玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.12-1.681.513.16-2.093.31N/A-
2024/101.147.6817.1112.04-2.413.36N/A-
2024/91.06-9.24-12.510.9-4.083.461.73-
2024/81.16-6.0-9.799.85-3.083.751.6-
2024/71.24-7.925.498.68-2.14.11.46-
2024/61.34-11.4330.557.45-3.263.921.56-
2024/51.5244.2631.996.1-8.493.861.58-
2024/41.05-18.47-12.354.58-16.933.181.92-
2024/31.2954.964.093.53-18.23.531.91-
2024/20.83-40.76-48.72.24-27.193.41.98-
2024/11.4121.13-3.121.41-3.123.671.84-
2023/121.165.39-42.7114.6-34.13.232.24-
2023/111.113.42-42.1513.44-33.233.282.2-
2023/100.97-19.55-35.3212.34-32.33.472.08-
2023/91.21-6.43-23.8911.37-32.033.671.94-
2023/81.299.93-42.3410.16-32.883.492.04-
2023/71.1713.94-48.468.87-31.243.352.12-
2023/61.03-10.46-53.067.7-27.553.382.11主要係外銷銷售量減少
2023/51.15-4.2-30.546.67-20.913.591.98-
2023/41.2-3.18-49.475.52-18.554.071.75-
2023/31.24-23.63-4.334.32-1.854.321.61-
2023/21.6211.87-5.183.08-0.815.11.36-
2023/11.45-28.364.581.454.585.381.29-
2022/122.036.4155.6522.1642.915.431.36主要係外銷較上期增加
2022/111.926.8241.3620.1341.744.991.48-
2022/101.5-5.339.118.2341.785.331.39-
2022/91.59-29.114.0416.7345.76.11.37-
2022/82.24-1.7441.2315.1452.086.711.25主要係外銷出貨暢旺
2022/72.283.7930.3712.954.136.131.36主要係外銷續強
2022/62.1932.4868.2610.6360.46.231.27主要係外銷數量增加
2022/51.66-30.326.838.4358.475.331.49主要係出口穩健成長
2022/42.3883.3286.046.7768.765.391.47主要係本期外銷銷售額增加
2022/31.3-24.3217.474.460.74.41.81主要係本期銷售價格上漲
2022/21.7123.4170.213.189.914.41.8主要係本期銷售價量齊揚
2022/11.396.6138.951.3938.954.041.97-
2021/121.3-3.3517.9915.5161.14.031.79主要係原物料價格上漲
2021/111.35-2.1140.614.266.684.251.69主要係原物料價格上漲
2021/101.38-9.7243.9412.8669.984.491.61主要係銷售價量齊揚
2021/91.52-3.7770.511.4873.754.861.15主要係本月銷售價量齊揚
2021/81.58-9.29104.579.9674.264.641.21主要係本月銷售價量齊揚
2021/71.7533.94177.518.3769.514.361.29主要係本月銷售價量齊揚
2021/61.3-0.1241.676.6253.733.891.34鋼鐵製品需求轉強
2021/51.312.2194.425.3257.013.691.41主要係本月銷售價格上揚
2021/41.2815.75111.054.0147.763.021.72主要係本月銷售價量齊揚
2021/31.174.0768.52.7429.612.741.87主要係本月銷售價量齊揚
2021/20.63-36.54-10.831.6312.122.741.87-
2021/11.0-9.4734.031.034.033.061.67-
2020/121.115.1744.459.63-15.723.021.55-
2020/110.960.238.738.52-20.042.811.67-
2020/100.966.9369.297.56-24.112.631.78主要係本月內銷出貨量增加
2020/90.8915.4519.266.61-29.722.32.11-
2020/80.7723.049.025.71-33.972.322.09-
2020/70.63-31.61-27.264.94-37.812.222.18-
2020/60.9237.0421.14.31-39.12.21.81-
2020/50.6710.96-36.743.39-46.351.932.06-
2020/40.61-7.57-42.232.72-48.291.972.02-
2020/30.65-7.88-59.842.11-49.82.112.05主要係外銷油管銷售量減少
2020/20.71-4.61-38.021.46-43.442.221.95-
2020/10.75-2.42-47.80.75-47.80.0N/A-
2019/120.7610.6111.6611.42-19.170.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.412023/11.452022/11.392021/11.02020/10.75
2024/20.832023/21.622022/21.712021/20.632020/20.71
2024/31.292023/31.242022/31.32021/31.12020/30.65
2024/41.052023/41.22022/42.382021/41.282020/40.61
2024/51.522023/51.152022/51.662021/51.312020/50.67
2024/61.342023/61.032022/62.192021/61.32020/60.92
2024/71.242023/71.172022/72.282021/71.752020/70.63
2024/81.162023/81.292022/82.242021/81.582020/80.77
2024/91.062023/91.212022/91.592021/91.522020/90.89
2024/101.142023/100.972022/101.52021/101.382020/100.96
2024/111.122023/111.12022/111.92021/111.352020/110.96
N/AN/A2023/121.162022/122.032021/121.32020/121.1
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.1%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.02-33.33-50.0
24Q2 (19)0.0350.0-62.5
24Q1 (18)0.02100.0-99.17
23Q4 (17)0.01-75.0-87.5
23Q3 (16)0.04-50.0-73.33
23Q2 (15)0.08-96.6733.33
23Q1 (14)2.42900.0275.0
22Q4 (13)0.08-46.6714.29
22Q3 (12)0.15150.0400.0
22Q2 (11)0.06-90.62500.0
22Q1 (10)0.64814.293100.0
21Q4 (9)0.07133.33133.33
21Q3 (8)0.03200.050.0
21Q2 (7)0.01-50.00
21Q1 (6)0.02-33.330
20Q4 (5)0.0350.00
20Q3 (4)0.0200.0

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