- 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
- 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
- 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
- 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
- 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
| 年/月 | 營收 | 月增率(%) | 去年同期年增率(%) | 累計營收 | 累計營收年增率(%) | 近三月累計營收 | 存貨銷售比 | 自結稅前EPS | 自結稅前累計EPS | 備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/10 | 2.82 | 12.22 | -22.01 | 31.5 | -20.1 | 8.06 | N/A | - | ||
| 2024/9 | 2.51 | -7.96 | -49.21 | 28.68 | -19.91 | 8.03 | 1.13 | - | ||
| 2024/8 | 2.73 | -1.99 | -36.85 | 26.16 | -15.21 | 8.92 | 1.02 | - | ||
| 2024/7 | 2.78 | -18.26 | -22.85 | 23.44 | -11.69 | 9.64 | 0.94 | - | ||
| 2024/6 | 3.41 | -1.27 | 3.37 | 20.65 | -9.93 | 10.01 | 0.91 | - | ||
| 2024/5 | 3.45 | 9.52 | -19.4 | 17.24 | -12.17 | 10.0 | 0.91 | - | ||
| 2024/4 | 3.15 | -7.22 | -6.88 | 13.79 | -10.15 | 9.65 | 0.94 | - | ||
| 2024/3 | 3.4 | 9.41 | -21.17 | 10.64 | -11.07 | 10.64 | 0.99 | - | ||
| 2024/2 | 3.1 | -24.98 | -18.57 | 7.24 | -5.39 | 10.79 | 0.97 | - | ||
| 2024/1 | 4.14 | 16.76 | 7.69 | 4.14 | 7.69 | 12.89 | 0.82 | - | ||
| 2023/12 | 3.54 | -31.88 | -8.16 | 48.17 | 1.48 | 12.36 | 0.88 | - | ||
| 2023/11 | 5.2 | 43.93 | 25.84 | 44.63 | 2.34 | 13.76 | 0.79 | - | ||
| 2023/10 | 3.62 | -26.91 | -2.79 | 39.42 | -0.12 | 12.88 | 0.84 | - | ||
| 2023/9 | 4.95 | 14.43 | 21.35 | 35.81 | 0.15 | 12.88 | 0.79 | - | ||
| 2023/8 | 4.32 | 19.73 | 16.44 | 30.86 | -2.56 | 11.23 | 0.9 | - | ||
| 2023/7 | 3.61 | 9.51 | -9.5 | 26.54 | -5.09 | 11.19 | 0.91 | - | ||
| 2023/6 | 3.3 | -23.03 | -13.38 | 22.93 | -4.35 | 10.96 | 0.93 | - | ||
| 2023/5 | 4.28 | 26.53 | 4.22 | 19.63 | -2.65 | 11.98 | 0.85 | - | ||
| 2023/4 | 3.38 | -21.46 | -10.53 | 15.35 | -4.41 | 11.51 | 0.88 | - | ||
| 2023/3 | 4.31 | 13.01 | -2.67 | 11.97 | -2.53 | 11.97 | 0.79 | - | ||
| 2023/2 | 3.81 | -0.78 | 8.79 | 7.66 | -2.45 | 11.52 | 0.83 | - | ||
| 2023/1 | 3.84 | -0.42 | -11.52 | 3.84 | -11.52 | 11.84 | 0.8 | - | ||
| 2022/12 | 3.86 | -6.66 | -23.29 | 47.46 | -4.92 | 11.71 | 0.81 | - | ||
| 2022/11 | 4.13 | 11.18 | -3.51 | 43.6 | -2.86 | 11.93 | 0.8 | - | ||
| 2022/10 | 3.72 | -8.75 | -13.9 | 39.47 | -2.79 | 11.51 | 0.83 | - | ||
| 2022/9 | 4.08 | 9.8 | 12.08 | 35.75 | -1.47 | 11.78 | 0.88 | - | ||
| 2022/8 | 3.71 | -6.94 | 4.26 | 31.67 | -2.98 | 11.51 | 0.9 | - | ||
| 2022/7 | 3.99 | 4.8 | 1.83 | 27.96 | -3.86 | 11.9 | 0.87 | - | ||
| 2022/6 | 3.81 | -7.37 | -6.81 | 23.97 | -4.75 | 11.7 | 0.9 | - | ||
| 2022/5 | 4.11 | 8.61 | -6.77 | 20.17 | -4.35 | 12.32 | 0.86 | - | ||
| 2022/4 | 3.78 | -14.56 | -3.52 | 16.06 | -3.72 | 11.72 | 0.9 | - | ||
| 2022/3 | 4.43 | 26.33 | -10.63 | 12.28 | -3.78 | 12.28 | 0.81 | - | ||
| 2022/2 | 3.5 | -19.31 | -2.21 | 7.85 | 0.56 | 12.88 | 0.77 | - | ||
| 2022/1 | 4.34 | -13.66 | 2.92 | 4.34 | 2.92 | 13.66 | 0.73 | - | ||
| 2021/12 | 5.03 | 17.4 | 0.8 | 49.92 | 4.06 | 13.64 | 0.78 | - | ||
| 2021/11 | 4.29 | -0.78 | -17.9 | 44.89 | 4.44 | 12.24 | 0.87 | - | ||
| 2021/10 | 4.32 | 18.78 | -40.66 | 40.6 | 7.53 | 11.52 | 0.92 | - | ||
| 2021/9 | 3.64 | 2.14 | -8.14 | 36.28 | 19.04 | 11.11 | 1.19 | - | ||
| 2021/8 | 3.56 | -9.1 | 29.97 | 32.65 | 23.1 | 11.56 | 1.14 | - | ||
| 2021/7 | 3.92 | -4.09 | 21.0 | 29.09 | 22.31 | 12.41 | 1.07 | - | ||
| 2021/6 | 4.08 | -7.33 | 10.02 | 25.17 | 22.52 | 12.41 | 0.97 | - | ||
| 2021/5 | 4.41 | 12.4 | 42.97 | 21.09 | 25.27 | 13.28 | 0.9 | - | ||
| 2021/4 | 3.92 | -20.85 | 85.78 | 16.68 | 21.3 | 12.46 | 0.96 | 本月營收較前期增加85.78%之原因：主要為前期受到疫情影響，國外客戶訂單減少。 | ||
| 2021/3 | 4.95 | 38.23 | 41.54 | 12.76 | 9.61 | 12.76 | 0.83 | - | ||
| 2021/2 | 3.58 | -15.08 | -26.86 | 7.8 | -4.11 | 12.8 | 0.83 | - | ||
| 2021/1 | 4.22 | -15.44 | 30.31 | 4.22 | 30.31 | 14.43 | 0.73 | - | ||
| 2020/12 | 4.99 | -4.38 | 43.62 | 47.97 | -11.0 | 17.49 | 0.54 | - | ||
| 2020/11 | 5.22 | -28.29 | 7.47 | 42.98 | -14.76 | 16.46 | 0.57 | - | ||
| 2020/10 | 7.28 | 83.89 | 66.99 | 37.76 | -17.13 | 13.98 | 0.67 | 本月較前期增67%:因客戶新車型量產,出貨量增加及認列模具收入 | ||
| 2020/9 | 3.96 | 44.53 | 2.87 | 30.48 | -26.03 | 9.94 | 1.06 | - | ||
| 2020/8 | 2.74 | -15.38 | -40.9 | 26.52 | -29.01 | 9.69 | 1.09 | - | ||
| 2020/7 | 3.24 | -12.79 | -23.27 | 23.78 | -27.33 | 10.03 | 1.05 | - | ||
| 2020/6 | 3.71 | 20.42 | -21.59 | 20.54 | -27.93 | 8.9 | 1.02 | - | ||
| 2020/5 | 3.08 | 46.04 | -36.76 | 16.83 | -29.19 | 8.69 | 1.04 | - | ||
| 2020/4 | 2.11 | -39.7 | -50.27 | 13.75 | -27.24 | 10.51 | 0.86 | 本月營收較前期減少50.27%之原因：主要為受到疫情影響，國外客戶訂單減少。 | ||
| 2020/3 | 3.5 | -28.57 | -50.29 | 11.64 | -20.57 | 11.64 | 0.75 | 本月營收較前期減少50.29%原因：主要為去年同期客戶新車型量產認列模具收入，致本月模具收入較去年同期減3.2億元。 | ||
| 2020/2 | 4.9 | 51.3 | 40.76 | 8.14 | 6.91 | 11.61 | 0.75 | - | ||
| 2020/1 | 3.24 | -6.8 | -21.6 | 3.24 | -21.6 | 11.57 | 0.75 | - | ||
| 2019/12 | 3.48 | -28.45 | -12.67 | 53.9 | -5.49 | 0.0 | N/A | - | ||
| 2019/11 | 4.86 | 11.41 | 13.34 | 50.43 | -4.96 | 0.0 | N/A | - |
| 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/1 | 4.14 | 2023/1 | 3.84 | 2022/1 | 4.34 | 2021/1 | 4.22 | 2020/1 | 3.24 |
| 2024/2 | 3.1 | 2023/2 | 3.81 | 2022/2 | 3.5 | 2021/2 | 3.58 | 2020/2 | 4.9 |
| 2024/3 | 3.4 | 2023/3 | 4.31 | 2022/3 | 4.43 | 2021/3 | 4.95 | 2020/3 | 3.5 |
| 2024/4 | 3.15 | 2023/4 | 3.38 | 2022/4 | 3.78 | 2021/4 | 3.92 | 2020/4 | 2.11 |
| 2024/5 | 3.45 | 2023/5 | 4.28 | 2022/5 | 4.11 | 2021/5 | 4.41 | 2020/5 | 3.08 |
| 2024/6 | 3.41 | 2023/6 | 3.3 | 2022/6 | 3.81 | 2021/6 | 4.08 | 2020/6 | 3.71 |
| 2024/7 | 2.78 | 2023/7 | 3.61 | 2022/7 | 3.99 | 2021/7 | 3.92 | 2020/7 | 3.24 |
| 2024/8 | 2.73 | 2023/8 | 4.32 | 2022/8 | 3.71 | 2021/8 | 3.56 | 2020/8 | 2.74 |
| 2024/9 | 2.51 | 2023/9 | 4.95 | 2022/9 | 4.08 | 2021/9 | 3.64 | 2020/9 | 3.96 |
| 2024/10 | 2.82 | 2023/10 | 3.62 | 2022/10 | 3.72 | 2021/10 | 4.32 | 2020/10 | 7.28 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/11 | 5.2 | 2022/11 | 4.13 | 2021/11 | 4.29 | 2020/11 | 5.22 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/12 | 3.54 | 2022/12 | 3.86 | 2021/12 | 5.03 | 2020/12 | 4.99 |
- 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
| 合約負債 QoQ YoY | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 24Q3 (20) | 0.55 | -5.17 | -29.49 |
| 24Q2 (19) | 0.58 | -37.63 | -65.27 |
| 24Q1 (18) | 0.93 | 272.0 | -36.73 |
| 23Q4 (17) | 0.25 | -67.95 | -78.07 |
| 23Q3 (16) | 0.78 | -53.29 | -43.88 |
| 23Q2 (15) | 1.67 | 13.61 | 297.62 |
| 23Q1 (14) | 1.47 | 28.95 | 297.3 |
| 22Q4 (13) | 1.14 | -17.99 | 111.11 |
| 22Q3 (12) | 1.39 | 230.95 | -22.35 |
| 22Q2 (11) | 0.42 | 13.51 | -75.72 |
| 22Q1 (10) | 0.37 | -31.48 | -79.67 |
| 21Q4 (9) | 0.54 | -69.83 | -66.04 |
| 21Q3 (8) | 1.79 | 3.47 | -56.45 |
| 21Q2 (7) | 1.73 | -4.95 | -44.01 |
| 21Q1 (6) | 1.82 | 14.47 | -45.99 |
| 20Q4 (5) | 1.59 | -61.31 | -49.2 |
| 20Q3 (4) | 4.11 | 33.01 | 0.0 |
| 20Q2 (3) | 3.09 | -8.31 | 0.0 |
| 20Q1 (2) | 3.37 | 7.67 | 0.0 |
| 19Q4 (1) | 3.13 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
