玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.14-18.15-3.6313.464.64.01N/A-
2024/91.39-6.58-0.0912.335.434.161.12-
2024/81.4815.192.6410.946.174.11.13-
2024/71.29-3.061.759.466.754.071.14-
2024/61.33-8.369.648.177.584.271.16-
2024/51.45-2.33-6.36.847.194.51.1-
2024/41.49-4.7224.655.3911.514.141.2-
2024/31.5641.892.663.97.213.91.24-
2024/21.1-11.63-2.392.3410.463.541.36-
2024/11.243.8825.021.2425.023.511.37-
2023/121.212.0-5.0115.14-15.743.441.37-
2023/111.07-9.28-23.2813.94-16.543.631.3-
2023/101.18-15.14-5.9812.87-15.934.011.18-
2023/91.39-4.02-1.9811.69-16.824.11.19-
2023/81.4514.19-7.9510.3-18.483.931.24-
2023/71.274.45-18.538.86-19.974.031.21-
2023/61.21-21.68-18.527.59-20.213.951.23-
2023/51.5529.93-16.366.38-20.524.261.14-
2023/41.19-21.53-28.84.83-21.773.841.27-
2023/31.5234.9-13.783.64-19.163.641.42-
2023/21.1313.19-6.562.12-22.623.381.52-
2023/10.99-21.07-35.220.99-35.223.651.41-
2022/121.26-9.53-6.8317.9614.063.911.26-
2022/111.3911.17-1.116.716.024.061.21-
2022/101.25-11.525.6515.3117.884.241.16-
2022/91.42-9.8723.5114.0619.114.541.1-
2022/81.571.0722.2712.6418.634.611.08-
2022/71.554.462.9811.0718.144.891.02-
2022/61.49-19.61-9.089.5121.055.011.06-
2022/51.8510.6145.158.0328.975.291.01-
2022/41.67-4.9730.996.1824.84.641.15-
2022/31.7646.237.94.522.654.51.07-
2022/21.2-21.521.622.7414.514.091.17-
2022/11.5413.5127.161.5427.164.31.12-
2021/121.35-3.983.5215.7530.693.951.24-
2021/111.4118.7719.3114.434.03.741.31-
2021/101.193.4350.6712.9935.813.621.36去年同期受新冠肺炎疫情影響,營收偏低
2021/91.15-10.7823.6311.834.483.941.16-
2021/81.29-14.87102.6510.6535.764.431.03去年同期受新冠肺炎疫情影響,營收偏低
2021/71.51-7.7768.879.3729.884.421.03去年同期受新冠肺炎疫情影響,營收偏低
2021/61.6428.33165.757.8624.374.191.0去年同期受新冠肺炎疫情影響,營收偏低
2021/51.28-0.1660.326.229.13.831.09去年同期受新冠肺炎疫情影響,營收偏低
2021/41.280.0229.664.950.83.741.12-
2021/31.287.74-5.373.67-6.443.671.12-
2021/21.19-1.8-14.532.39-7.013.71.11-
2021/11.21-7.581.781.211.783.691.12-
2020/121.3110.66-5.9112.05-36.733.271.29-
2020/111.1849.99-14.6110.74-39.152.891.46-
2020/100.79-15.12-54.629.56-41.242.351.8因為新冠肺炎疫情影響,全球需求銳減
2020/90.9346.23-41.698.78-39.642.461.78-
2020/80.63-29.06-53.747.85-39.392.142.03因為新冠肺炎疫情影響,全球需求銳減
2020/70.8945.13-48.587.21-37.692.311.89因為新冠肺炎疫情影響,全球需求銳減
2020/60.62-22.57-59.476.32-35.762.42.12因為新冠肺炎疫情影響,全球需求銳減
2020/50.8-19.26-56.625.7-31.433.131.62因為新冠肺炎疫情影響,全球需求銳減
2020/40.99-27.0-44.174.91-24.313.721.36-
2020/31.35-2.68-18.523.92-16.893.921.47-
2020/21.3916.942.12.57-16.03.961.46-
2020/11.19-14.57-30.431.19-30.433.961.46-
2019/121.390.43-4.3719.05-2.220.0N/A-
2019/111.38-20.29-19.1617.66-2.050.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.242023/10.992022/11.542021/11.212020/11.19
2024/21.12023/21.132022/21.22021/21.192020/21.39
2024/31.562023/31.522022/31.762021/31.282020/31.35
2024/41.492023/41.192022/41.672021/41.282020/40.99
2024/51.452023/51.552022/51.852021/51.282020/50.8
2024/61.332023/61.212022/61.492021/61.642020/60.62
2024/71.292023/71.272022/71.552021/71.512020/70.89
2024/81.482023/81.452022/81.572021/81.292020/80.63
2024/91.392023/91.392022/91.422021/91.152020/90.93
2024/101.142023/101.182022/101.252021/101.192020/100.79
N/AN/A2023/111.072022/111.392021/111.412020/111.18
N/AN/A2023/121.22022/121.262021/121.352020/121.31
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.85%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.3723.33-7.5
24Q2 (19)0.3-6.25-9.09
24Q1 (18)0.32-5.8814.29
23Q4 (17)0.34-15.054.55
23Q3 (16)0.421.2160.0
23Q2 (15)0.3317.8626.92
23Q1 (14)0.2827.2716.67
22Q4 (13)0.22-12.0-33.33
22Q3 (12)0.25-3.85-19.35
22Q2 (11)0.268.334.0
22Q1 (10)0.24-27.2733.33
21Q4 (9)0.336.450.0
21Q3 (8)0.3124.014.81
21Q2 (7)0.2538.89-3.85
21Q1 (6)0.18-45.45-56.1
20Q4 (5)0.3322.22135.71
20Q3 (4)0.273.850.0
20Q2 (3)0.26-36.590.0
20Q1 (2)0.41192.860.0
19Q4 (1)0.140.00.0

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