玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1012.6318.26.03117.62-10.4635.55N/A-
2024/910.69-12.61-26.87104.99-12.1133.632.11-
2024/812.2314.18-20.2694.3-10.0534.582.05-
2024/710.71-8.0-26.0682.07-8.334.662.05-
2024/611.64-5.36-7.3471.36-4.8736.71.82-
2024/512.3-3.53-2.4259.72-4.3836.851.81-
2024/412.758.17-5.5947.42-4.8733.761.97-
2024/311.7927.91-28.0334.66-4.6134.661.87-
2024/29.22-32.49-21.8522.8714.6137.051.75-
2024/113.65-3.6767.3213.6567.3243.031.51本月及累計合併營業收入較去年同期增加,主係112年1月為農曆春節月份,營業天數差異所致。
2023/1214.18-6.7211.16160.75-6.2941.291.49-
2023/1115.227.549.55146.57-7.741.731.48-
2023/1011.91-18.47-20.04131.38-9.3541.871.47-
2023/914.62-4.7110.27119.46-8.1244.441.44-
2023/815.345.88-16.29104.85-10.2142.391.51-
2023/714.4915.2730.989.51-9.0839.661.61-
2023/612.57-0.34-5.9175.02-14.1438.681.56-
2023/512.61-6.661.5662.46-15.6342.51.42-
2023/413.51-17.53-12.4449.85-19.0941.691.44-
2023/316.3838.88-20.8236.34-21.3236.341.59-
2023/211.7944.53-7.1619.96-21.7232.711.77-
2023/18.16-36.0-36.188.16-36.1834.781.661月份適逢春節年節,營業天數為16天。
2022/1212.75-8.0720.85171.5621.6441.521.29-
2022/1113.87-6.9133.11158.821.742.031.27-
2022/1014.912.4334.9144.9320.7146.481.15-
2022/913.25-27.673.99130.0319.2742.641.38-
2022/818.3265.5951.41116.7821.342.751.38本月營收較去年同期增加50%以上,主要係鋼鐵需求量增加所致。
2022/711.07-17.15-15.6498.4516.9736.841.6-
2022/613.367.581.9887.3922.9941.21.62-
2022/512.42-19.53-9.5774.0327.7448.541.38-
2022/415.43-25.4329.961.6139.3348.831.37-
2022/320.6962.8589.5346.1942.7946.191.36本月營收較去年同期增加50%以上,主要係鋼鐵需求量增加及價格上漲所致。
2022/212.71-0.6445.1425.4918.9736.041.74-
2022/112.7921.20.912.790.933.761.86-
2021/1210.551.24-0.59141.0343.1432.022.05-
2021/1110.42-5.6523.66130.4848.4234.211.92-
2021/1011.05-13.3239.87120.0651.0535.891.83本年累積營收較去年同期增加50%以上,主要係鋼鐵需求量增加及價格上漲所致。
2021/912.745.348.58109.0152.2837.961.27本年累積營收較去年同期增加50%以上,主要係鋼鐵需求量增加及價格上漲所致。
2021/812.1-7.7426.9696.2752.7838.321.26本年累積營收較去年同期增加50%以上,主要係鋼鐵需求量增加及價格上漲所致。
2021/713.120.1629.8284.1757.3839.941.21本年累積營收較去年同期增加50%以上,主要係鋼鐵需求量增加及價格上漲所致。
2021/613.1-4.6169.0371.0563.838.71.06本月及本年累積營收較去年同期增加50%以上,主要係鋼鐵需求量增加及價格上漲所致。
2021/513.7315.59101.0457.9562.6636.521.13本月及本年累積營收較去年同期增加50%以上,主要係鋼鐵需求量增加及價格上漲所致。
2021/411.888.7962.0844.2253.5631.551.3本月及本年累積營收較去年同期增加50%以上,主要係鋼鐵需求量增加及價格上漲所致。
2021/310.9224.7142.8932.3450.6632.341.18本年累積營收較去年同期增加50%以上,主要係鋼鐵需求量增加及價格上漲所致。
2021/28.75-30.9322.2121.4354.9532.041.19本年累積營收較去年同期增加50%以上,主要係鋼鐵需求量增加及價格上漲所致。
2021/112.6719.490.1312.6790.1331.711.2本年度營收較去年同期增加,主要係鋼鐵需求量增加及價格上漲所致。
2020/1210.6125.9519.3998.5216.2126.941.43-
2020/118.436.7135.2487.9115.8424.91.55-
2020/107.9-7.92-5.3679.4814.126.011.48-
2020/98.58-10.0126.7971.5916.7528.211.43-
2020/89.53-5.6630.6263.0115.5127.381.47-
2020/710.130.4232.6453.4813.1724.681.63-
2020/67.7513.4524.1943.379.3621.91.56-
2020/56.83-6.8-4.8935.626.5921.81.57-
2020/47.33-4.0815.428.89.7422.131.54-
2020/37.646.6610.2821.477.9321.471.64-
2020/27.167.4511.1313.836.6822.721.55-
2020/16.67-25.022.286.672.2821.791.62-
2019/128.8942.6775.6884.78-4.030.0N/A108年12月份鋼鐵需求較去年同期為佳,因此營收表現優於去年同期
2019/116.23-25.32-6.3375.89-8.870.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/113.652023/18.162022/112.792021/112.672020/16.67
2024/29.222023/211.792022/212.712021/28.752020/27.16
2024/311.792023/316.382022/320.692021/310.922020/37.64
2024/412.752023/413.512022/415.432021/411.882020/47.33
2024/512.32023/512.612022/512.422021/513.732020/56.83
2024/611.642023/612.572022/613.362021/613.12020/67.75
2024/710.712023/714.492022/711.072021/713.122020/710.1
2024/812.232023/815.342022/818.322021/812.12020/89.53
2024/910.692023/914.622022/913.252021/912.742020/98.58
2024/1012.632023/1011.912022/1014.92021/1011.052020/107.9
N/AN/A2023/1115.22022/1113.872021/1110.422020/118.43
N/AN/A2023/1214.182022/1212.752021/1210.552020/1210.61
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 16.91%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)5.4312.42-59.69
24Q2 (19)4.83-3.01-36.95
24Q1 (18)4.98-64.8375.97
23Q4 (17)14.165.12355.31
23Q3 (16)13.4775.85202.7
23Q2 (15)7.66170.67102.11
23Q1 (14)2.83-9.0-26.87
22Q4 (13)3.11-30.11-25.78
22Q3 (12)4.4517.41-8.44
22Q2 (11)3.79-2.07-9.11
22Q1 (10)3.87-7.646.91
21Q4 (9)4.19-13.7996.71
21Q3 (8)4.8616.55386.0
21Q2 (7)4.1715.19244.63
21Q1 (6)3.6269.95376.32
20Q4 (5)2.13113.042.95
20Q3 (4)1.0-17.360.0
20Q2 (3)1.2159.210.0
20Q1 (2)0.76-48.990.0
19Q4 (1)1.490.00.0

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