玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/107.3-1.4-13.1277.922.3924.12N/A-
2024/97.4-21.445.1270.624.3224.830.87-
2024/89.4217.6324.2963.224.2223.870.9-
2024/78.0124.3817.2253.81.3622.850.94-
2024/66.44-23.383.745.79-0.9822.991.08-
2024/58.43.162.4339.35-1.725.720.96-
2024/48.15-11.1-1.0930.94-2.7722.781.09-
2024/39.1667.58-9.7922.8-3.3622.81.03-
2024/25.47-33.01-33.1713.631.522.221.06-
2024/18.16-4.9455.588.1655.5825.720.91因客戶訂單增加所致
2023/128.59-4.236.9793.65-15.225.960.82-
2023/118.976.771.1285.06-16.9424.410.87-
2023/108.419.29-5.6676.09-18.6623.020.93-
2023/97.04-7.11-25.1267.69-20.0221.451.21-
2023/87.5810.94-31.7560.65-19.3920.621.26-
2023/76.8310.03-30.0953.07-17.2521.251.22-
2023/66.21-24.32-34.5346.24-14.9422.650.99-
2023/58.2-0.39-7.3640.03-10.826.60.84-
2023/48.24-18.92-8.0631.83-11.6426.580.84-
2023/310.1624.16-0.9123.59-12.8323.590.99-
2023/28.1855.9610.2313.43-20.121.461.09-
2023/15.25-34.64-44.15.25-44.122.141.06-
2022/128.03-9.47-24.96110.458.0125.80.8-
2022/118.87-0.39-11.15102.4211.8727.180.76-
2022/108.9-5.3-8.3193.5514.6929.410.7-
2022/99.4-15.34-1.6884.6517.830.280.73-
2022/811.1113.6448.2775.2520.7930.360.73-
2022/79.773.0325.8964.1417.0328.110.79-
2022/69.487.0817.9854.3715.5727.30.84-
2022/58.86-1.1510.2644.8815.0728.070.82-
2022/48.96-12.6211.1836.0216.3226.640.86-
2022/310.2538.1310.1927.0618.1327.060.88-
2022/27.42-20.9129.5716.8123.5727.510.87-
2022/19.39-12.2719.219.3919.2130.070.79-
2021/1210.77.1832.49102.2534.5330.390.66-
2021/119.982.7842.8491.5534.7729.260.68-
2021/109.711.5474.3581.5733.8426.770.75因疫情減緩,客戶訂單增加所致
2021/99.5627.6894.2871.8629.7724.820.78因疫情減緩,客戶訂單增加所致
2021/87.49-3.546.6362.2923.4723.290.83-
2021/77.76-3.4325.0454.820.8623.830.81-
2021/68.040.0833.0147.0420.224.130.83-
2021/58.03-0.3222.1639.017.8625.40.79-
2021/48.06-13.43.9330.9716.823.090.86-
2021/39.3162.4323.022.9122.1222.910.98-
2021/25.73-27.24-11.3713.621.5221.681.03-
2021/17.87-2.4966.487.8766.4822.940.97因客戶訂單增加所致
2020/128.0815.568.7576.01-4.4320.631.2-
2020/116.9925.45-3.4467.93-5.7917.481.42-
2020/105.5713.15-17.7260.94-6.0615.61.59-
2020/94.92-3.63-16.355.37-4.716.241.36-
2020/85.11-17.713.450.45-3.3917.361.27-
2020/76.212.7115.045.34-4.118.831.17-
2020/66.04-8.070.9339.13-6.5620.370.88-
2020/56.57-15.2-7.3433.09-7.8121.890.82-
2020/47.752.484.0726.51-7.9321.780.82-
2020/37.5717.03-4.6218.76-12.1218.761.24-
2020/26.4636.6815.8511.19-16.5618.621.25-
2020/14.73-36.31-39.644.73-39.6419.391.2-
2019/127.432.6-13.5979.54-2.310.0N/A-
2019/117.246.93.772.11-0.980.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/18.162023/15.252022/19.392021/17.872020/14.73
2024/25.472023/28.182022/27.422021/25.732020/26.46
2024/39.162023/310.162022/310.252021/39.312020/37.57
2024/48.152023/48.242022/48.962021/48.062020/47.75
2024/58.42023/58.22022/58.862021/58.032020/56.57
2024/66.442023/66.212022/69.482021/68.042020/66.04
2024/78.012023/76.832022/79.772021/77.762020/76.21
2024/89.422023/87.582022/811.112021/87.492020/85.11
2024/97.42023/97.042022/99.42021/99.562020/94.92
2024/107.32023/108.42022/108.92021/109.712020/105.57
N/AN/A2023/118.972022/118.872021/119.982020/116.99
N/AN/A2023/128.592022/128.032021/1210.72020/128.08
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 15.81%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.0166.338.71
24Q2 (19)1.81-15.02-21.98
24Q1 (18)2.132.486.84
23Q4 (17)2.08-4.1512.43
23Q3 (16)2.17-6.479.6
23Q2 (15)2.32103.51-31.36
23Q1 (14)1.14-38.38-68.68
22Q4 (13)1.85-6.57-48.32
22Q3 (12)1.98-41.42-40.36
22Q2 (11)3.38-7.1431.52
22Q1 (10)3.641.68-10.12
21Q4 (9)3.587.8368.87
21Q3 (8)3.3229.1897.62
21Q2 (7)2.57-36.54164.95
21Q1 (6)4.0591.04252.17
20Q4 (5)2.1226.1969.6
20Q3 (4)1.6873.20.0
20Q2 (3)0.97-15.650.0
20Q1 (2)1.15-8.00.0
19Q4 (1)1.250.00.0

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