玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1025.48-3.68-19.78282.41-2.5579.43N/A0.374.19-
2024/926.45-3.811.99256.93-0.4381.790.970.383.81-
2024/827.5-1.233.52230.48-0.7183.410.950.143.44-
2024/727.84-0.8-1.04202.98-1.2588.910.890.443.3-
2024/628.07-14.930.6175.14-1.2990.170.890.572.86-
2024/533.013.39-1.7147.07-1.6494.680.850.552.29-
2024/429.1-10.672.08114.07-1.6280.641.00.481.74-
2024/332.5871.82-13.3884.97-2.8384.970.950.541.25-
2024/218.96-43.27-34.0452.395.1383.440.970.150.72-
2024/133.437.6558.5433.4358.5492.430.870.570.57因112年1月適逢農曆春節,113年1月銷售量較去年同期增加61%,致營收增加58.54%
2023/1231.0511.11-4.7348.82-9.6490.760.860.535.02-
2023/1127.95-12.0-11.82317.77-10.0985.640.910.354.49-
2023/1031.7622.4625.45289.82-9.9284.250.920.54.13-
2023/925.93-2.37-4.26258.06-12.9480.630.90.373.63-
2023/826.56-5.59-6.98232.13-13.8282.60.880.363.26-
2023/728.140.84-14.06205.57-14.6389.610.810.372.9-
2023/627.9-16.88-18.43177.43-14.7289.980.750.362.53-
2023/533.5717.75-11.03149.53-13.9999.70.680.432.17-
2023/428.51-24.21-22.19115.96-14.8194.870.710.461.74-
2023/337.6230.84-7.4387.45-12.0987.450.740.651.28-
2023/228.7536.348.349.83-15.3182.420.790.380.63-
2023/121.09-35.29-34.7221.09-34.7285.370.760.250.25-
2022/1232.592.81-6.08386.050.6389.60.70.66.5-
2022/1131.725.2-16.43353.461.384.10.740.55.9-
2022/1025.31-6.54-31.03321.773.4780.960.770.395.4-
2022/927.09-5.14-16.95296.458.0888.390.80.255.01-
2022/828.56-12.77-6.91269.3711.4695.510.740.374.76-
2022/732.74-4.28-3.32240.8114.14104.680.680.564.39-
2022/634.21-9.34-0.52208.0717.48108.580.750.63.83-
2022/537.732.9710.78173.8621.82115.010.710.623.22-
2022/436.64-9.8323.37136.1325.28103.820.790.632.6-
2022/340.6453.0921.8299.4825.9999.480.740.851.97-
2022/226.54-17.8346.6158.8529.0593.540.790.511.12-
2022/132.3-6.8917.4832.317.48104.930.70.610.61-
2021/1234.7-8.5224.29383.640.52109.340.680.958.66-
2021/1137.933.3350.21348.9142.37107.250.690.857.71主係景氣復甦,原物料上漲,銷售數量及價格分別較去年同期增加6.99%及40.41%,使110年11月營業收入較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/1036.7112.5460.19310.9841.47100.00.740.816.86主係景氣復甦,原物料上漲,銷售數量及價格分別較去年同期增加14.0%及40.5%,使110年10月營業收入較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/932.626.3141.59274.2739.2997.170.650.826.04-
2021/830.68-9.4152.51241.6538.9898.940.640.755.23主係景氣復甦,原物料上漲,銷售數量及價格分別較去年同期增加6.8%及41.8%,使110年8月營業收入較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/733.87-1.551.42210.9737.21102.320.620.874.47主係景氣復甦,原物料上漲,銷售數量及價格分別較去年同期增加7%及42%,使110年7月營業收入較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/634.390.9658.65177.134.898.150.680.843.6主係景氣復甦,原物料上漲,銷售數量及價格分別較去年同期增加19%及33%,使110年6月營業收入較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/534.0614.6856.34142.7230.0897.120.680.72.76主係景氣復甦,原物料上漲,銷售數量及價格分別較去年同期上漲21%及30%,使110年5月營業收入較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/429.7-10.9630.43108.6623.5881.160.820.622.06-
2021/333.3684.2635.5378.9621.1878.960.650.661.44-
2021/218.1-34.15-27.0945.612.4873.520.70.290.78-
2021/127.5-1.575.0527.575.0580.660.640.490.49主係109年1月適逢農曆春節,工作天數較少,使110年1月營業收入較去年同期大幅成長。
2020/1227.9210.5512.96272.98-1.5776.080.430.635.57-
2020/1125.2510.210.57245.06-2.9971.20.460.484.95-
2020/1022.91-0.53-3.3219.81-4.3466.070.50.394.46-
2020/923.0414.52.9196.9-4.4665.520.630.514.08-
2020/820.12-10.05-5.27173.86-5.3664.160.640.433.57-
2020/722.373.19-3.76153.75-5.3865.830.630.683.14-
2020/621.68-0.51.8131.38-5.6566.230.640.512.46-
2020/521.78-4.32-6.67109.71-6.9969.170.620.421.95-
2020/422.77-7.48-6.587.92-7.0772.210.590.441.54-
2020/324.61-0.88-1.8565.15-7.2765.150.710.371.1-
2020/224.8358.149.9840.54-10.2865.250.710.480.73-
2020/115.71-36.44-45.1315.71-45.1363.260.730.260.26-
2019/1224.718.21-0.99277.36-10.140.0N/A0.514.11-
2019/1122.84-3.62-9.54252.64-10.940.0N/A0.193.6-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/133.432023/121.092022/132.32021/127.52020/115.71
2024/218.962023/228.752022/226.542021/218.12020/224.83
2024/332.582023/337.622022/340.642021/333.362020/324.61
2024/429.12023/428.512022/436.642021/429.72020/422.77
2024/533.02023/533.572022/537.732021/534.062020/521.78
2024/628.072023/627.92022/634.212021/634.392020/621.68
2024/727.842023/728.142022/732.742021/733.872020/722.37
2024/827.52023/826.562022/828.562021/830.682020/820.12
2024/926.452023/925.932022/927.092021/932.622020/923.04
2024/1025.482023/1031.762022/1025.312021/1036.712020/1022.91
N/AN/A2023/1127.952022/1131.72021/1137.932020/1125.25
N/AN/A2023/1231.052022/1232.592021/1234.72020/1227.92
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.6%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.5198.6879.76
24Q2 (19)0.7620.63-6.17
24Q1 (18)0.63-19.23-20.25
23Q4 (17)0.78-7.14-7.14
23Q3 (16)0.843.7-61.82
23Q2 (15)0.812.53-53.71
23Q1 (14)0.79-5.95-58.85
22Q4 (13)0.84-61.82-50.88
22Q3 (12)2.225.71-14.4
22Q2 (11)1.75-8.85-38.81
22Q1 (10)1.9212.28-5.42
21Q4 (9)1.71-33.4627.61
21Q3 (8)2.57-10.1496.18
21Q2 (7)2.8640.89177.67
21Q1 (6)2.0351.4937.16
20Q4 (5)1.342.292.29
20Q3 (4)1.3127.180.0
20Q2 (3)1.03-30.410.0
20Q1 (2)1.4812.980.0
19Q4 (1)1.310.00.0

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