玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1110.135.3166.0190.0775.7827.98N/A去年適逢客戶開始庫存調整,經過去化庫存及導入新品後導致年對年增幅度較大。
2024/109.6217.0656.3879.9377.126.53N/A去年適逢客戶開始庫存調整,經過去化庫存及導入新品後導致年對年增幅度較大。
2024/98.22-5.3962.1870.3180.3725.770.46去年適逢客戶開始庫存調整,經過去化庫存及導入新品後導致年對年增幅度較大。
2024/88.69-1.9188.7662.0983.0826.080.46去年適逢客戶開始庫存調整,經過去化庫存及導入新品後導致年對年增幅度較大。
2024/78.863.7894.353.482.1926.080.46去年適逢客戶開始庫存調整,經過去化庫存及導入新品後導致年對年增幅度較大。
2024/68.54-1.71101.4244.5479.9625.170.44去年適逢客戶開始庫存調整,經過去化庫存及導入新品後導致年對年增幅度較大。
2024/58.689.2793.636.0175.5324.390.46去年適逢客戶開始庫存調整,經過去化庫存及導入新品後導致年對年增幅度較大。
2024/47.952.3879.9727.3370.4720.770.54去年適逢客戶開始庫存調整,經過去化庫存及導入新品後導致年對年增幅度較大。
2024/37.7653.3768.419.3866.8619.380.49去年適逢客戶開始庫存調整,經過去化庫存及導入新品後導致年對年增幅度較大。
2024/25.06-22.867.8311.6265.8418.010.52去年二月適逢客戶開始庫存調整,經過去消化庫存後導致年對年增幅度較大。
2024/16.562.5864.346.5664.3419.050.49去年同期適逢農曆春節工作日減少,致本期營業收入淨額較去年同期增加。
2023/126.394.674.457.63-26.118.650.54-
2023/116.1-0.79-6.7451.24-28.717.330.58-
2023/106.1521.4-14.745.13-30.915.820.64-
2023/95.0710.11-28.8938.98-32.9114.230.72-
2023/84.60.96-36.3633.91-33.4713.40.76-
2023/74.567.58-36.1729.31-32.9913.280.77-
2023/64.24-5.52-38.3624.75-32.3713.140.72-
2023/54.491.57-29.120.51-30.9813.510.7-
2023/44.42-4.19-28.3516.03-31.4912.040.78-
2023/34.6152.85-29.6111.61-32.6211.610.76-
2023/23.02-24.4-34.177.0-34.4613.130.67-
2023/13.99-34.84-34.673.99-34.6716.660.53-
2022/126.12-6.47-2.0177.9922.9719.880.46-
2022/116.55-9.268.2371.8725.6920.890.44-
2022/107.211.222.865.3227.7621.580.43-
2022/97.13-1.4530.2158.1128.421.50.5-
2022/87.231.2610.1950.9828.1621.250.51-
2022/77.143.8828.8343.7431.7120.350.53-
2022/66.888.6644.7636.632.2819.370.58-
2022/56.332.6424.929.7329.719.040.59-
2022/46.16-5.8621.1923.431.0617.290.65-
2022/36.5542.9437.817.2434.9917.240.58-
2022/24.58-24.9830.9810.6933.3216.930.59-
2022/16.11-2.2635.146.1135.1418.40.54-
2021/126.253.331.9963.4232.0818.170.51-
2021/116.052.9544.4457.1732.0917.40.53-
2021/105.877.3157.9551.1230.7717.910.52新品導入客戶提貨增加
2021/95.47-16.652.8845.2527.9117.580.5新品導入客戶提貨增加
2021/86.5618.3954.8339.7825.116.860.52新品導入客戶提貨增加
2021/75.5416.7333.2833.2120.5215.360.57-
2021/64.75-6.2324.0927.6718.2614.90.45-
2021/55.07-0.3919.0622.9217.1214.90.45-
2021/45.097.0237.3417.8516.5813.330.5-
2021/34.7535.8710.3612.779.9512.770.43-
2021/23.5-22.6-8.658.029.7212.750.43-
2021/14.52-4.5329.954.5229.9513.440.4-
2020/124.7313.05-0.0848.01-1.3812.640.37-
2020/114.1912.57-0.5143.28-1.5211.490.4-
2020/103.723.86-22.3239.09-1.6311.540.4-
2020/93.58-15.53-17.8535.371.211.980.42-
2020/84.241.9110.631.793.9112.230.41-
2020/74.168.68-1.727.562.9512.240.41-
2020/63.83-10.0316.2723.43.8311.780.46-
2020/54.2514.893.9719.571.712.260.45-
2020/43.7-14.01.3415.311.0911.840.46-
2020/34.3112.463.9111.611.0111.610.44-
2020/23.8310.134.077.31-0.6212.040.43-
2020/13.48-26.59-22.653.48-22.650.0N/A-
2019/124.7412.5535.4448.699.760.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.562023/13.992022/16.112021/14.522020/13.48
2024/25.062023/23.022022/24.582021/23.52020/23.83
2024/37.762023/34.612022/36.552021/34.752020/34.31
2024/47.952023/44.422022/46.162021/45.092020/43.7
2024/58.682023/54.492022/56.332021/55.072020/54.25
2024/68.542023/64.242022/66.882021/64.752020/63.83
2024/78.862023/74.562022/77.142021/75.542020/74.16
2024/88.692023/84.62022/87.232021/86.562020/84.24
2024/98.222023/95.072022/97.132021/95.472020/93.58
2024/109.622023/106.152022/107.212021/105.872020/103.72
2024/1110.132023/116.12022/116.552021/116.052020/114.19
N/AN/A2023/126.392022/126.122021/126.252020/124.73
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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