玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)790.00.0-0.21-153.85-122.340.01-92.86-93.750.93-18.42-4.127.16-11.82-4.5313.39-15.36-30.55-1.65-148.25-134.16-2.35-162.83-123.88-0.12-142.86-133.33-0.17-156.67-122.97-4.17-172.15-132.15-2.35-162.83-123.880.40-101.2781.35
24Q2 (19)790.00.00.39-48.68208.330.14255.56-86.791.1450.02750.08.1212.62-14.6215.82-9.5-15.43.42710.71-62.913.74-54.89225.50.28800.0-68.180.3-50.0207.145.78-34.02323.173.74-54.89225.5-10.623.2174.76
24Q1 (18)790.00.00.7655.190.0-0.09-106.04-117.650.76-47.9590.07.21-33.8522.8317.48-14.27-13.08-0.56-105.13-107.788.29134.1856.42-0.04-103.36-109.520.653.8593.558.76138.0453.688.29134.1856.425.743.62362.61
23Q4 (17)790.00.00.49-47.87137.121.49831.2565.561.4650.52-57.6810.945.3365.6520.395.76-0.6310.92126.0911.663.54-64.02122.421.19230.5685.940.39-47.3137.53.68-71.63121.813.54-64.02122.4212.09156.62373.17
23Q3 (16)790.00.00.94361.11-24.190.16-84.91128.570.972325.0-79.667.5-21.14-5.6619.283.151.814.83-47.611888.899.84430.2-19.870.36-59.091900.00.74364.29-24.4912.97600.77-26.529.84430.2-19.8720.4385.5611.47
23Q2 (15)790.00.0-0.36-190.0-127.071.06107.841277.780.04-90.0-98.879.5162.01-6.5818.70-7.0138.019.2228.06723.21-2.98-156.23-128.880.88109.52700.0-0.28-190.32-126.67-2.59-145.44-121.42-2.98-156.23-128.8825.61-29.8532.26
23Q1 (14)790.00.00.40130.3-81.820.51-43.33-40.00.40-88.41-81.825.87-10.79-62.9920.11-2.044.687.20-26.3817.465.30133.57-51.470.42-34.38-56.70.31129.81-82.085.70133.79-55.545.30133.57-51.47-14.01-38.07108.69
22Q4 (13)790.00.0-1.32-206.45-211.860.90260.71-27.423.45-27.67-9.216.58-17.23-62.1620.5261.5768.899.783722.2261.39-15.79-228.58-396.250.643300.0-39.05-1.04-206.12-211.83-16.87-195.58-391.36-15.79-228.58-396.25-19.57-106.61-130.76
22Q3 (12)790.00.01.24-6.77-14.48-0.56-522.22-139.164.7735.1382.067.95-21.91-55.2912.70-6.27-3.93-0.27-124.11-103.2612.2818.9990.98-0.02-118.18-101.360.98-6.67-14.0417.6545.99111.6312.2818.9990.98-28.86-23.16-316.41
22Q2 (11)790.00.01.33-39.55850.0-0.09-110.59-112.863.5360.45201.7110.18-35.81-27.6513.55-2.5234.031.12-81.73-71.9310.32-5.491240.260.11-88.66-80.361.05-39.31854.5512.09-5.691258.4310.32-5.491240.26-22.3023.45-71.02
22Q1 (10)790.00.02.2086.44113.590.85-31.4516.442.20-42.11113.5915.86-8.824.013.9014.4-7.586.131.16-9.3210.92104.8871.70.97-7.6211.491.7386.02113.5812.82121.4249.4210.92104.8871.7-5.5033.91-22.37
21Q4 (9)790.00.01.18-18.62-26.251.24-13.29-43.643.8045.04-34.3717.39-2.1915.0912.15-8.09-37.146.06-26.72-51.45.33-17.11-36.011.05-28.57-44.150.93-18.42-26.195.79-30.58-37.615.33-17.11-36.0112.09458.5545.50
21Q3 (8)790.00.01.45935.71-0.681.43104.29-28.142.62123.93-37.6217.7826.3722.4513.2230.76-34.18.27107.27-36.876.43735.06-18.611.47162.5-22.631.14936.36-0.878.34837.08-18.46.43735.06-18.6118.19424.6550.09
21Q2 (7)790.00.00.14-86.41-87.830.70-4.11-54.251.1713.59-57.314.0710.0117.6410.11-32.78-52.913.99-40.98-71.620.77-87.89-89.810.56-35.63-66.670.11-86.42-87.780.89-89.63-92.250.77-87.89-89.81-2.67-61.02-35.46
21Q1 (6)790.00.01.03-35.62-35.220.73-66.82-42.521.03-82.21-35.2212.79-15.3514.9115.04-22.19-26.176.76-45.79-45.76.36-23.65-43.620.87-53.72-37.410.81-35.71-35.718.58-7.54-42.036.36-23.65-43.62-5.64-13.01-28.13
20Q4 (5)790.00.01.609.59142.422.2010.55209.865.7937.8681.515.114.0672.119.33-3.64-4.8312.47-4.8133.378.335.4440.241.88-1.05129.271.269.57142.319.28-9.24.868.335.4440.24--0.00
20Q3 (4)790.00.01.4626.960.01.9930.070.04.2053.280.014.5221.40.020.06-6.570.013.10-6.830.07.904.50.01.913.10.01.1527.780.010.22-11.050.07.904.50.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)790.00.01.15-27.670.01.5320.470.02.7472.330.011.967.460.021.475.40.014.0612.930.07.56-32.980.01.6820.860.00.9-28.570.011.49-22.360.07.56-32.980.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)790.00.01.59140.910.01.2778.870.01.59-50.160.011.1326.770.020.370.30.012.4533.160.011.2889.90.01.3969.510.01.26142.310.014.8067.230.011.2889.90.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)790.00.00.660.00.00.710.00.03.190.00.08.780.00.020.310.00.09.350.00.05.940.00.00.820.00.00.520.00.08.850.00.05.940.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.222.56-43.9224.71-7.917.04N/A-
2024/92.16-18.58-11.8822.49-1.687.161.09-
2024/82.6613.21-2.5820.33-0.467.31.07-
2024/72.352.291.2417.68-0.137.391.05-
2024/62.29-16.67-11.2815.33-0.348.121.1-
2024/52.75-10.35-31.8713.041.868.581.04-
2024/43.0711.386.2910.2817.427.421.21-
2024/32.7672.8119.287.2122.97.211.46-
2024/21.59-44.294.924.4625.268.071.3-
2024/12.86-20.8140.412.8640.419.811.07-
2023/123.628.6783.0733.78-16.7410.91.03市場回溫,客戶已去化庫存,訂單增加
2023/113.33-15.8848.6530.16-21.859.741.16-
2023/103.9661.1967.3826.84-26.199.141.23短期市場需求量增加
2023/92.45-9.99-5.9922.88-32.697.51.69-
2023/82.7317.66-6.520.43-34.917.631.66-
2023/72.32-10.36-4.5317.7-37.828.941.42-
2023/62.59-36.0119.9315.38-40.939.511.37-
2023/54.0439.8824.4712.8-46.429.241.41-
2023/42.8924.98-39.578.76-57.576.721.932022Q2起國際情勢導致物價原料持續大漲,引發停滯性通膨,降低消費者購買力,及因客戶高估需求庫存太多待去化,大幅減少訂單。
2023/32.3152.02-59.765.87-62.995.872.37國際情勢導致物價原料運費持續大漲,引發嚴重通膨,降低消費者購買力,及因客戶高估需求庫存太多待去化大幅減少訂單。
2023/21.52-25.45-60.283.56-64.825.532.52國際情勢導致物價原料運費持續大漲,引發嚴重通膨,降低消費者購買力,及因客戶高估需求庫存太多待去化大幅減少訂單。
2023/12.043.23-67.592.04-67.596.252.23因COVID-19持續影響,全球供應鏈受阻。國際情勢導致物價原料運費持續大漲,引發嚴重通膨,降低消費者購買力,客戶大幅減少訂單。
2022/121.98-11.75-61.2840.57-34.586.582.07因COVID-19持續影響,全球供應鏈受阻。國際情勢導致物價原料運費持續大漲,引發嚴重通膨,降低消費者購買力,客戶大幅減少訂單。
2022/112.24-5.28-61.438.6-32.197.211.89因COVID-19持續影響,全球供應鏈受阻。國際情勢導致物價原料運費持續大漲,引發嚴重通膨,降低消費者購買力,客戶大幅減少訂單。
2022/102.36-9.47-63.5836.36-28.887.891.73因COVID-19持續影響,全球供應鏈受阻。國際情勢導致物價原料運費持續大漲,引發嚴重通膨,降低消費者購買力,客戶大幅減少訂單。
2022/92.61-10.47-49.5934.0-23.837.951.84因COVID-19持續影響,全球供應鏈受阻。國際情勢導致物價原料運費持續大漲,引發嚴重通膨,降低消費者購買力,客戶大幅減少訂單。
2022/82.9220.13-56.7931.39-20.457.51.96因COVID-19持續影響,全球供應鏈受阻。國際情勢導致物價原料運費持續大漲,引發嚴重通膨,降低消費者購買力,客戶大幅減少訂單。
2022/72.4312.6-58.5228.47-12.967.831.87因COVID-19持續影響,全球供應鏈受阻。國際情勢導致物價原料運費持續大漲,引發嚴重通膨,降低消費者購買力,客戶大幅減少訂單。
2022/62.16-33.59-51.0126.04-3.0310.181.55因COVID-19持續影響,全球供應鏈受阻。國際情勢導致物價原料運費持續大漲,引發嚴重通膨,降低消費者購買力,客戶大幅減少訂單。
2022/53.25-32.09-33.9523.896.3613.771.15-
2022/44.78-16.760.620.6417.6514.351.1-
2022/35.7450.0520.9215.8623.9815.861.0-
2022/23.83-39.1721.3310.1225.7815.221.04-
2022/16.2923.3328.656.2928.6517.190.92-
2021/125.1-12.03-7.0562.0317.6517.390.84-
2021/115.8-10.6216.6956.9320.5317.470.84-
2021/106.4925.2939.6551.1320.9818.420.8-
2021/95.18-23.26-2.3444.6418.6717.780.77-
2021/86.7515.3465.2439.4622.1217.00.81客戶訂單需求增加
2021/75.8532.9913.9532.7115.8815.170.9-
2021/64.4-10.473.326.8616.3114.070.82-
2021/54.913.4335.9922.4619.2614.420.8-
2021/44.750.0416.2417.5515.2812.650.91-
2021/34.7550.5628.8812.7914.9312.790.75-
2021/23.15-35.5-4.28.048.0313.530.71-
2021/14.89-10.917.734.8917.7315.350.62-
2020/125.4910.45111.9352.7225.5215.110.5疫情效應,美國人待在家中時間增加,導致需求增加。
2020/114.976.9594.747.2319.8414.920.51疫情效應,美國人待在家中時間增加,導致需求增加。
2020/104.65-12.3827.942.2614.6514.030.54-
2020/95.329.8447.237.6113.214.520.55-
2020/84.08-20.45-2.1732.319.0713.480.59-
2020/75.1420.5624.3728.2310.9213.010.61-
2020/64.2617.8525.3423.098.3111.960.6-
2020/53.61-11.58-27.3118.835.0811.390.63-
2020/44.0910.926.6515.2217.5211.060.65-
2020/33.6811.912.0811.1322.0911.130.61-
2020/23.29-20.7339.597.4527.7410.040.68-
2020/14.1560.3719.694.1519.699.30.73-
2019/122.591.471.5542.016.960.0N/A-
2019/112.55-29.74-17.8239.4118.140.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)790.01.46-57.683.22192.7333.78-16.7419.6233.928.44100.483.41-49.182.8566.671.46-58.991.15-57.72
2022 (9)790.03.45-9.211.10-73.1140.57-34.614.6516.364.21-33.916.7139.211.71-56.713.56-4.042.72-9.03
2021 (8)790.03.80-34.374.09-41.4962.0317.6612.59-37.776.37-51.04.82-44.343.95-42.343.71-37.232.99-34.57
2020 (7)790.05.7981.56.9966.8352.7225.5220.2310.3113.0031.318.6644.576.8564.665.9176.424.5782.07
2019 (6)790.03.19219.04.191132.3542.016.9618.3437.389.90644.365.99173.524.16766.673.35235.02.51217.72
2018 (5)790.01.00-41.520.34-87.935.91-1.713.35-17.691.33-81.812.19-40.810.48-82.021.0-44.440.79-41.48
2017 (4)790.01.71-60.872.81-37.1436.533.5416.22-25.187.31-40.183.70-62.092.67-38.051.8-57.451.35-60.87
2016 (3)790.04.3721.734.4756.8435.2822.1621.681.8812.2218.539.76-0.414.3144.634.2319.153.4521.91
2015 (2)790.03.5974.272.85112.6928.887.4421.2839.3610.3198.659.8062.252.98112.863.5582.052.8374.69
2014 (1)790.02.0601.34026.8846.2515.2705.1906.0401.401.9501.620

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