- 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
- 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
- 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
- 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
- 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
| 年/月 | 營收 | 月增率(%) | 去年同期年增率(%) | 累計營收 | 累計營收年增率(%) | 近三月累計營收 | 存貨銷售比 | 自結稅前EPS | 自結稅前累計EPS | 備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/10 | 1.14 | 7.68 | 17.11 | 12.04 | -2.41 | 3.36 | N/A | - | ||
| 2024/9 | 1.06 | -9.24 | -12.5 | 10.9 | -4.08 | 3.46 | 1.73 | - | ||
| 2024/8 | 1.16 | -6.0 | -9.79 | 9.85 | -3.08 | 3.75 | 1.6 | - | ||
| 2024/7 | 1.24 | -7.92 | 5.49 | 8.68 | -2.1 | 4.1 | 1.46 | - | ||
| 2024/6 | 1.34 | -11.43 | 30.55 | 7.45 | -3.26 | 3.92 | 1.56 | - | ||
| 2024/5 | 1.52 | 44.26 | 31.99 | 6.1 | -8.49 | 3.86 | 1.58 | - | ||
| 2024/4 | 1.05 | -18.47 | -12.35 | 4.58 | -16.93 | 3.18 | 1.92 | - | ||
| 2024/3 | 1.29 | 54.96 | 4.09 | 3.53 | -18.2 | 3.53 | 1.91 | - | ||
| 2024/2 | 0.83 | -40.76 | -48.7 | 2.24 | -27.19 | 3.4 | 1.98 | - | ||
| 2024/1 | 1.41 | 21.13 | -3.12 | 1.41 | -3.12 | 3.67 | 1.84 | - | ||
| 2023/12 | 1.16 | 5.39 | -42.71 | 14.6 | -34.1 | 3.23 | 2.24 | - | ||
| 2023/11 | 1.1 | 13.42 | -42.15 | 13.44 | -33.23 | 3.28 | 2.2 | - | ||
| 2023/10 | 0.97 | -19.55 | -35.32 | 12.34 | -32.3 | 3.47 | 2.08 | - | ||
| 2023/9 | 1.21 | -6.43 | -23.89 | 11.37 | -32.03 | 3.67 | 1.94 | - | ||
| 2023/8 | 1.29 | 9.93 | -42.34 | 10.16 | -32.88 | 3.49 | 2.04 | - | ||
| 2023/7 | 1.17 | 13.94 | -48.46 | 8.87 | -31.24 | 3.35 | 2.12 | - | ||
| 2023/6 | 1.03 | -10.46 | -53.06 | 7.7 | -27.55 | 3.38 | 2.11 | 主要係外銷銷售量減少 | ||
| 2023/5 | 1.15 | -4.2 | -30.54 | 6.67 | -20.91 | 3.59 | 1.98 | - | ||
| 2023/4 | 1.2 | -3.18 | -49.47 | 5.52 | -18.55 | 4.07 | 1.75 | - | ||
| 2023/3 | 1.24 | -23.63 | -4.33 | 4.32 | -1.85 | 4.32 | 1.61 | - | ||
| 2023/2 | 1.62 | 11.87 | -5.18 | 3.08 | -0.81 | 5.1 | 1.36 | - | ||
| 2023/1 | 1.45 | -28.36 | 4.58 | 1.45 | 4.58 | 5.38 | 1.29 | - | ||
| 2022/12 | 2.03 | 6.41 | 55.65 | 22.16 | 42.91 | 5.43 | 1.36 | 主要係外銷較上期增加 | ||
| 2022/11 | 1.9 | 26.82 | 41.36 | 20.13 | 41.74 | 4.99 | 1.48 | - | ||
| 2022/10 | 1.5 | -5.33 | 9.1 | 18.23 | 41.78 | 5.33 | 1.39 | - | ||
| 2022/9 | 1.59 | -29.11 | 4.04 | 16.73 | 45.7 | 6.1 | 1.37 | - | ||
| 2022/8 | 2.24 | -1.74 | 41.23 | 15.14 | 52.08 | 6.71 | 1.25 | 主要係外銷出貨暢旺 | ||
| 2022/7 | 2.28 | 3.79 | 30.37 | 12.9 | 54.13 | 6.13 | 1.36 | 主要係外銷續強 | ||
| 2022/6 | 2.19 | 32.48 | 68.26 | 10.63 | 60.4 | 6.23 | 1.27 | 主要係外銷數量增加 | ||
| 2022/5 | 1.66 | -30.3 | 26.83 | 8.43 | 58.47 | 5.33 | 1.49 | 主要係出口穩健成長 | ||
| 2022/4 | 2.38 | 83.32 | 86.04 | 6.77 | 68.76 | 5.39 | 1.47 | 主要係本期外銷銷售額增加 | ||
| 2022/3 | 1.3 | -24.32 | 17.47 | 4.4 | 60.7 | 4.4 | 1.81 | 主要係本期銷售價格上漲 | ||
| 2022/2 | 1.71 | 23.4 | 170.21 | 3.1 | 89.91 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 主要係本期銷售價量齊揚 | ||
| 2022/1 | 1.39 | 6.61 | 38.95 | 1.39 | 38.95 | 4.04 | 1.97 | - | ||
| 2021/12 | 1.3 | -3.35 | 17.99 | 15.51 | 61.1 | 4.03 | 1.79 | 主要係原物料價格上漲 | ||
| 2021/11 | 1.35 | -2.11 | 40.6 | 14.2 | 66.68 | 4.25 | 1.69 | 主要係原物料價格上漲 | ||
| 2021/10 | 1.38 | -9.72 | 43.94 | 12.86 | 69.98 | 4.49 | 1.61 | 主要係銷售價量齊揚 | ||
| 2021/9 | 1.52 | -3.77 | 70.5 | 11.48 | 73.75 | 4.86 | 1.15 | 主要係本月銷售價量齊揚 | ||
| 2021/8 | 1.58 | -9.29 | 104.57 | 9.96 | 74.26 | 4.64 | 1.21 | 主要係本月銷售價量齊揚 | ||
| 2021/7 | 1.75 | 33.94 | 177.51 | 8.37 | 69.51 | 4.36 | 1.29 | 主要係本月銷售價量齊揚 | ||
| 2021/6 | 1.3 | -0.12 | 41.67 | 6.62 | 53.73 | 3.89 | 1.34 | 鋼鐵製品需求轉強 | ||
| 2021/5 | 1.31 | 2.21 | 94.42 | 5.32 | 57.01 | 3.69 | 1.41 | 主要係本月銷售價格上揚 | ||
| 2021/4 | 1.28 | 15.75 | 111.05 | 4.01 | 47.76 | 3.02 | 1.72 | 主要係本月銷售價量齊揚 | ||
| 2021/3 | 1.1 | 74.07 | 68.5 | 2.74 | 29.61 | 2.74 | 1.87 | 主要係本月銷售價量齊揚 | ||
| 2021/2 | 0.63 | -36.54 | -10.83 | 1.63 | 12.12 | 2.74 | 1.87 | - | ||
| 2021/1 | 1.0 | -9.47 | 34.03 | 1.0 | 34.03 | 3.06 | 1.67 | - | ||
| 2020/12 | 1.1 | 15.17 | 44.45 | 9.63 | -15.72 | 3.02 | 1.55 | - | ||
| 2020/11 | 0.96 | 0.2 | 38.73 | 8.52 | -20.04 | 2.81 | 1.67 | - | ||
| 2020/10 | 0.96 | 6.93 | 69.29 | 7.56 | -24.11 | 2.63 | 1.78 | 主要係本月內銷出貨量增加 | ||
| 2020/9 | 0.89 | 15.45 | 19.26 | 6.61 | -29.72 | 2.3 | 2.11 | - | ||
| 2020/8 | 0.77 | 23.04 | 9.02 | 5.71 | -33.97 | 2.32 | 2.09 | - | ||
| 2020/7 | 0.63 | -31.61 | -27.26 | 4.94 | -37.81 | 2.22 | 2.18 | - | ||
| 2020/6 | 0.92 | 37.04 | 21.1 | 4.31 | -39.1 | 2.2 | 1.81 | - | ||
| 2020/5 | 0.67 | 10.96 | -36.74 | 3.39 | -46.35 | 1.93 | 2.06 | - | ||
| 2020/4 | 0.61 | -7.57 | -42.23 | 2.72 | -48.29 | 1.97 | 2.02 | - | ||
| 2020/3 | 0.65 | -7.88 | -59.84 | 2.11 | -49.8 | 2.11 | 2.05 | 主要係外銷油管銷售量減少 | ||
| 2020/2 | 0.71 | -4.61 | -38.02 | 1.46 | -43.44 | 2.22 | 1.95 | - | ||
| 2020/1 | 0.75 | -2.42 | -47.8 | 0.75 | -47.8 | 2.2 | 1.96 | - | ||
| 2019/12 | 0.76 | 10.61 | 11.66 | 11.42 | -19.17 | 0.0 | N/A | - | ||
| 2019/11 | 0.69 | 22.27 | -56.46 | 10.66 | -20.74 | 0.0 | N/A | 內外銷需求滑落 |
| 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/1 | 1.41 | 2023/1 | 1.45 | 2022/1 | 1.39 | 2021/1 | 1.0 | 2020/1 | 0.75 |
| 2024/2 | 0.83 | 2023/2 | 1.62 | 2022/2 | 1.71 | 2021/2 | 0.63 | 2020/2 | 0.71 |
| 2024/3 | 1.29 | 2023/3 | 1.24 | 2022/3 | 1.3 | 2021/3 | 1.1 | 2020/3 | 0.65 |
| 2024/4 | 1.05 | 2023/4 | 1.2 | 2022/4 | 2.38 | 2021/4 | 1.28 | 2020/4 | 0.61 |
| 2024/5 | 1.52 | 2023/5 | 1.15 | 2022/5 | 1.66 | 2021/5 | 1.31 | 2020/5 | 0.67 |
| 2024/6 | 1.34 | 2023/6 | 1.03 | 2022/6 | 2.19 | 2021/6 | 1.3 | 2020/6 | 0.92 |
| 2024/7 | 1.24 | 2023/7 | 1.17 | 2022/7 | 2.28 | 2021/7 | 1.75 | 2020/7 | 0.63 |
| 2024/8 | 1.16 | 2023/8 | 1.29 | 2022/8 | 2.24 | 2021/8 | 1.58 | 2020/8 | 0.77 |
| 2024/9 | 1.06 | 2023/9 | 1.21 | 2022/9 | 1.59 | 2021/9 | 1.52 | 2020/9 | 0.89 |
| 2024/10 | 1.14 | 2023/10 | 0.97 | 2022/10 | 1.5 | 2021/10 | 1.38 | 2020/10 | 0.96 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/11 | 1.1 | 2022/11 | 1.9 | 2021/11 | 1.35 | 2020/11 | 0.96 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/12 | 1.16 | 2022/12 | 2.03 | 2021/12 | 1.3 | 2020/12 | 1.1 |
- 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
| 合約負債 QoQ YoY | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 24Q3 (20) | 0.02 | -33.33 | -50.0 |
| 24Q2 (19) | 0.03 | 50.0 | -62.5 |
| 24Q1 (18) | 0.02 | 100.0 | -99.17 |
| 23Q4 (17) | 0.01 | -75.0 | -87.5 |
| 23Q3 (16) | 0.04 | -50.0 | -73.33 |
| 23Q2 (15) | 0.08 | -96.67 | 33.33 |
| 23Q1 (14) | 2.4 | 2900.0 | 275.0 |
| 22Q4 (13) | 0.08 | -46.67 | 14.29 |
| 22Q3 (12) | 0.15 | 150.0 | 400.0 |
| 22Q2 (11) | 0.06 | -90.62 | 500.0 |
| 22Q1 (10) | 0.64 | 814.29 | 3100.0 |
| 21Q4 (9) | 0.07 | 133.33 | 133.33 |
| 21Q3 (8) | 0.03 | 200.0 | 50.0 |
| 21Q2 (7) | 0.01 | -50.0 | 0 |
| 21Q1 (6) | 0.02 | -33.33 | 0 |
| 20Q4 (5) | 0.03 | 50.0 | 0 |
| 20Q3 (4) | 0.02 | 0 | 0.0 |
