- 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
- 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
- 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
- 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
- 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
| 年/月 | 營收 | 月增率(%) | 去年同期年增率(%) | 累計營收 | 累計營收年增率(%) | 近三月累計營收 | 存貨銷售比 | 自結稅前EPS | 自結稅前累計EPS | 備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/10 | 0.49 | -10.81 | 97.59 | 6.26 | 89.12 | 1.65 | N/A | 新產品出貨,去年同期基期低 | ||
| 2024/9 | 0.55 | -9.81 | 173.38 | 5.77 | 88.44 | 2.2 | 0.98 | 新產品出貨,去年同期基期低 | ||
| 2024/8 | 0.61 | -41.38 | 214.21 | 5.22 | 82.47 | 2.44 | 0.88 | 新產品出貨,去年同期基期低 | ||
| 2024/7 | 1.04 | 31.09 | 235.14 | 4.61 | 72.9 | 2.88 | 0.75 | 去年同期基期低,新產品出貨 | ||
| 2024/6 | 0.79 | -24.61 | 173.19 | 3.57 | 51.57 | 2.61 | 0.78 | 去年同期基期低,本月新舊產品交替 | ||
| 2024/5 | 1.05 | 36.81 | 332.02 | 2.78 | 34.51 | 2.17 | 0.95 | 去年同期基期低,本月新舊產品交替 | ||
| 2024/4 | 0.77 | 121.7 | 67.7 | 1.73 | -5.17 | 1.38 | 1.49 | 上月訂單遞延本月出貨 | ||
| 2024/3 | 0.35 | 30.69 | -44.7 | 0.96 | -29.61 | 0.96 | 2.48 | - | ||
| 2024/2 | 0.27 | -24.19 | -45.23 | 0.62 | -16.82 | 1.03 | 2.33 | - | ||
| 2024/1 | 0.35 | -14.97 | 37.1 | 0.35 | 37.1 | 0.97 | 2.45 | - | ||
| 2023/12 | 0.41 | 92.7 | -35.75 | 3.94 | -38.62 | 0.87 | 2.61 | - | ||
| 2023/11 | 0.21 | -13.87 | -57.67 | 3.52 | -38.94 | 0.66 | 3.44 | 客戶調節庫存 | ||
| 2023/10 | 0.25 | 23.38 | -54.97 | 3.31 | -37.15 | 0.64 | 3.55 | 客戶調節庫存 | ||
| 2023/9 | 0.2 | 3.65 | -47.94 | 3.06 | -35.07 | 0.7 | 3.23 | - | ||
| 2023/8 | 0.19 | -37.47 | -45.75 | 2.86 | -33.92 | 0.79 | 2.87 | - | ||
| 2023/7 | 0.31 | 6.86 | -57.05 | 2.67 | -32.86 | 0.84 | 2.7 | 客戶調節庫存 | ||
| 2023/6 | 0.29 | 19.21 | -44.86 | 2.36 | -27.48 | 0.99 | 2.4 | - | ||
| 2023/5 | 0.24 | -46.89 | -65.63 | 2.07 | -24.13 | 1.33 | 1.79 | 客戶調節庫存 | ||
| 2023/4 | 0.46 | -26.89 | 5.95 | 1.82 | -9.56 | 1.57 | 1.52 | - | ||
| 2023/3 | 0.63 | 29.43 | -17.11 | 1.37 | -13.8 | 1.37 | 1.82 | - | ||
| 2023/2 | 0.48 | 89.79 | 54.57 | 0.74 | -10.78 | 1.38 | 1.8 | 去年2月適逢春節年假，實際工作天數銳減。 | ||
| 2023/1 | 0.26 | -60.16 | -50.5 | 0.26 | -50.5 | 1.4 | 1.78 | 本年1月適逢春節年假，實際工作天數銳減。 | ||
| 2022/12 | 0.64 | 26.96 | -3.54 | 6.41 | -7.18 | 1.7 | 1.53 | - | ||
| 2022/11 | 0.5 | -8.37 | -18.77 | 5.77 | -7.57 | 1.44 | 1.8 | - | ||
| 2022/10 | 0.55 | 42.62 | -9.67 | 5.27 | -6.33 | 1.29 | 2.01 | - | ||
| 2022/9 | 0.39 | 8.01 | -39.26 | 4.72 | -5.92 | 1.47 | 1.91 | - | ||
| 2022/8 | 0.36 | -50.5 | -43.89 | 4.33 | -1.08 | 1.61 | 1.74 | - | ||
| 2022/7 | 0.72 | 37.19 | 21.91 | 3.97 | 6.19 | 1.96 | 1.43 | - | ||
| 2022/6 | 0.53 | -25.68 | -0.85 | 3.25 | 3.24 | 1.67 | 1.6 | - | ||
| 2022/5 | 0.71 | 63.74 | 19.17 | 2.73 | 4.07 | 1.9 | 1.4 | - | ||
| 2022/4 | 0.43 | -42.81 | 9.09 | 2.02 | -0.35 | 1.5 | 1.77 | - | ||
| 2022/3 | 0.76 | 141.38 | 6.27 | 1.59 | -2.65 | 1.59 | 1.71 | - | ||
| 2022/2 | 0.31 | -39.22 | -7.3 | 0.83 | -9.59 | 1.49 | 1.82 | - | ||
| 2022/1 | 0.52 | -22.36 | -10.92 | 0.52 | -10.92 | 1.8 | 1.5 | - | ||
| 2021/12 | 0.66 | 6.91 | 27.27 | 6.91 | 24.31 | 1.89 | 1.37 | - | ||
| 2021/11 | 0.62 | 1.88 | 31.14 | 6.25 | 24.01 | 1.87 | 1.39 | - | ||
| 2021/10 | 0.61 | -4.09 | 33.13 | 5.62 | 23.27 | 1.88 | 1.38 | - | ||
| 2021/9 | 0.64 | -0.22 | 38.9 | 5.02 | 22.17 | 1.87 | 1.4 | - | ||
| 2021/8 | 0.64 | 7.56 | 41.35 | 4.38 | 20.07 | 1.76 | 1.48 | - | ||
| 2021/7 | 0.59 | 11.56 | 17.82 | 3.74 | 17.07 | 1.72 | 1.52 | - | ||
| 2021/6 | 0.53 | -10.67 | 9.55 | 3.15 | 16.93 | 1.52 | 1.58 | - | ||
| 2021/5 | 0.59 | 49.89 | 2.29 | 2.62 | 18.54 | 1.7 | 1.42 | - | ||
| 2021/4 | 0.4 | -44.29 | -1.82 | 2.03 | 24.34 | 1.45 | 1.67 | - | ||
| 2021/3 | 0.71 | 110.53 | 76.37 | 1.63 | 32.97 | 1.63 | 1.07 | 去年遭受疫情影響,基期較低,且客戶預期後續恐受貨櫃運輸影響,導致缺貨,故要求提前出貨 | ||
| 2021/2 | 0.34 | -41.59 | -23.88 | 0.92 | 11.64 | 1.44 | 1.22 | - | ||
| 2021/1 | 0.58 | 10.93 | 53.5 | 0.58 | 53.5 | 1.57 | 1.11 | 本月營收較去年同期增加，主要係去年同期適逢春節，工作天數較短所致。 | ||
| 2020/12 | 0.52 | 10.16 | -20.75 | 5.56 | -11.33 | 1.45 | 1.11 | - | ||
| 2020/11 | 0.47 | 3.42 | -25.67 | 5.04 | -10.23 | 1.39 | 1.17 | - | ||
| 2020/10 | 0.46 | 0.06 | -29.4 | 4.56 | -8.25 | 1.37 | 1.19 | - | ||
| 2020/9 | 0.46 | 1.53 | 10.92 | 4.11 | -5.08 | 1.41 | 1.13 | - | ||
| 2020/8 | 0.45 | -10.34 | -9.89 | 3.65 | -6.77 | 1.44 | 1.11 | - | ||
| 2020/7 | 0.5 | 3.73 | 0.19 | 3.2 | -6.31 | 1.57 | 1.02 | - | ||
| 2020/6 | 0.48 | -16.59 | -14.95 | 2.69 | -7.43 | 1.47 | 1.25 | - | ||
| 2020/5 | 0.58 | 43.85 | -25.48 | 2.21 | -5.6 | 1.39 | 1.33 | - | ||
| 2020/4 | 0.4 | 0.07 | 27.82 | 1.63 | 4.32 | 1.25 | 1.47 | - | ||
| 2020/3 | 0.4 | -9.14 | -12.09 | 1.22 | -1.63 | 1.22 | 1.54 | - | ||
| 2020/2 | 0.44 | 17.79 | 102.82 | 0.82 | 4.46 | 1.48 | 1.28 | 本月營收較去年同期增加，主要係去年同期適逢春節，工作天數較短所致 | ||
| 2020/1 | 0.38 | -42.72 | -33.51 | 0.38 | -33.51 | 1.67 | 1.13 | - | ||
| 2019/12 | 0.66 | 3.32 | 61.26 | 6.27 | -2.14 | 0.0 | N/A | 新客戶出貨 | ||
| 2019/11 | 0.64 | -1.76 | 2.17 | 5.61 | -6.46 | 0.0 | N/A | - |
| 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/1 | 0.35 | 2023/1 | 0.26 | 2022/1 | 0.52 | 2021/1 | 0.58 | 2020/1 | 0.38 |
| 2024/2 | 0.27 | 2023/2 | 0.48 | 2022/2 | 0.31 | 2021/2 | 0.34 | 2020/2 | 0.44 |
| 2024/3 | 0.35 | 2023/3 | 0.63 | 2022/3 | 0.76 | 2021/3 | 0.71 | 2020/3 | 0.4 |
| 2024/4 | 0.77 | 2023/4 | 0.46 | 2022/4 | 0.43 | 2021/4 | 0.4 | 2020/4 | 0.4 |
| 2024/5 | 1.05 | 2023/5 | 0.24 | 2022/5 | 0.71 | 2021/5 | 0.59 | 2020/5 | 0.58 |
| 2024/6 | 0.79 | 2023/6 | 0.29 | 2022/6 | 0.53 | 2021/6 | 0.53 | 2020/6 | 0.48 |
| 2024/7 | 1.04 | 2023/7 | 0.31 | 2022/7 | 0.72 | 2021/7 | 0.59 | 2020/7 | 0.5 |
| 2024/8 | 0.61 | 2023/8 | 0.19 | 2022/8 | 0.36 | 2021/8 | 0.64 | 2020/8 | 0.45 |
| 2024/9 | 0.55 | 2023/9 | 0.2 | 2022/9 | 0.39 | 2021/9 | 0.64 | 2020/9 | 0.46 |
| 2024/10 | 0.49 | 2023/10 | 0.25 | 2022/10 | 0.55 | 2021/10 | 0.61 | 2020/10 | 0.46 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/11 | 0.21 | 2022/11 | 0.5 | 2021/11 | 0.62 | 2020/11 | 0.47 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/12 | 0.41 | 2022/12 | 0.64 | 2021/12 | 0.66 | 2020/12 | 0.52 |
- 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
| 合約負債 QoQ YoY | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 24Q3 (20) | 0.12 | -47.83 | 33.33 |
| 24Q2 (19) | 0.23 | 53.33 | 130.0 |
| 24Q1 (18) | 0.15 | 25.0 | 66.67 |
| 23Q4 (17) | 0.12 | 33.33 | 500.0 |
| 23Q3 (16) | 0.09 | -10.0 | 350.0 |
| 23Q2 (15) | 0.1 | 11.11 | 400.0 |
| 23Q1 (14) | 0.09 | 350.0 | 350.0 |
| 22Q4 (13) | 0.02 | 0.0 | -60.0 |
| 22Q3 (12) | 0.02 | 0.0 | -77.78 |
| 22Q2 (11) | 0.02 | 0.0 | -80.0 |
| 22Q1 (10) | 0.02 | -60.0 | -83.33 |
| 21Q4 (9) | 0.05 | -44.44 | -90.38 |
| 21Q3 (8) | 0.09 | -10.0 | -18.18 |
| 21Q2 (7) | 0.1 | -16.67 | 0 |
| 21Q1 (6) | 0.12 | -76.92 | 0 |
| 20Q4 (5) | 0.52 | 372.73 | 173.68 |
| 20Q3 (4) | 0.11 | 0 | 0.0 |
