玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/116.68-12.2624.5875.42-1.121.4N/A-
2024/107.617.0442.0968.74-3.0421.65N/A-
2024/97.112.544.0661.13-6.7320.381.67-
2024/86.939.44-7.0254.02-7.9819.231.77-
2024/76.336.26-3.1547.09-8.1219.131.78-
2024/65.96-12.71-13.0340.75-8.8520.031.62-
2024/56.83-5.61-16.3234.79-8.122.331.46-
2024/47.24-12.41.3627.96-5.8420.71.57-
2024/38.2658.7-3.0220.73-8.1220.731.54-
2024/25.21-28.29-24.6812.46-11.2117.71.81-
2024/17.2638.661.847.261.8417.851.79-
2023/125.23-2.31-19.6981.49-33.415.952.08-
2023/115.360.06-34.6576.26-34.1717.551.89-
2023/105.36-21.6-37.2770.9-34.1319.641.69-
2023/96.83-8.38-35.3665.54-33.8620.831.53-
2023/87.4614.0-32.8258.71-33.6820.851.53-
2023/76.54-4.57-41.8251.25-33.8121.561.48-
2023/66.85-16.02-40.8544.71-32.4522.161.46-
2023/58.1614.34-26.5737.86-30.6723.821.36-
2023/47.14-16.2-50.7229.7-31.7122.571.44去年因海運延誤到港致111年4月大幅認列營收。
2023/38.5223.25-18.0622.56-22.2222.561.54-
2023/26.91-3.02-14.9714.04-24.5420.561.69-
2023/17.139.33-31.977.13-31.9721.851.59-
2022/126.52-20.5-47.57122.3612.4823.261.69-
2022/118.2-3.94-6.21115.8520.2327.311.44-
2022/108.54-19.22-4.22107.6422.8730.211.3-
2022/910.57-4.789.4899.1125.9432.911.32-
2022/811.1-1.269.0988.5428.2533.931.28-
2022/711.24-2.993.7877.4431.5633.951.28-
2022/611.594.2618.3966.237.8337.191.3-
2022/511.12-23.2730.8654.6142.8136.01.34-
2022/414.4939.3587.7143.4946.2333.011.47因海運延誤本月聚酯粒到港大幅認列營收。
2022/310.427.927.1829.031.6929.01.62-
2022/28.13-22.4228.0218.6134.3531.041.51-
2022/110.48-15.7339.710.4839.731.661.48-
2021/1212.4442.253.31108.7829.9130.091.32因原料成本上漲推升售價大幅提高所致。
2021/118.74-1.911.1796.3527.427.311.46-
2021/108.91-7.6624.9387.629.2828.741.39-
2021/99.65-5.1247.8578.6929.7930.660.98-
2021/810.18-6.0746.0569.0327.6130.80.97-
2021/710.8310.6680.1258.8624.8929.121.03去年同期受新型冠狀病毒疫情影響以致於營收衰退,今年營運逐漸恢復正常。
2021/69.7915.2465.6548.0316.8126.00.97去年同期受新型冠狀病毒疫情影響以致於營收衰退,今年營運逐漸恢復正常。
2021/58.4910.0583.4138.248.6124.391.04去年同期受新型冠狀病毒疫情影響以致於營收衰退,今年營運逐漸恢復正常。
2021/47.72-5.5725.7829.74-2.7222.241.13-
2021/38.1728.74-7.9522.02-9.8722.021.01-
2021/26.35-15.34-21.6813.85-10.9721.961.01-
2021/17.5-7.530.677.50.6723.480.95-
2020/128.113.12-16.3983.74-30.2623.110.89-
2020/117.8710.242.1575.62-31.4821.530.95-
2020/107.149.27-26.667.76-34.020.631.0-
2020/96.53-6.27-34.0660.62-34.7819.510.98-
2020/86.9715.83-34.3154.09-34.8718.891.01-
2020/76.011.77-39.0847.13-34.9516.561.16-
2020/65.9127.59-33.2641.11-34.2916.681.23-
2020/54.63-24.51-60.2335.2-34.4619.651.04受新型冠狀病毒疫情影響加工絲及聚酯粒銷量較去年同期減少,以及原料價格下跌,銷售單價下降。
2020/46.14-30.9-39.8630.57-27.3323.120.89-
2020/38.889.53-20.2924.44-23.3224.440.97-
2020/28.118.82-8.6615.56-24.9525.260.94-
2020/17.45-23.21-37.147.45-37.140.0N/A-
2019/129.726.0-12.33120.08-6.780.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/17.262023/17.132022/110.482021/17.52020/17.45
2024/25.212023/26.912022/28.132021/26.352020/28.11
2024/38.262023/38.522022/310.42021/38.172020/38.88
2024/47.242023/47.142022/414.492021/47.722020/46.14
2024/56.832023/58.162022/511.122021/58.492020/54.63
2024/65.962023/66.852022/611.592021/69.792020/65.91
2024/76.332023/76.542022/711.242021/710.832020/76.01
2024/86.932023/87.462022/811.12021/810.182020/86.97
2024/97.112023/96.832022/910.572021/99.652020/96.53
2024/107.612023/105.362022/108.542021/108.912020/107.14
2024/116.682023/115.362022/118.22021/118.742020/117.87
N/AN/A2023/125.232022/126.522021/1212.442020/128.11
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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