玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)51-1.92-1.920.72-19.17100.00.827.89555.561.7569.9414.712.2-15.71214.2933.0720.1753.2422.9921.58295.3316.74-4.343620.00.514.08737.50.37-19.57020.73-4.072397.5916.74-4.343620.078.08258.311003.95
24Q2 (19)520.00.00.89535.711383.330.762000.0733.331.03635.71212.122.61171.88163.6427.5228.8450.7918.918495.451232.3417.50127.27440.120.4902550.00.46557.141433.3321.61125.1190.4617.50127.27440.1291.11567.86900.00
24Q1 (18)520.00.00.14600.0-48.15-0.04-200.0-114.810.14-61.11-48.150.9610.34-29.9321.36-18.69-16.50.22-92.49-98.217.70474.63-24.510-100.0-100.00.07600.0-50.09.60580.85-21.77.70474.63-24.5117.31350.00-38.89
23Q4 (17)520.00.00.02100.0-95.120.04122.22-91.110.365.88-82.860.8724.29-48.8226.2721.73-4.472.93124.89-81.361.34197.78-89.110.03137.5-88.890.010-95.241.4169.88-90.491.34197.78-89.11-2.508.3436.11
23Q3 (16)520.00.00.01-83.33-98.44-0.18-50.0-162.070.343.03-79.880.7-29.29-52.0521.5818.25-24.47-11.77-604.79-172.160.45-86.11-97.99-0.08-300.0-133.330-100.0-100.00.83-88.84-97.080.45-86.11-97.99-28.52-80.56-97.22
23Q2 (15)520.00.00.06-77.78-88.46-0.12-144.44-136.360.3322.22-68.870.99-27.74-40.3618.25-28.66-34.33-1.67-113.56-109.973.24-68.24-79.67-0.02-111.76-107.140.03-78.57-88.897.44-39.31-67.273.24-68.24-79.67-23.57-55.97-92.22
23Q1 (14)520.00.00.27-34.15-50.00.27-40.0-30.770.27-87.14-50.01.37-19.41-13.8425.58-6.98-6.8112.32-21.63-24.8810.20-17.14-42.140.17-37.04-34.620.14-33.33-50.012.26-17.33-43.1410.20-17.14-42.14-1.48-35.057.59
22Q4 (13)520.00.00.41-35.94-24.070.4555.17-15.092.1024.26-19.541.716.44-10.5327.50-3.75-0.7615.72-3.62-11.6412.31-44.97-16.770.2712.5-20.590.21-36.36-25.014.83-47.86-19.5312.31-44.97-16.772.20-6.4321.53
22Q3 (12)520.00.00.6423.0833.330.29-12.12-38.31.6959.43-18.361.46-12.05-21.9328.572.817.3716.31-2.632.3222.3740.3467.570.24-14.29-20.00.3322.2232.028.4425.1270.422.3740.3467.57-3.839.69-13.75
22Q2 (11)520.00.00.52-3.7-58.730.33-15.38725.01.0696.3-32.911.664.49.2127.791.24-1.2816.752.1315.5215.94-9.59-62.630.287.6927.270.27-3.57-58.4622.735.43-59.3215.94-9.59-62.63-5.96-1.85-20.90
22Q1 (10)520.00.00.540.068.750.39-26.4218.180.54-79.3168.751.59-16.32-2.4527.45-0.9412.4116.40-7.8131.5217.6319.272.340.26-23.5330.00.280.064.7121.5616.9872.7617.6319.272.34-7.366.25-6.83
21Q4 (9)520.00.00.5412.5116.00.5312.7770.972.6126.09180.651.91.631.0327.714.138.9717.7911.6138.4414.7910.7966.370.3413.3378.950.2812.0115.3818.4310.4365.5914.7910.7966.3712.32-24.70543.88
21Q3 (8)520.00.00.48-61.9336.360.471075.0193.752.0731.01204.411.8723.0332.6226.61-5.4737.5215.949.93150.2413.35-68.7232.920.336.36233.330.25-61.54316.6716.69-70.13229.8413.35-68.7232.928.14115.92493.56
21Q2 (7)520.0-1.891.26293.75500.00.04-87.88-84.01.58393.75177.191.52-6.753.428.1515.2718.3314.5016.2821.4442.65316.91466.40.2210.022.220.65282.35490.9155.88347.76443.5842.65316.91466.42.83160.88-40.71
21Q1 (6)520.00.00.3228.0-8.570.336.4513.790.32-65.59-8.571.6312.4133.6124.42-3.97-15.2112.47-2.96-21.3710.2315.07-31.250.25.265.260.1730.77-5.5612.4812.13-32.0610.2315.07-31.257.6277.6350.10
20Q4 (5)520.00.00.25127.27-40.480.3193.75-34.040.9336.76-34.511.452.84-25.2625.4331.423.8412.85101.73-14.568.89121.7-19.770.19111.11-34.480.13116.67-40.9111.13119.96-19.938.89121.7-19.77--0.00
20Q3 (4)52-1.890.00.11-47.620.00.16-36.00.00.6819.30.01.41-4.080.019.35-18.660.06.37-46.650.04.01-46.750.00.09-50.00.00.06-45.450.05.06-50.780.04.01-46.750.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)531.920.00.21-40.00.00.25-13.790.00.5762.860.01.4720.490.023.79-17.40.011.94-24.720.07.53-49.40.00.18-5.260.00.11-38.890.010.28-44.040.07.53-49.40.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)520.00.00.35-16.670.00.29-38.30.00.35-75.350.01.22-37.110.028.8017.60.015.865.450.014.8834.30.00.19-34.480.00.18-18.180.018.3732.160.014.8834.30.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)520.00.00.420.00.00.470.00.01.420.00.01.940.00.024.490.00.015.040.00.011.080.00.00.290.00.00.220.00.013.900.00.011.080.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.49-10.8197.596.2689.121.65N/A新產品出貨,去年同期基期低
2024/90.55-9.81173.385.7788.442.20.98新產品出貨,去年同期基期低
2024/80.61-41.38214.215.2282.472.440.88新產品出貨,去年同期基期低
2024/71.0431.09235.144.6172.92.880.75去年同期基期低,新產品出貨
2024/60.79-24.61173.193.5751.572.610.78去年同期基期低,本月新舊產品交替
2024/51.0536.81332.022.7834.512.170.95去年同期基期低,本月新舊產品交替
2024/40.77121.767.71.73-5.171.381.49上月訂單遞延本月出貨
2024/30.3530.69-44.70.96-29.610.962.48-
2024/20.27-24.19-45.230.62-16.821.032.33-
2024/10.35-14.9737.10.3537.10.972.45-
2023/120.4192.7-35.753.94-38.620.872.61-
2023/110.21-13.87-57.673.52-38.940.663.44客戶調節庫存
2023/100.2523.38-54.973.31-37.150.643.55客戶調節庫存
2023/90.23.65-47.943.06-35.070.73.23-
2023/80.19-37.47-45.752.86-33.920.792.87-
2023/70.316.86-57.052.67-32.860.842.7客戶調節庫存
2023/60.2919.21-44.862.36-27.480.992.4-
2023/50.24-46.89-65.632.07-24.131.331.79客戶調節庫存
2023/40.46-26.895.951.82-9.561.571.52-
2023/30.6329.43-17.111.37-13.81.371.82-
2023/20.4889.7954.570.74-10.781.381.8去年2月適逢春節年假,實際工作天數銳減。
2023/10.26-60.16-50.50.26-50.51.41.78本年1月適逢春節年假,實際工作天數銳減。
2022/120.6426.96-3.546.41-7.181.71.53-
2022/110.5-8.37-18.775.77-7.571.441.8-
2022/100.5542.62-9.675.27-6.331.292.01-
2022/90.398.01-39.264.72-5.921.471.91-
2022/80.36-50.5-43.894.33-1.081.611.74-
2022/70.7237.1921.913.976.191.961.43-
2022/60.53-25.68-0.853.253.241.671.6-
2022/50.7163.7419.172.734.071.91.4-
2022/40.43-42.819.092.02-0.351.51.77-
2022/30.76141.386.271.59-2.651.591.71-
2022/20.31-39.22-7.30.83-9.591.491.82-
2022/10.52-22.36-10.920.52-10.921.81.5-
2021/120.666.9127.276.9124.311.891.37-
2021/110.621.8831.146.2524.011.871.39-
2021/100.61-4.0933.135.6223.271.881.38-
2021/90.64-0.2238.95.0222.171.871.4-
2021/80.647.5641.354.3820.071.761.48-
2021/70.5911.5617.823.7417.071.721.52-
2021/60.53-10.679.553.1516.931.521.58-
2021/50.5949.892.292.6218.541.71.42-
2021/40.4-44.29-1.822.0324.341.451.67-
2021/30.71110.5376.371.6332.971.631.07去年遭受疫情影響,基期較低,且客戶預期後續恐受貨櫃運輸影響,導致缺貨,故要求提前出貨
2021/20.34-41.59-23.880.9211.641.441.22-
2021/10.5810.9353.50.5853.51.571.11本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係去年同期適逢春節,工作天數較短所致。
2020/120.5210.16-20.755.56-11.331.451.11-
2020/110.473.42-25.675.04-10.231.391.17-
2020/100.460.06-29.44.56-8.251.371.19-
2020/90.461.5310.924.11-5.081.411.13-
2020/80.45-10.34-9.893.65-6.771.441.11-
2020/70.53.730.193.2-6.311.571.02-
2020/60.48-16.59-14.952.69-7.431.471.25-
2020/50.5843.85-25.482.21-5.61.391.33-
2020/40.40.0727.821.634.321.251.47-
2020/30.4-9.14-12.091.22-1.631.221.54-
2020/20.4417.79102.820.824.461.481.28本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係去年同期適逢春節,工作天數較短所致
2020/10.38-42.72-33.510.38-33.511.671.13-
2019/120.663.3261.266.27-2.140.0N/A新客戶出貨
2019/110.64-1.762.175.61-6.460.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)520.00.36-82.860.04-97.243.94-38.5323.17-16.682.40-85.274.74-71.90.09-91.350.26-81.290.19-82.41
2022 (9)520.02.10-19.541.457.416.41-7.2427.814.0416.296.416.87-13.311.04-1.891.39-18.711.08-20.0
2021 (8)520.02.61180.651.3532.356.9124.2826.7310.515.3131.6419.46126.021.0663.081.71180.331.35181.25
2020 (7)520.00.93-34.511.02-24.445.56-11.3224.19-5.9111.63-18.568.61-26.410.65-26.970.61-35.110.48-34.25
2019 (6)520.01.42-12.351.35-1.466.27-2.3425.71-2.2414.280.2811.70-10.00.89-2.20.94-11.320.73-13.1
2018 (5)520.01.629.461.37-20.816.42-20.4526.3011.9614.246.1913.0037.280.91-15.741.0610.420.8410.53
2017 (4)520.01.4819.351.7349.148.0710.723.499.6113.4123.599.477.981.0836.710.9614.290.7618.75
2016 (3)520.01.24-25.751.16-20.07.293.721.43-12.0310.85-17.628.77-28.520.79-15.050.84-19.230.64-25.58
2015 (2)520.01.6712.081.4516.07.0329.9424.365.1813.1727.2512.27-13.470.9366.071.0450.720.8611.69
2014 (1)520.01.49-6.291.2517.925.41-11.3123.16010.35014.1800.56-27.270.69-34.910.77-6.1

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