玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1120.282.333.28214.584.3161.08N/A-
2024/1019.82-5.589.55194.184.3560.91N/A0.394.91-
2024/920.994.393.01174.363.7959.770.62-
2024/820.17.620.59153.383.8958.130.64-
2024/718.68-3.465.28133.324.4557.440.640.313.98-
2024/619.35-0.282.51114.644.3258.780.6-
2024/519.41-3.10.8795.294.6959.140.590.543.2-
2024/420.031.635.076.05.8855.380.63-
2024/319.7125.92-0.5455.986.255.980.57-
2024/215.65-24.11-4.836.2710.2757.340.560.551.3-
2024/120.62-2.1225.3420.6225.3461.320.520.750.75-
2023/1221.077.38.26226.7810.7458.790.560.826.0-
2023/1119.638.546.12205.7211.058.190.570.725.19-
2023/1018.09-11.615.13186.1811.658.540.560.534.47-
2023/920.472.4117.62168.0912.3458.190.570.673.95-
2023/819.9812.6316.85147.6211.6456.680.590.53.28-
2023/717.74-6.3610.6127.6410.8755.930.60.382.77-
2023/618.95-1.55.54109.9710.9957.260.590.62.4-
2023/519.240.8512.2591.0212.1958.080.580.451.79-
2023/419.07-3.4816.2871.7812.1855.280.610.391.34-
2023/319.7620.2217.4252.6510.6652.650.630.460.92-
2023/216.44-0.0729.8632.896.9652.360.640.210.46-
2023/116.45-15.51-9.0616.45-9.0654.430.610.250.25-
2022/1219.475.26-5.51204.83.1155.180.670.373.62-
2022/1118.57.5211.17185.324.1153.130.690.23.25-
2022/1017.21-1.244.87166.823.3851.730.710.123.06-
2022/917.421.87-0.67149.643.2250.570.810.172.94-
2022/817.16.62.85132.223.7651.150.80.152.77-
2022/716.04-10.897.47115.173.9451.180.80.182.62-
2022/618.05.0412.6599.133.3951.540.790.432.43-
2022/517.144.484.081.121.5450.440.810.392.0-
2022/416.4-2.93-2.464.051.0145.960.890.41.61-
2022/316.933.49-1.0447.652.2447.650.780.541.21-
2022/212.66-30.035.0330.754.1451.450.720.10.67-
2022/118.09-12.613.5318.093.5355.430.670.570.57-
2021/1220.724.429.33198.7112.7653.750.650.816.55-
2021/1116.641.428.63178.0113.1750.620.690.475.73-
2021/1016.41-6.658.01161.413.6950.610.690.55.27-
2021/917.585.71-0.38145.014.3749.130.620.664.76-
2021/816.6311.392.23127.4216.7647.570.650.584.11-
2021/714.93-6.836.3110.8319.3447.430.650.353.53-
2021/616.02-2.7712.0195.9121.6649.310.620.473.18-
2021/516.48-1.9514.4279.8923.850.410.610.462.71-
2021/416.81-1.8520.3663.4626.5945.980.670.642.25-
2021/317.1242.0734.1646.6529.046.650.60.81.62-
2021/212.05-31.0242.1929.5326.1948.180.580.150.83-
2021/117.47-6.3317.117.4717.151.450.550.680.68-
2020/1218.6621.791.58175.94-4.0849.160.50.755.59-
2020/1115.320.84-2.36157.28-4.7248.190.510.64.84-
2020/1015.19-14.110.49142.0-4.9449.140.50.484.24-
2020/917.688.7415.28126.82-5.5547.990.480.873.76-
2020/816.2615.815.31109.13-8.2444.620.510.622.89-
2020/714.04-1.89-4.2892.88-10.2542.760.530.432.28-
2020/614.31-0.61-12.1278.84-11.2442.680.540.571.89-
2020/514.43.13-7.4664.53-11.0440.890.570.481.32-
2020/413.9611.45-5.5849.89-12.4334.970.660.310.83-
2020/312.5347.8-17.3635.93-14.8335.930.60.290.52-
2020/28.48-43.2-13.8423.4-13.4141.790.52-0.270.23-
2020/114.92-18.87-13.1614.92-13.160.0N/A0.510.51-
2019/1218.3917.243.3183.470.320.0N/A0.665.43-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/120.622023/116.452022/118.092021/117.472020/114.92
2024/215.652023/216.442022/212.662021/212.052020/28.48
2024/319.712023/319.762022/316.92021/317.122020/312.53
2024/420.032023/419.072022/416.42021/416.812020/413.96
2024/519.412023/519.242022/517.142021/516.482020/514.4
2024/619.352023/618.952022/618.02021/616.022020/614.31
2024/718.682023/717.742022/716.042021/714.932020/714.04
2024/820.12023/819.982022/817.12021/816.632020/816.26
2024/920.992023/920.472022/917.422021/917.582020/917.68
2024/1019.822023/1018.092022/1017.212021/1016.412020/1015.19
2024/1120.282023/1119.632022/1118.52021/1116.642020/1115.32
N/AN/A2023/1221.072022/1219.472021/1220.72020/1218.66
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 9.42%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.771.47-26.13
24Q2 (19)2.73-7.46-22.44
24Q1 (18)2.95-23.18-34.0
23Q4 (17)3.842.4-18.12
23Q3 (16)3.756.53-38.73
23Q2 (15)3.52-21.25-41.63
23Q1 (14)4.47-4.69-34.84
22Q4 (13)4.69-23.37-13.31
22Q3 (12)6.121.4931.61
22Q2 (11)6.03-12.115.3
22Q1 (10)6.8626.814.72
21Q4 (9)5.4116.34-5.75
21Q3 (8)4.65-11.0913.97
21Q2 (7)5.23-12.5432.74
21Q1 (6)5.984.1826.69
20Q4 (5)5.7440.6929.57
20Q3 (4)4.083.550.0
20Q2 (3)3.94-16.530.0
20Q1 (2)4.726.550.0
19Q4 (1)4.430.00.0

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