.9972.25-18.1345.091.43-
2024/413.79-8.64-14.3956.05-20.6641.51.55-
2024/315.119.76-26.5242.25-22.5142.251.43-
2024/212.61-13.34-37.1627.16-20.0940.261.5-
2024/114.5511.054.514.554.541.331.46-
2023/1213.1-4.29-27.94194.45-11.4844.281.3-
2023/1113.69-21.74-23.38181.35-9.9945.951.25-
2023/1017.4918.38-6.51167.67-8.6948.171.19-
2023/914.77-7.09-16.05150.18-8.9445.351.15-
2023/815.98.37-1.54135.4-8.0947.141.11-
2023/714.67-11.44-15.06119.5-8.948.851.07-
2023/616.57-5.9-11.15104.83-7.9650.291.13-
2023/517.619.28-10.5588.26-7.3454.271.05-
2023/416.11-21.58-8.7370.65-6.556.731.0-
2023/320.552.42-0.2754.53-5.8354.531.13-
2023/220.0644.123.1133.98-8.952.161.18-
2023/113.92-23.42-22.013.92-22.049.971.23-
2022/1218.181.76-3.78219.688.7854.751.08-
2022/1117.87-4.52.52201.510.0854.171.09-
2022/1018.716.321.51183.6410.8852.461.13-
2022/917.68.9542.65164.939.7951.031.42-
2022/816.15-6.4914.17147.336.8552.081.39-
2022/717.27-7.370.35131.186.0155.611.3-
2022/618.65-5.261.65113.96.9355.991.21-
2022/519.6911.5123.6295.258.0257.951.17-
2022/417.65-14.32-6.6775.564.5857.721.17-
2022/320.615.9-5.3157.918.5857.911.0-
2022/219.469.0135.5137.318.1656.21.03-
2022/117.85-5.543.6917.853.6954.171.07-
2021/1218.98.436.04201.9414.5551.721.09-
2021/1117.4213.176.67183.0415.545.161.25-
2021/1015.424.8-4.65165.6116.5241.881.35-
2021/912.34-12.79-13.01150.2219.2343.71.52-
2021/814.15-17.8114.94137.8823.3249.711.34-
2021/717.21-6.1727.64123.7324.3651.491.29-
2021/618.3515.1935.61106.5223.8553.190.98-
2021/515.93-15.8135.788.1721.6556.610.92-
2021/418.92-13.0682.5372.2518.9455.040.95109年度同期月份 正值疫情最嚴峻 政府力推各項振興紓困措施之際 營收較正常情況驟減 基期較低 110年度則已逐漸復甦所致
2021/321.7651.5727.6553.335.8653.330.87-
2021/214.36-16.58-27.4431.57-5.2849.390.94-
2021/117.21-3.427.0917.2127.0951.360.9-
2020/1217.829.07-4.07176.28-23.1850.30.76-
2020/1116.331.15-7.63158.46-24.8746.670.82-
2020/1016.1513.85-19.71142.13-26.4442.640.9-
2020/914.1815.22-13.9125.98-27.2239.981.1-
2020/812.31-8.72-34.39111.8-28.6339.321.12-
2020/713.49-0.31-37.8299.49-27.8438.751.14-
2020/613.5315.27-27.2786.01-25.9835.631.34-
2020/511.7413.23-41.9772.48-25.7339.151.22-
2020/410.36-39.2-47.4460.74-21.4947.21.01-
2020/317.05-13.85-23.1250.38-12.6150.380.91-
2020/219.7946.1330.7433.33-6.0551.910.88-
2020/113.54-27.09-33.4313.54-33.430.0N/A-
2019/1218.575.02-1.71229.5-8.00.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/114.552023/113.922022/117.852021/117.212020/113.54
2024/212.612023/220.062022/219.462021/214.362020/219.79
2024/315.12023/320.552022/320.612021/321.762020/317.05
2024/413.792023/416.112022/417.652021/418.922020/410.36
2024/516.22023/517.612022/519.692021/515.932020/511.74
2024/613.342023/616.572022/618.652021/618.352020/613.53
2024/716.572023/714.672022/717.272021/717.212020/713.49
2024/816.42023/815.92022/816.152021/814.152020/812.31
2024/913.352023/914.772022/917.62021/912.342020/914.18
2024/1015.512023/1017.492022/1018.712021/1015.42020/1016.15
2024/1112.282023/1113.692022/1117.872021/1117.422020/1116.33
N/AN/A2023/1213.12022/1218.182021/1218.92020/1217.82
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.5%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.49-13.54-28.24
24Q2 (19)2.88-9.72-49.3
24Q1 (18)3.1941.78-48.71
23Q4 (17)2.25-35.16-25.74
23Q3 (16)3.47-38.91-17.58
23Q2 (15)5.68-8.6810.72
23Q1 (14)6.22105.28-10.25
22Q4 (13)3.03-28.03-51.13
22Q3 (12)4.21-17.93-37.63
22Q2 (11)5.13-25.97-12.46
22Q1 (10)6.9311.778.96
21Q4 (9)6.2-8.1532.48
21Q3 (8)6.7515.19136.01
21Q2 (7)5.86-7.8677.04
21Q1 (6)6.3635.985.96
20Q4 (5)4.6863.6445.79
20Q3 (4)2.86-13.60.0
20Q2 (3)3.31-3.220.0
20Q1 (2)3.426.540.0
19Q4 (1)3.210.00.0

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