玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)362.862.86-0.64-82.86-106.45-0.42-27.27-35.48-1.43-74.39-48.960.56-20.0124.0-2.31-317.9282.45-32.81-62.4331.66-41.30-133.333.82-0.18-28.57-50.0-0.23-91.67-109.09-46.37-134.074.23-41.30-133.333.8234.59-28.661.26
24Q2 (19)350.02.94-0.3525.53-75.0-0.3329.790.0-0.82-74.47-26.150.789.19775.01.06110.07101.05-20.2062.2989.13-17.7059.3277.95-0.1430.012.5-0.1225.0-71.43-19.8160.2284.35-17.7059.3277.9591.9713.808.95
24Q1 (18)350.02.94-0.472.08-4.44-0.47-11.9-20.51-0.4767.13-4.440.3794.7485.0-10.5366.5664.97-53.5743.2241.0-43.5150.444.88-0.2-11.11-11.11-0.160.0-6.67-49.8051.0147.57-43.5150.444.8835.37-26.38-23.69
23Q4 (17)350.02.94-0.48-54.84-237.14-0.42-35.48-184.0-1.43-48.96-156.970.19-24.0-84.03-31.49-139.29-210.34-94.34-96.5-624.69-87.72-104.29-968.51-0.18-50.0-185.71-0.16-45.45-233.33-101.65-109.93-904.19-87.72-104.29-968.5194.25-54.92-14.71
23Q3 (16)352.942.94-0.31-55.0-132.98-0.316.06-146.27-0.96-47.69-144.440.25212.5-86.26-13.1686.92-148.83-48.0174.16-352.15-42.9446.5-343.15-0.1225.0-134.29-0.11-57.14-134.38-48.4261.76-305.78-42.9446.5-343.1576.250.2810.72
23Q2 (15)340.03.03-0.2055.56-140.82-0.3315.38-184.62-0.65-44.44-150.780.08-60.0-96.06-100.58-234.6-703.0-185.78-104.63-1965.26-80.26-1.69-1121.12-0.1611.11-180.0-0.0753.33-143.75-126.61-33.3-1251.0-80.26-1.69-1121.12-71.59-86.50-81.31
23Q1 (14)340.06.25-0.45-228.57-156.25-0.39-178.0-156.52-0.45-117.93-156.250.2-83.19-88.76-30.06-205.33-211.58-90.79-604.95-574.59-78.93-881.49-643.97-0.18-185.71-152.94-0.15-225.0-157.69-94.98-851.42-583.85-78.93-881.49-643.97-58.91-145.67-101.69
22Q4 (13)340.03.030.35-62.7775.00.50-25.37525.02.5116.265.131.19-34.6213.3328.545.946.6617.98-5.57107.3810.10-42.8158.060.21-40.0133.330.12-62.571.4312.64-46.281.7710.10-42.8158.06-22.4814.5423.21
22Q3 (12)343.033.030.9491.841780.00.6771.791016.672.1668.7563.641.82-10.34119.2826.9561.5779.4319.0491.16907.4117.66124.68744.980.3575.01650.00.32100.01500.023.53113.911036.7117.66124.68744.981.8526.5514.16
22Q2 (11)333.120.00.49-38.75-37.180.39-43.48-32.761.2860.00.792.0314.0414.0416.68-38.08-36.349.96-47.94-41.627.86-45.83-44.80.2-41.18-33.330.16-38.46-36.011.00-43.96-43.127.86-45.83-44.841.78130.62359.51
22Q1 (10)32-3.03-3.030.80300.063.270.69762.576.920.80-47.3763.271.7869.52-14.0126.9438.4442.5419.13120.6597.4214.51127.0788.20.34277.7870.00.26271.4362.519.6358.0585.3614.51127.0788.248.02300.00397.92
21Q4 (9)330.00.00.20300.0-23.080.0833.33-57.891.5215.15-4.41.0526.51-38.619.4629.5678.048.67358.731600.06.39205.7427.80.09350.0800.00.07250.0-22.2212.42500.0671.436.39205.7427.8-13.43103.20-28.16
21Q3 (8)330.00.00.05-93.59-96.090.06-89.66-25.01.323.94-1.490.83-53.37-50.015.02-42.67-0.461.89-88.92-69.712.09-85.32-91.760.02-93.33-80.00.02-92.0-95.242.07-89.3-93.082.09-85.32-91.76-33.69-17.21-20.47
21Q2 (7)330.00.00.7859.18358.820.5848.72314.291.27159.182016.671.78-14.0116.3426.2038.6294.9417.0676.06296.7414.2484.7293.370.350.0328.570.2556.25316.6719.3482.63296.3114.2484.7293.373.5273.8276.99
21Q1 (6)330.00.00.4988.46590.00.39105.26378.570.49-69.18590.02.0721.0569.6718.9072.92100.859.691800.0343.477.7154.2375.360.21900.0500.00.1677.78633.3310.59557.76637.567.7154.2375.3612.034.38121.38
20Q4 (5)330.00.00.26-79.69165.00.19137.5167.861.5918.66562.51.713.0154.0510.93-27.576731.250.51-91.83103.095.00-80.28141.840.01-90.0105.560.09-78.57169.231.61-94.62108.55.00-80.28141.84--0.00
20Q3 (4)330.00.01.28652.940.00.08-42.860.01.342133.330.01.668.50.015.0912.280.06.2445.120.025.35600.280.00.142.860.00.42600.00.029.92513.110.025.35600.280.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)330.00.00.17270.00.00.14200.00.00.06160.00.01.5325.410.013.4442.830.04.30208.040.03.62229.290.00.07240.00.00.06300.00.04.88347.720.03.62229.290.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)330.00.0-0.1075.00.0-0.1450.00.0-0.10-141.670.01.229.910.09.415781.250.0-3.9875.920.0-2.8076.570.0-0.0572.220.0-0.0376.920.0-1.9789.60.0-2.8076.570.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)330.00.0-0.400.00.0-0.280.00.00.240.00.01.110.00.00.160.00.0-16.530.00.0-11.950.00.0-0.180.00.0-0.130.00.0-18.940.00.0-11.950.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.11-19.0176.231.74193.150.49N/A本期銷量增加所致
2024/90.14-42.9160.851.63207.140.61.15本期銷量增加所致
2024/80.249.78157.731.49235.380.641.08本期銷量增加所致
2024/70.2225.34214.331.25256.160.681.02本期營收增加所致
2024/60.18-30.46645.641.03266.610.730.8本期出貨量增加所致
2024/50.283.54619.510.92260.020.750.77本期出貨量增加所致
2024/40.2736.811126.320.64195.740.551.05本期出貨量增加所致
2024/30.2130.45143.080.3790.850.372.09本期出貨量增加所致
2024/20.09-4.6349.620.1853.70.233.34本期出貨量增加所致。
2024/10.0955.3257.80.0957.80.213.64去年同期受美國通膨、升息及氣候異常等因素影響,造成屋業建築施工延宕,故出貨較少。
2023/120.06-12.6357.680.72-89.470.194.74美國受到通膨衝擊及原物料持續波動不穩,導致客戶下單謹慎,故今年營收較去年減少。
2023/110.074.65-83.350.66-90.270.224.13美國受到通膨衝擊及原物料持續波動不穩,導致客戶下單謹慎,故營收較去年同期減少。
2023/100.06-26.08-91.590.59-90.70.243.66美國受到通膨衝擊及原物料持續波動不穩,導致客戶下單謹慎,故營收較去年同期減少。
2023/90.09-8.53-87.590.53-90.580.254.17美國受到通膨衝擊及原物料持續波動不穩,導致客戶下單謹慎,故營收較去年同期減少。
2023/80.0933.89-79.560.44-91.00.195.55因原物料持續波動不穩,導致客戶下單謹慎,故營收較去年同期減少
2023/70.07197.32-89.530.35-92.170.137.85因上游煤鐵原物料持續下跌,國際鋼價不穩,歐、美、亞洲等地區下跌至新低點,
2023/60.02-39.53-96.160.28-92.640.0811.59全球景氣復甦慢、國際通膨及升息壓抑端終需求,導致客戶下單謹慎
2023/50.0476.48-94.320.26-91.910.146.88美金持續升息及鐵礦砂價格持續下跌,客戶預期鋼價下調未到底及不想積壓太多庫存,整體需求動能不足,致營收減少.
2023/40.02-72.88-96.870.22-91.250.166.09全球經濟仍持續受到通膨、升息之影響,除終端需求低迷外,又因銷美同業削價競爭,我司為維持銷美反傾銷0%稅率及長期穩健經營,
2023/30.0841.85-88.570.2-89.010.25.36美國氣候仍然異常,不利施工,整體需求動能不足,致營收減少.
2023/20.060.57-91.170.11-89.30.156.95美國北部及中西部連續3個月氣候異常,屋業建築施工延宕,整體需求動能不足,致營收減少。
2023/10.0655.21-86.420.06-86.420.492.13因美國通膨、升息及氣候異常,造成屋業建築施工被延宕,疫情日漸趨緩進口商調低庫存量,導致需求暫緩,客戶觀望中。
2022/120.04-90.77-91.096.8219.061.191.01客戶訂單暫緩,因美國持續遭受世紀暴風雪肆虐,受極地氣候影響不可抗力之因素,建商無法施工。
2022/110.4-47.13-1.566.7827.61.840.65-
2022/100.758.98229.116.3830.011.90.63去年因塞港及缺櫃問題營業額較低
2022/90.6950.766.615.6320.271.820.45去年因塞港問題營業額較低
2022/80.46-31.417.874.9415.761.740.47-
2022/70.678.890.04.4816.641.970.42去年7月因為馬來西亞疫情嚴重,因應馬國政府政策停工
2022/60.61-10.57.923.81-1.152.010.82-
2022/50.69-2.9425.023.18-3.352.110.78-
2022/40.71-0.726.362.49-9.042.070.8-
2022/30.719.6-6.431.78-13.991.781.01-
2022/20.6554.73-0.681.07-18.381.481.21-
2022/10.421.84-36.010.42-36.011.241.45-
2021/120.411.91-30.165.73-6.561.051.88-
2021/110.476.74-29.935.32-4.041.051.88-
2021/100.23-44.82-57.564.91-1.031.071.84因疫情影響缺櫃所致
2021/90.42-2.42-17.274.685.860.842.23-
2021/80.430.0-13.064.278.820.991.88-
2021/70.0-100.0-100.03.8411.941.121.67因行動管制令配合停工
2021/60.573.67-11.843.8639.781.780.95-
2021/50.55-17.43-11.723.2955.551.980.86去年因受疫情影響,出貨較少
2021/40.67-12.66186.92.7483.632.080.81去年同期受疫情影響,出貨較少
2021/30.7616.32127.872.0764.612.070.74去年同期受疫情影響,出貨較少
2021/20.65-0.3139.191.3141.761.90.8-
2021/10.6611.1644.420.6644.421.820.84-
2020/120.592.2538.26.132.621.710.99-
2020/110.587.0365.695.54-0.111.621.04營收成長係客戶需求增加
2020/100.547.5862.534.96-4.531.531.1營收成長係客戶需求增加
2020/90.52.5348.754.42-9.11.660.75-
2020/80.49-27.2549.843.92-13.411.810.69-
2020/70.674.1523.523.43-18.331.940.64-
2020/60.653.817.22.76-24.561.50.71-
2020/50.62168.356.842.11-30.831.190.9-
2020/40.23-30.63-59.011.49-39.71.041.03因馬來西亞實施行動管制令,使工作天數減少所致
2020/30.33-28.94-38.311.26-33.971.260.97-
2020/20.473.422.180.92-32.251.350.9-
2020/10.456.38-49.760.45-49.761.230.99-
2019/120.4322.58-51.425.97-28.880.0N/A因受市場景氣影響,客戶庫存去化緩慢,下單保守所致
2019/110.354.99-57.485.55-26.240.0N/A因受市場景氣影響,客戶庫存去化緩慢,下單保守所致
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)352.94-1.430-1.4400.72-89.44-32.870-88.040-68.870-0.630-0.60-0.490
2022 (9)343.032.4963.822.25102.76.8219.0224.1716.6516.1851.512.6044.991.180.331.1561.970.8672.0
2021 (8)330.01.52-4.41.11404.555.73-6.5320.7267.3710.68403.778.690.810.61369.230.7122.410.5-5.66
2020 (7)330.01.59562.50.2206.132.6812.3826.972.1208.62533.820.1300.58241.180.53562.5
2019 (6)330.00.24-83.33-0.5305.97-29.019.75-37.3-1.5501.36-76.06-0.0900.17-68.520.08-83.33
2018 (5)330.01.442300.01.394533.338.41102.1615.55-8.046.651131.485.681162.220.562700.00.541700.00.482300.0
2017 (4)3310.00.06-97.00.03-98.044.16-22.6816.91-36.90.54-95.890.45-95.990.02-97.180.03-96.00.02-96.67
2016 (3)300.02.0053.851.5341.675.38-5.7826.8024.7713.1525.7211.2363.230.7118.330.7525.00.653.85
2015 (2)3011.111.30-13.911.08-11.485.71-21.2421.4816.2310.4614.196.8822.420.6-9.090.6-4.760.39-4.88
2014 (1)2717.391.51-24.881.220.07.2514.1718.4809.1605.6200.664.760.63-4.550.41-12.77

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