玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/109.01-3.3-10.52103.04-5.1729.7N/A-
2024/99.32-18.06-10.8294.03-4.6331.221.37-
2024/811.378.030.5384.71-3.8932.361.32-
2024/710.530.646.5373.34-4.5433.341.28-
2024/610.46-15.32-1.562.81-6.1834.081.32-
2024/512.359.591.4152.35-7.0634.281.32-
2024/411.275.73-4.7240.0-9.428.541.58-
2024/310.6661.4-13.9428.73-11.1228.731.55-
2024/26.6-42.38-42.5718.07-9.3728.141.58-
2024/111.4613.8335.911.4635.931.361.42-
2023/1210.072.44-2.5128.57-20.8729.971.38-
2023/119.83-2.4-12.1118.5-22.1130.351.36-
2023/1010.07-3.62-8.35108.67-22.9131.841.3-
2023/910.45-7.62-22.6698.6-24.1431.651.41-
2023/811.3114.48-19.2688.15-24.3131.821.4-
2023/79.88-6.95-25.7276.84-25.032.681.36-
2023/610.62-12.81-26.6466.95-24.8934.631.2-
2023/512.182.96-19.9456.33-24.5536.41.15-
2023/411.83-4.49-21.144.15-25.7335.721.17-
2023/312.397.7-35.8632.32-27.332.321.4-
2023/211.536.361.8519.93-20.7230.261.5-
2023/18.43-18.34-39.128.43-39.1229.951.51-
2022/1210.33-7.63-31.88162.486.6232.51.45-
2022/1111.181.74-25.5152.1510.8735.691.32-
2022/1010.99-18.67-28.18140.9715.3438.521.22-
2022/913.51-3.561.03129.9821.5740.831.11-
2022/814.015.324.58116.4624.5141.791.08-
2022/713.3-8.13.96102.4527.8443.01.05-
2022/614.48-4.8410.1289.1532.3844.691.27-
2022/515.211.4616.2474.6737.7849.521.15-
2022/415.0-22.3632.5359.4644.6445.61.25-
2022/319.3171.0459.3844.4649.2444.461.3主要係鎳價上漲帶動不銹鋼產品價格上漲致營收增加
2022/211.29-18.555.825.1542.2940.311.43主要係鎳價上漲帶動不銹鋼產品價格上漲致營收增加
2022/113.86-8.6232.913.8632.944.031.31-
2021/1215.161.046.55152.3944.2945.481.35-
2021/1115.01-1.962.61137.2344.0443.691.41主要係鎳價上漲帶動不銹鋼產品價格上漲致營收增加
2021/1015.314.4174.74122.2142.0542.081.46主要係鎳價上漲帶動不銹鋼產品價格上漲致營收增加
2021/913.38-0.1736.41106.9138.3539.571.27-
2021/813.44.753.1593.5438.6339.341.28主要係鎳價上漲帶動不銹鋼產品價格上漲致營收增加
2021/712.8-2.6541.080.1436.4639.031.29-
2021/613.150.4454.0667.3435.6437.551.14係鎳價上漲帶動不銹鋼產品價格上漲致營收增加
2021/513.0915.6756.754.1931.8136.521.17主要係歐美疫情趨緩及國內客戶需求增加所致
2021/411.31-6.6321.0741.125.4730.681.39-
2021/312.1267.229.4129.7927.2229.791.45-
2021/27.25-30.48-5.1617.6725.7628.021.54-
2021/110.430.7662.6210.4362.6230.01.44今年元月份較去年同期,工作天數增加33%;鎳價上漲致營收增加28.5%
2020/1210.3512.070.75105.61-11.8728.331.5-
2020/119.235.4113.2495.26-13.0527.791.53-
2020/108.76-10.68-11.9586.03-15.1727.311.56-
2020/99.812.06-3.9477.27-15.5227.631.51-
2020/88.75-3.6-18.0567.47-16.9726.361.58-
2020/79.086.36-18.1158.72-16.8125.961.61-
2020/68.532.16-8.1849.64-16.5726.231.52-
2020/58.35-10.62-22.9741.11-18.1227.061.47-
2020/49.34-0.2-3.1232.76-16.7926.351.51-
2020/39.3622.53-17.6823.42-21.2223.421.86-
2020/27.6419.22.0714.05-23.4224.321.79-
2020/16.41-37.57-40.996.41-40.9924.831.75-
2019/1210.2725.9617.11119.84-10.590.0N/A-
2019/118.15-18.03-20.85109.57-12.530.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/111.462023/18.432022/113.862021/110.432020/16.41
2024/26.62023/211.52022/211.292021/27.252020/27.64
2024/310.662023/312.392022/319.312021/312.122020/39.36
2024/411.272023/411.832022/415.02021/411.312020/49.34
2024/512.352023/512.182022/515.212021/513.092020/58.35
2024/610.462023/610.622022/614.482021/613.152020/68.53
2024/710.532023/79.882022/713.32021/712.82020/79.08
2024/811.372023/811.312022/814.012021/813.42020/88.75
2024/99.322023/910.452022/913.512021/913.382020/99.8
2024/109.012023/1010.072022/1010.992021/1015.32020/108.76
N/AN/A2023/119.832022/1111.182021/1115.012020/119.23
N/AN/A2023/1210.072022/1210.332021/1215.162020/1210.35
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 7.02%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.97-9.6318.67
24Q2 (19)2.180.04.81
24Q1 (18)2.186.86-22.97
23Q4 (17)2.0422.89-26.62
23Q3 (16)1.66-20.19-35.41
23Q2 (15)2.08-26.5-34.59
23Q1 (14)2.831.8-19.37
22Q4 (13)2.788.17-26.46
22Q3 (12)2.57-19.18-33.93
22Q2 (11)3.18-9.4-1.85
22Q1 (10)3.51-7.1432.95
21Q4 (9)3.78-2.8379.15
21Q3 (8)3.8920.06106.91
21Q2 (7)3.2422.7397.56
21Q1 (6)2.6425.1238.22
20Q4 (5)2.1112.2336.13
20Q3 (4)1.8814.630.0
20Q2 (3)1.64-14.140.0
20Q1 (2)1.9123.230.0
19Q4 (1)1.550.00.0

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