玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.48-28.92111.094.34120.331.67N/A因新藥/學名藥產品出貨較去年同期增加,故營收成長。
2024/90.6728.8348.593.87121.531.91.08因新藥/學名藥產品出貨較去年同期增加,故營收成長。
2024/80.52-27.13306.193.2146.941.851.11因新藥/學名藥產品出貨較去年同期多,致本期營收成長
2024/70.7116.32597.992.68129.451.71.21因新藥/學名藥產品出貨較去年同期多,致本期營收成長
2024/60.6166.4871.631.9684.421.231.2因新藥/學名藥產品出貨較去年同期多,致本期營收成長
2024/50.3749.69172.511.3590.91.11.34因新藥/學名藥產品出貨較去年同期多,致本期營收成長
2024/40.25-49.322.060.9871.570.871.69因新藥/學名藥產品出貨較去年同期多,致本期營收成長
2024/30.49240.5256.430.7398.60.730.83藥品銷售收入增加
2024/20.1435.0836.140.256.410.920.66-
2024/10.11-84.38-17.820.11-17.820.850.72-
2023/120.68892.89286.42.7251.830.970.43藥品銷售及委託開發收入增加
2023/110.07-69.8-76.532.0426.380.740.56新藥銷售及委託開發收入減少
2023/100.23-49.9711.161.9748.960.80.52-
2023/90.45252.18150.431.7555.810.680.65學名藥銷售增加且委託開發收入本期完工比例較高,故本期營收增加
2023/80.1325.21136.371.2937.690.590.75新藥/學名藥收入本月增加,故營收增加
2023/70.1-71.39-45.071.1731.650.60.74-
2023/60.36164.3375.641.0652.070.690.43委託開發收入因本期完工比例較高且學名藥銷售增加,故本期營收增加
2023/50.14-32.9444.920.7142.40.470.63-
2023/40.248.03286.40.5741.820.440.68因新藥/學名藥產品出貨較去年同期多,致本期營收成長
2023/30.1430.05-18.390.375.40.371.0-
2023/20.1-18.4637.060.2327.050.410.91-
2023/10.13-26.5819.920.1319.920.590.62-
2022/120.18-39.7139.581.79-9.310.670.4學名藥產品出貨較去年同期多,故營收增加
2022/110.2943.0441.791.61-15.040.670.4-
2022/100.212.7118.01.32-21.910.440.62勞務開發收入本⽉增加,故營收增加
2022/90.18232.4112.741.12-30.040.421.07學名藥產品出貨及勞務開發收入本月增加,故營收增加
2022/80.05-70.9-68.390.94-38.010.441.01委託開發收入因去年完工比較高,故去年營收較高
2022/70.19-8.5213.580.89-34.140.480.93-
2022/60.2118.1167.60.7-40.760.351.09因新藥/學名藥產品出貨較去年同期多,致本期營收成長
2022/50.0978.78-64.530.5-55.10.311.22原料藥產品線因受加徵25%關稅影響,故該產品營收減少
2022/40.05-68.73-58.510.4-52.160.31.28委託開發收入因去年完工比較高,故去年營收較高
2022/30.17118.43-61.180.35-51.040.350.66原料藥產品線因受加徵25%關稅影響,故該產品營收減少
2022/20.08-28.65-44.370.18-35.770.260.9-
2022/10.1146.67-27.820.11-27.820.390.6-
2021/120.07-64.31-78.841.97-26.290.370.57原料藥產品線因受加徵25%關稅影響,故該產品營收減少
2021/110.2119.92-3.941.9-18.50.380.55-
2021/100.099.97-69.991.69-19.960.350.6原料藥產品線因受COVID 19疫情影響及自2019年起需加徵25%關稅,故該產品營收減少
2021/90.08-50.62317.911.6-11.370.420.48學名藥產品較去年同期多,故出貨較去年佳
2021/80.174.56-20.081.52-15.110.410.49-
2021/70.16115.5240.941.35-14.430.50.4-
2021/60.08-71.0955.631.18-18.850.470.52學名藥產品較去年同期多,故出貨較去年佳
2021/50.26109.11-30.191.11-21.440.820.29-
2021/40.13-70.75-50.020.84-18.240.690.35原料藥產品線因受COVID 19疫情影響及自2019年起需加徵25%關稅,故營收減少
2021/30.43213.06109.750.72-7.960.720.38供應商受疫情影響,原料藥產品遞延至本月到貨故本月營收增加。
2021/20.14-7.43-32.350.29-50.10.630.43原料藥產品線因受COVID 19疫情影響及自2019年起需加徵25%關稅,故營收減少
2021/10.15-57.01-59.840.15-59.840.710.381月份原料藥因供應商受疫情影響,無法如期供貨導致本月營收減少。
2020/120.3562.06-2.432.68-25.640.870.36-
2020/110.21-31.3-37.752.33-28.170.540.57-
2020/100.311431.7865.472.12-27.040.550.579月份未出貨的貨物已於10月份出貨,故本月營收增加
2020/90.02-90.55-93.421.81-33.430.350.69月份原料藥因向供應商進貨之船期延後,貨物無法本月到港,故原料藥營收減少。
2020/80.2184.43-43.541.79-25.750.380.55-
2020/70.12137.981.491.57-22.420.540.39-
2020/60.05-87.03-91.821.46-23.850.680.25受COVID 19疫情影響客戶工廠無法正常運作,故API遞延拉貨.另學名藥因主要原物料藥受國外供應商禁運,導致無法生產,使得營收下滑。
2020/50.3849.7156.181.417.070.830.2因貨物提前到港通關運送到客戶處,故本月營收較高。
2020/40.2522.766.881.03-3.970.660.26-
2020/30.210.95-25.060.78-7.030.780.31-
2020/20.2-45.05-29.570.571.730.930.26-
2020/10.374.4534.610.3734.611.070.23-
2019/120.353.39-50.73.6-14.120.0N/A因107年原物料藥進貨船期集中在12月到貨,故107年12月營收增加
2019/110.3482.6294.383.25-6.560.0N/A因107年原物料藥進貨船期集中在12月到貨,故107年11月營收減少
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.112023/10.132022/10.112021/10.152020/10.37
2024/20.142023/20.12022/20.082021/20.142020/20.2
2024/30.492023/30.142022/30.172021/30.432020/30.21
2024/40.252023/40.22022/40.052021/40.132020/40.25
2024/50.372023/50.142022/50.092021/50.262020/50.38
2024/60.612023/60.362022/60.22021/60.082020/60.05
2024/70.712023/70.12022/70.192021/70.162020/70.12
2024/80.522023/80.132022/80.052021/80.172020/80.21
2024/90.672023/90.452022/90.182021/90.082020/90.02
2024/100.482023/100.232022/100.22021/100.092020/100.31
N/AN/A2023/110.072022/110.292021/110.22020/110.21
N/AN/A2023/120.682022/120.182021/120.072020/120.35
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.79%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.34-29.17-10.53
24Q2 (19)0.4823.0829.73
24Q1 (18)0.39-2.5-13.33
23Q4 (17)0.45.2617.65
23Q3 (16)0.382.75.56
23Q2 (15)0.37-17.78-2.63
23Q1 (14)0.4532.3540.62
22Q4 (13)0.34-5.56183.33
22Q3 (12)0.36-5.26260.0
22Q2 (11)0.3818.75171.43
22Q1 (10)0.32166.67100.0
21Q4 (9)0.1220.0-25.0
21Q3 (8)0.1-28.57-58.33
21Q2 (7)0.14-12.5-46.15
21Q1 (6)0.160.0-36.0
20Q4 (5)0.16-33.33-38.46
20Q3 (4)0.24-7.690.0
20Q2 (3)0.264.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.25-3.850.0
19Q4 (1)0.260.00.0

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