玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1123.39-42.485.84319.3816.6482.97N/A-
2024/1040.66114.8154.71295.9917.5989.4N/A因廠商一次性大量交貨,本公司於本月同步銷售予客戶,以及船期影響,致使同期營收增幅較大。
2024/918.93-36.5242.44255.3313.2672.550.43-
2024/829.8225.2653.83236.411.4377.880.4去年同期因部份交易船期提前於前一月份抵達,故而去年同期之營收較低。
2024/723.81-1.85-26.11206.587.1784.850.37-
2024/624.25-34.07-34.42182.7813.8590.00.34-
2024/536.7927.0834.78158.5328.392.40.34-
2024/428.958.63154.07121.7326.4674.530.42主係去年同期因船期延誤致營收較低,而本期又因客戶訂單增加,致使同期營收增幅較大。
2024/326.6540.79-14.2392.789.3292.780.28-
2024/218.93-59.89-11.2366.1322.9489.020.29-
2024/147.2106.1945.447.245.492.180.28-
2023/1222.893.63.48296.74.0971.260.35-
2023/1122.09-15.921.15273.814.1561.660.41-
2023/1026.2897.77-3.44251.714.4258.950.43-
2023/913.29-31.44-4.86225.435.4264.890.5-
2023/819.38-39.84-28.72212.156.1488.590.37-
2023/732.22-12.882.03192.7611.6396.510.34-
2023/636.9935.4923.35160.5413.7875.680.36-
2023/527.3139.55-8.95123.5611.1969.770.39-
2023/411.4-63.32-34.8696.2618.6463.80.43-
2023/331.0845.714.2184.8633.3684.860.32-
2023/221.33-34.317.653.7959.0775.910.36因子公司去年底船期延遲至今年初到貨使得本年貿易量增加。
2023/132.4646.75107.0332.46107.0376.420.36因子公司船期延遲至本月到貨使得本月貿易量增加。
2022/1222.121.2611.05285.0117.5171.180.46-
2022/1121.84-19.74-8.08262.8918.0963.020.52-
2022/1027.2294.8618.94241.0521.2268.380.48-
2022/913.97-48.64-10.57213.8421.5272.740.5-
2022/827.19-13.8837.29199.8724.6588.760.41-
2022/731.585.3154.3172.6822.8691.550.4本月子公司因受原物料價格上漲及貿易量增加之影響,故營收增加。
2022/629.980.053.32141.117.577.470.53本月子公司因受原物料價格上漲及貿易量增加之影響,故營收增加。
2022/529.9871.3732.48111.1110.5477.30.53-
2022/417.5-41.32-8.481.134.1665.450.63-
2022/329.8264.4329.7263.638.2463.630.56-
2022/218.1315.66-3.3333.81-5.5453.730.66-
2022/115.68-21.27-7.9815.68-7.9859.360.6-
2021/1219.92-16.1938.56242.5278.8566.560.47本年累計增加係因子公司貿易營收增加。
2021/1123.763.8636.84222.6183.6362.260.51本年累計增加係因子公司貿易營收增加。
2021/1022.8846.4921.67198.8491.4658.310.54本年累計增加係因子公司貿易營收增加
2021/915.62-21.14-20.83175.96106.8955.890.59本年累計增加係因子公司貿易營收增加
2021/819.81-3.21106.23160.34145.4659.830.55因子公司貿易營收增加
2021/720.464.64228.53140.54152.2262.650.52因新增子公司貿易營收
2021/619.56-13.59167.44120.07142.6261.290.43因新增子公司貿易營收
2021/522.6318.48235.55100.52138.3164.720.4因新增子公司貿易營收
2021/419.1-16.89192.6477.89119.860.850.43因新增子公司貿易營收
2021/322.9922.53137.5858.78103.3658.780.4因新增子公司貿易營收
2021/218.7610.179.8335.886.1450.170.46因新增子公司貿易營收
2021/117.0418.5393.6217.0493.6248.780.48因新增子公司貿易營收
2020/1214.37-17.2222.35135.59-6.9950.540.41-
2020/1117.37-7.6580.04121.22-9.5655.90.37因新增子公司貿易營收
2020/1018.8-4.6864.43103.86-16.5148.140.43因新增子公司貿易營收
2020/919.73105.4174.2885.05-24.7135.560.62因新增子公司貿易營收
2020/89.654.18-10.6165.32-35.7323.150.96-
2020/76.23-14.81-53.2455.72-38.720.291.09受新型冠狀病毒疫情影響尼龍粒銷量較去年同期減少,且銷售單價下降。
2020/67.318.41-32.6749.49-36.220.581.17-
2020/56.743.33-52.6242.18-36.7822.951.05受新冠病毒疫情影響尼龍粒銷量較去年同期衰退,銷售單價減少所致。
2020/46.53-32.53-54.1235.43-32.4826.630.9受新冠狀病毒疫情影響尼龍粒銷量較去年同期減少,銷售單價下降。
2020/39.67-7.25-31.8528.91-24.4328.910.95-
2020/210.4318.54-8.7619.23-20.0530.980.89-
2020/18.8-25.08-30.288.8-30.280.0N/A-
2019/1211.7521.7916.82145.79-17.150.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/147.22023/132.462022/115.682021/117.042020/18.8
2024/218.932023/221.332022/218.132021/218.762020/210.43
2024/326.652023/331.082022/329.822021/322.992020/39.67
2024/428.952023/411.42022/417.52021/419.12020/46.53
2024/536.792023/527.32022/529.982021/522.632020/56.74
2024/624.252023/636.992022/629.982021/619.562020/67.31
2024/723.812023/732.222022/731.582021/720.462020/76.23
2024/829.822023/819.382022/827.192021/819.812020/89.6
2024/918.932023/913.292022/913.972021/915.622020/919.73
2024/1040.662023/1026.282022/1027.222021/1022.882020/1018.8
2024/1123.392023/1122.092022/1121.842021/1123.762020/1117.37
N/AN/A2023/1222.892022/1222.122021/1219.922020/1214.37
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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