玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/108.79-28.677.0288.847.629.5N/A-
2024/912.3246.9661.0180.057.6628.990.28主係產品為反映成本,即將調漲價格,客戶提前購買所致。
2024/88.391.27-15.467.731.5425.50.32-
2024/78.28-6.264.3159.344.526.620.3-
2024/68.83-7.06-6.4951.064.5327.580.28-
2024/59.512.852.342.227.1728.340.27-
2024/49.24-3.6716.8932.728.6824.820.31-
2024/39.660.311.7123.485.7523.480.31-
2024/25.99-24.19-1.8913.888.7425.860.28-
2024/17.9-34.0818.487.918.4831.680.23-
2023/1211.981.397.89106.352.3532.00.21-
2023/1111.8143.81.5994.381.6827.680.25-
2023/108.217.31-3.5282.561.725.780.27-
2023/97.65-22.79-11.1574.352.3125.510.3-
2023/89.9124.8818.2666.74.1227.30.28-
2023/77.94-15.970.2356.781.9926.680.28-
2023/69.451.676.9248.842.2826.650.28-
2023/59.2917.51-7.9439.41.2326.630.28-
2023/47.91-16.17-4.6830.14.4523.440.31-
2023/39.4354.628.6922.28.1422.20.33-
2023/26.1-8.4426.1312.767.7323.870.31-
2023/16.66-39.97-4.956.66-4.9529.390.25-
2022/1211.1-4.525.24103.916.0531.240.22-
2022/1111.6336.559.8692.816.1428.760.24-
2022/108.51-1.175.781.185.6325.510.27-
2022/98.622.778.5772.675.6224.920.29-
2022/88.385.8411.9164.055.2425.140.29-
2022/77.92-10.36-8.0155.674.326.850.27-
2022/68.84-12.467.6147.756.6727.220.25-
2022/510.0921.689.6738.916.4627.070.25-
2022/48.3-4.418.7828.825.3821.810.31-
2022/38.6879.425.7820.534.0720.530.34-
2022/24.84-31.0-13.2611.852.8622.40.31-
2022/17.01-33.5317.987.0117.9828.140.25-
2021/1210.55-0.340.7897.986.8729.190.25-
2021/1110.5831.399.8887.437.6526.570.27-
2021/108.051.59.8476.857.3523.480.31-
2021/97.945.946.0568.87.0724.040.33-
2021/87.49-13.0110.3260.867.224.310.32-
2021/78.614.8716.2153.376.7826.020.3-
2021/68.21-10.782.7944.765.1425.040.3-
2021/59.220.6918.4836.555.6825.030.3-
2021/47.63-7.0513.3227.351.9721.410.35-
2021/38.247.129.0219.72-1.8219.720.37-
2021/25.58-6.15-18.211.52-8.3221.980.33-
2021/15.94-43.223.385.943.3826.040.28-
2020/1210.478.655.6591.68-0.7627.430.25-
2020/119.6331.354.1781.22-1.5324.450.28-
2020/107.33-1.99-8.1271.58-2.2521.60.32-
2020/97.4810.29.2564.25-1.5421.680.33-
2020/86.79-8.370.7556.77-2.822.190.32-
2020/77.41-7.23-2.0749.98-3.2723.160.31-
2020/67.992.82-1.3442.57-3.4722.480.29-
2020/57.7715.44-5.8234.58-3.9522.020.3-
2020/46.73-10.58-11.7726.82-3.421.070.31-
2020/37.5210.38-4.1520.09-0.2320.090.3-
2020/26.8218.6144.3912.562.2722.470.26-
2020/15.75-41.98-24.025.75-24.0224.90.24-
2019/129.917.132.4392.390.160.0N/A-
2019/119.2515.84-1.4482.48-0.090.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/17.92023/16.662022/17.012021/15.942020/15.75
2024/25.992023/26.12022/24.842021/25.582020/26.82
2024/39.62023/39.432022/38.682021/38.22020/37.52
2024/49.242023/47.912022/48.32021/47.632020/46.73
2024/59.512023/59.292022/510.092021/59.22020/57.77
2024/68.832023/69.452022/68.842021/68.212020/67.99
2024/78.282023/77.942022/77.922021/78.612020/77.41
2024/88.392023/89.912022/88.382021/87.492020/86.79
2024/912.322023/97.652022/98.622021/97.942020/97.48
2024/108.792023/108.212022/108.512021/108.052020/107.33
N/AN/A2023/1111.812022/1111.632021/1110.582020/119.63
N/AN/A2023/1211.982022/1211.12021/1210.552020/1210.47
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 8.91%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.32-11.4151.72
24Q2 (19)1.496.4337.96
24Q1 (18)1.4-7.2830.84
23Q4 (17)1.5173.56-13.71
23Q3 (16)0.87-19.44-13.0
23Q2 (15)1.080.93-9.24
23Q1 (14)1.07-38.8616.3
22Q4 (13)1.7575.029.63
22Q3 (12)1.0-15.97-10.71
22Q2 (11)1.1929.35-9.85
22Q1 (10)0.92-31.85-12.38
21Q4 (9)1.3520.5432.35
21Q3 (8)1.12-15.1514.29
21Q2 (7)1.3225.7191.3
21Q1 (6)1.052.9432.91
20Q4 (5)1.024.0843.66
20Q3 (4)0.9842.030.0
20Q2 (3)0.69-12.660.0
20Q1 (2)0.7911.270.0
19Q4 (1)0.710.00.0

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