玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.965.883.199.885.52.91N/A-
2024/90.91-12.512.658.915.753.020.3-
2024/81.04-2.89-4.888.06.123.020.3-
2024/71.0717.5317.236.967.982.990.3-
2024/60.91-9.44-12.525.896.462.930.25-
2024/51.01-0.5-0.974.9810.863.080.23-
2024/41.01-5.1812.233.9814.322.950.24-
2024/31.0721.98-5.522.9615.052.960.21-
2024/20.87-14.6114.931.931.092.930.22-
2024/11.02-0.5648.961.0248.962.940.21-
2023/121.0316.6510.2111.2714.972.850.2-
2023/110.88-5.430.010.2415.472.70.21-
2023/100.935.3316.119.3617.182.910.19-
2023/90.89-18.9322.778.4317.32.890.18-
2023/81.0919.6722.977.5416.693.050.17-
2023/70.91-12.37.026.4515.692.970.18-
2023/61.042.5133.235.5317.252.960.17-
2023/51.0212.7623.844.4914.083.050.16-
2023/40.9-20.189.733.4811.512.790.18-
2023/31.1348.427.092.5812.152.580.19-
2023/20.7610.6718.481.452.732.380.21-
2023/10.69-26.43-10.430.69-10.432.50.2-
2022/120.935.8419.859.86.532.620.18-
2022/110.889.7921.518.875.32.410.2-
2022/100.811.3719.097.993.772.410.19-
2022/90.72-18.85.897.182.292.460.3-
2022/80.894.1619.586.461.912.520.29-
2022/70.859.171.065.57-0.432.460.3-
2022/60.78-4.7-15.24.72-0.72.420.31-
2022/50.82-0.0817.983.942.782.530.29-
2022/40.82-7.56-2.413.12-0.582.350.31-
2022/30.8938.347.352.30.082.30.28-
2022/20.64-16.33-6.131.41-4.02.190.29-
2022/10.77-1.55-2.140.77-2.142.270.28-
2021/120.787.31-5.449.213.962.180.36-
2021/110.737.62.368.4216.162.080.38-
2021/100.67-0.962.697.717.662.10.38-
2021/90.68-8.3-3.467.0219.332.270.4-
2021/80.74-11.9616.896.3422.442.510.36-
2021/70.84-8.4110.975.623.222.460.37-
2021/60.9232.645.694.7525.682.460.31-
2021/50.7-17.3522.743.8321.662.360.32-
2021/40.841.6832.963.1421.432.350.32-
2021/30.8320.9617.162.317.682.30.36-
2021/20.68-12.7810.311.4717.982.290.36-
2021/10.78-4.8725.590.7825.592.320.36-
2020/120.8216.185.768.084.282.190.37-
2020/110.717.9529.057.254.112.070.39-
2020/100.66-6.913.126.541.972.00.4-
2020/90.7111.0320.645.881.852.10.45-
2020/80.64-16.422.275.18-0.262.030.47-
2020/70.7620.2410.324.54-0.611.960.48-
2020/60.6311.714.343.78-2.551.830.2-
2020/50.57-10.47-24.073.15-3.831.910.19-
2020/40.63-10.39-5.612.582.131.960.19-
2020/30.7113.8911.931.954.921.950.19-
2020/20.62-0.6921.881.241.322.020.19-
2020/10.62-19.89-13.20.62-13.21.950.19-
2019/120.7841.763.147.74-0.220.0N/A-
2019/110.55-13.74-18.446.97-0.580.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.022023/10.692022/10.772021/10.782020/10.62
2024/20.872023/20.762022/20.642021/20.682020/20.62
2024/31.072023/31.132022/30.892021/30.832020/30.71
2024/41.012023/40.92022/40.822021/40.842020/40.63
2024/51.012023/51.022022/50.822021/50.72020/50.57
2024/60.912023/61.042022/60.782021/60.922020/60.63
2024/71.072023/70.912022/70.852021/70.842020/70.76
2024/81.042023/81.092022/80.892021/80.742020/80.64
2024/90.912023/90.892022/90.722021/90.682020/90.71
2024/100.962023/100.932022/100.82021/100.672020/100.66
N/AN/A2023/110.882022/110.882021/110.732020/110.71
N/AN/A2023/121.032022/120.932021/120.782020/120.82
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 12.61%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.674.69204.55
24Q2 (19)0.6418.5293.94
24Q1 (18)0.545.885.88
23Q4 (17)0.51131.8210.87
23Q3 (16)0.22-33.33-71.79
23Q2 (15)0.33-35.29-57.69
23Q1 (14)0.5110.87-35.44
22Q4 (13)0.46-41.03-36.99
22Q3 (12)0.780.0-7.14
22Q2 (11)0.78-1.274.0
22Q1 (10)0.798.221.28
21Q4 (9)0.73-13.18.96
21Q3 (8)0.8412.040.0
21Q2 (7)0.75-3.8538.89
21Q1 (6)0.7816.4236.84
20Q4 (5)0.6711.6739.58
20Q3 (4)0.611.110.0
20Q2 (3)0.54-5.260.0
20Q1 (2)0.5718.750.0
19Q4 (1)0.480.00.0

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