玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.77-3.07-36.339.24-24.492.33N/A-
2024/90.83.85-38.278.47-23.192.61.8-
2024/80.77-25.74-47.247.68-21.192.931.59-
2024/71.03-8.63-18.136.91-16.633.01.55-
2024/61.1335.010.65.88-16.362.941.6-
2024/50.84-14.12-43.314.75-19.592.971.58-
2024/40.97-16.09-36.443.91-11.682.861.65-
2024/31.1660.6826.232.941.432.941.69-
2024/20.72-31.32-24.141.78-10.112.861.73-
2024/11.05-2.992.951.052.953.091.6-
2023/121.0813.4-21.2414.29-1.493.251.58-
2023/110.96-21.07-25.2813.20.573.461.49-
2023/101.21-6.0218.3212.243.363.961.3-
2023/91.29-11.2333.6611.031.954.01.37-
2023/81.4515.237.619.74-1.153.841.43-
2023/71.2612.283.128.29-2.543.861.42-
2023/61.12-23.93-0.047.03-3.494.131.51-
2023/51.48-3.71-7.445.91-4.123.931.59-
2023/41.5366.6411.734.43-2.963.411.83-
2023/30.92-3.43-23.52.9-9.282.92.31-
2023/20.95-6.7823.921.98-0.683.352.0-
2023/11.02-25.8-16.21.02-16.23.681.82-
2022/121.387.592.0414.50.563.681.78-
2022/111.2824.992.4413.130.413.272.0-
2022/101.026.15-31.0411.850.23.341.96-
2022/90.96-28.53-24.5410.824.693.542.04-
2022/81.3510.421.929.868.823.71.95-
2022/71.228.82-10.448.5110.03.941.83-
2022/61.12-29.55-7.177.2814.394.091.7-
2022/51.616.2339.216.1619.454.171.67-
2022/41.3714.0837.884.5613.813.342.08-
2022/31.256.439.683.195.863.192.11-
2022/20.77-36.96-9.941.993.673.342.01-
2022/11.22-9.6414.61.2214.63.821.76-
2021/121.358.0219.4414.4235.814.091.54-
2021/111.25-15.8737.2713.0737.764.011.57-
2021/101.4916.1655.2511.8237.814.091.54在全球疫情和緩下,市場需求反彈,本公司訂單亦有明顯成長,本期營收較去年同期增加逾50%。
2021/91.28-3.4573.1810.3435.623.971.66去年受疫情影響訂單需求銳減,而今年全球疫情已趨緩,在全球市場需求復甦帶動下本公司訂單漸增,本期營收較去年同期增加逾50%。
2021/81.32-2.9740.329.0631.593.91.68-
2021/71.3712.7936.387.7330.23.721.77-
2021/61.215.6469.636.3728.953.351.79去年同期受疫情影響,訂單需求銳減,又今年全球疫情已趨緩,全球市場需求復甦訂單漸增,以致本期營收較去年同期增加逾50%。
2021/51.1515.1253.675.1622.083.241.85去年同期全球經濟受疫情影響,訂單需求減少,今年各地區仍受疫情影響,惟影響程度趨緩,市場需求復甦訂單增加,銷售金額亦增加。
2021/41.0-9.2413.984.0115.312.952.03-
2021/31.128.4423.13.0115.753.011.72-
2021/20.85-19.78-10.431.9211.933.051.7-
2021/11.06-5.8239.981.0639.983.111.67-
2020/121.1324.142.9410.62-5.03.01.55-
2020/110.91-4.8614.129.49-5.872.611.78-
2020/100.9629.58-2.588.58-7.582.641.76-
2020/90.74-21.78-26.527.62-8.182.681.76-
2020/80.94-5.696.026.88-5.652.661.78-
2020/71.040.32.75.94-7.272.461.92-
2020/60.71-4.29-21.744.94-9.072.331.98-
2020/50.75-14.61-24.744.22-6.512.511.84-
2020/40.87-1.98-13.343.48-1.382.721.7-
2020/30.89-6.54-10.682.63.392.61.82-
2020/20.9525.3671.651.7112.612.811.69營業天數較去年增加,訂單也增加
2020/10.76-30.74-21.310.76-21.312.661.79-
2019/121.137.6216.4911.182.590.0N/A-
2019/110.8-18.79-8.4310.081.280.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.052023/11.022022/11.222021/11.062020/10.76
2024/20.722023/20.952022/20.772021/20.852020/20.95
2024/31.162023/30.922022/31.22021/31.12020/30.89
2024/40.972023/41.532022/41.372021/41.02020/40.87
2024/50.842023/51.482022/51.62021/51.152020/50.75
2024/61.132023/61.122022/61.122021/61.212020/60.71
2024/71.032023/71.262022/71.222021/71.372020/71.0
2024/80.772023/81.452022/81.352021/81.322020/80.94
2024/90.82023/91.292022/90.962021/91.282020/90.74
2024/100.772023/101.212022/101.022021/101.492020/100.96
N/AN/A2023/110.962022/111.282021/111.252020/110.91
N/AN/A2023/121.082022/121.382021/121.352020/121.13
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.42%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.12-42.86-60.0
24Q2 (19)0.21-4.55-38.24
24Q1 (18)0.22-24.14-26.67
23Q4 (17)0.29-3.33-3.33
23Q3 (16)0.3-11.76-9.09
23Q2 (15)0.3413.336.25
23Q1 (14)0.30.036.36
22Q4 (13)0.3-9.0930.43
22Q3 (12)0.333.1283.33
22Q2 (11)0.3245.4514.29
22Q1 (10)0.22-4.35144.44
21Q4 (9)0.2327.78475.0
21Q3 (8)0.18-35.71350.0
21Q2 (7)0.28211.110
21Q1 (6)0.09125.00
20Q4 (5)0.040.00
20Q3 (4)0.0400.0

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