玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.467.1518.113.6114.774.34N/A-
2024/91.36-10.4817.7612.1614.384.230.85-
2024/81.5212.7717.1110.7913.974.180.86-
2024/71.352.726.439.2713.474.260.84-
2024/61.31-17.7813.277.9211.524.370.7-
2024/51.69.527.876.6111.184.380.69-
2024/41.469.8637.615.016.743.670.83-
2024/31.3351.02-6.543.55-2.263.550.86-
2024/20.88-34.65-24.462.220.483.380.91-
2024/11.3516.2828.151.3528.153.790.81-
2023/121.16-9.95-12.914.3-33.353.680.88-
2023/111.294.0-9.6113.15-34.73.680.88-
2023/101.246.85-26.311.86-36.63.690.88-
2023/91.16-10.97-25.1310.63-37.623.521.01-
2023/81.321.74-17.759.47-38.863.531.01-
2023/71.07-7.98-33.848.17-41.263.481.02-
2023/61.16-7.18-25.447.1-42.233.471.3-
2023/51.2517.84-44.295.94-44.663.731.21-
2023/41.06-25.39-49.124.7-44.763.651.23-
2023/31.4222.06-48.823.64-43.353.641.46-
2023/21.1610.87-23.962.21-39.183.541.49-
2023/11.05-20.96-50.221.05-50.223.81.39係因市場需求受通膨影響而下降,致使訂單及營收衰退
2022/121.33-6.56-38.2721.46-20.374.431.47-
2022/111.42-15.19-36.0520.14-18.824.641.4-
2022/101.688.54-20.5318.71-17.124.81.36-
2022/91.54-2.19-34.7917.04-16.774.741.81-
2022/81.58-2.08-39.6915.49-14.414.751.81-
2022/71.613.7-37.5313.91-10.145.411.58-
2022/61.56-30.64-40.0912.3-4.665.881.46-
2022/52.247.62-9.7910.744.267.11.21-
2022/42.08-24.951.08.58.736.391.34-
2022/32.7881.3518.266.4211.56.421.11-
2022/21.53-27.415.383.646.855.791.23-
2022/12.11-2.07.942.117.946.491.1-
2021/122.15-3.216.0426.9660.726.491.03主要係市場回溫訂單增加
2021/112.225.3830.2924.866.286.71.0主要係市場回溫訂單上升
2021/102.11-10.9238.322.5870.757.10.95主要係市場回溫訂單上升
2021/92.37-9.5564.8820.4774.987.570.59主要係市場回溫訂單上升
2021/82.621.4291.6418.176.397.80.58主要係市場回溫訂單上升
2021/72.58-0.5480.1815.4874.057.660.59主要係市場回溫訂單上升
2021/62.64.43152.1112.972.887.150.61主要係市場訂單上升
2021/52.4920.5154.5110.360.196.90.63去年同期因受疫情影響,營收大幅下滑,今年因景氣回升及鋼鐵價格上漲,故營收增加。
2021/42.06-12.1356.777.8243.35.860.74去年因疫情影響,銷貨量下跌,今年鋼鐵市場景氣復甦,使營收相較去年大幅增加。
2021/32.3561.658.025.7539.495.750.75因鋼鐵需求增加故營收增加
2021/21.45-25.65-12.553.4129.075.260.82-
2021/11.955.3599.751.9599.755.520.78109年因受新冠肺炎影響營收大幅下跌
2020/121.858.6819.0216.77-21.295.090.6-
2020/111.7111.85-6.714.92-24.474.670.65-
2020/101.536.19-14.9613.22-26.214.330.7-
2020/91.445.120.1411.7-27.464.240.87-
2020/81.37-4.63-27.910.26-30.153.830.96-
2020/71.4339.15-26.288.9-30.493.441.07-
2020/61.035.43-37.177.46-31.263.321.35-
2020/50.98-25.77-50.666.43-30.213.781.19受疫情影響,出口減少
2020/41.32-11.43-33.95.46-24.624.461.0-
2020/31.49-10.56-27.784.13-21.374.131.06-
2020/21.6669.8347.152.64-17.234.21.04-
2020/10.98-37.22-52.510.98-52.514.371.0適逢1月農曆春節營業天數較少,出貨量下滑。
2019/121.56-14.8-14.9321.31-22.50.0N/A-
2019/111.831.94-28.1819.75-23.040.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.352023/11.052022/12.112021/11.952020/10.98
2024/20.882023/21.162022/21.532021/21.452020/21.66
2024/31.332023/31.422022/32.782021/32.352020/31.49
2024/41.462023/41.062022/42.082021/42.062020/41.32
2024/51.62023/51.252022/52.242021/52.492020/50.98
2024/61.312023/61.162022/61.562021/62.62020/61.03
2024/71.352023/71.072022/71.612021/72.582020/71.43
2024/81.522023/81.32022/81.582021/82.622020/81.37
2024/91.362023/91.162022/91.542021/92.372020/91.44
2024/101.462023/101.242022/101.682021/102.112020/101.53
N/AN/A2023/111.292022/111.422021/112.222020/111.71
N/AN/A2023/121.162022/121.332021/122.152020/121.85
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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