玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.41-2.0515.3423.722.447.08N/A-
2024/92.4610.888.4121.311.176.781.77-
2024/82.224.92-2.2218.860.296.711.79-
2024/72.11-11.31-5.6816.640.646.891.74-
2024/62.38-0.77-0.6914.531.637.131.57-
2024/52.42.21-0.7112.152.17.381.52-
2024/42.35-11.038.969.752.827.341.53-
2024/32.6412.220.817.41.027.41.52-
2024/22.35-2.681.774.771.137.041.6-
2024/12.426.130.522.420.527.11.59-
2023/122.28-5.58-0.9727.84-2.66.771.72-
2023/112.4115.59-1.0425.56-2.756.761.72-
2023/102.09-7.94-17.2623.15-2.926.621.76-
2023/92.27-0.01-13.4421.07-1.236.771.76-
2023/82.271.22-7.7718.80.476.91.72-
2023/72.24-6.63-7.6116.541.727.051.68-
2023/62.4-0.790.6214.33.366.971.74-
2023/52.4212.18-3.3611.93.937.191.68-
2023/42.15-17.68-6.489.485.967.081.71-
2023/32.6213.2914.627.3310.287.331.64-
2023/22.31-3.8811.184.718.07.011.72-
2023/12.44.555.112.45.117.141.69-
2022/122.3-5.6528.7628.5824.737.251.66-
2022/112.44-3.3621.7726.2924.397.571.59-
2022/102.52-3.6932.5923.8524.677.591.58-
2022/92.626.5443.8421.3323.797.51.58-
2022/82.461.3943.3518.7121.427.261.63-
2022/72.421.6926.1216.2518.687.311.62-
2022/62.38-4.7223.0613.8317.467.191.64-
2022/52.58.5628.8211.4516.367.091.66-
2022/42.30.8816.628.9513.36.661.76-
2022/32.289.893.376.6512.26.651.83-
2022/22.08-9.1223.574.3617.456.151.97-
2022/12.2928.0712.382.2912.386.072.0-
2021/121.78-10.7711.4222.9215.045.692.09-
2021/112.05.2214.8921.1315.355.722.08-
2021/101.94.474.8519.1315.45.432.19-
2021/91.826.18-7.4517.2316.75.452.05-
2021/81.71-10.79-1.9415.4120.415.572.01-
2021/71.92-0.768.0513.723.955.81.93-
2021/61.94-0.2627.2111.7727.05.851.68-
2021/51.94-1.7165.319.8426.956.121.61去年因新冠狀病毒疫情影響致營收減少,今年恢復正常
2021/41.97-10.5684.557.920.15.861.682020年4月因新冠肺炎影響營收,今年客戶需求及訂單明顯回升。
2021/32.2131.3717.065.927.585.921.51-
2021/21.68-17.35-3.173.712.645.321.68-
2021/12.0326.978.02.038.05.381.66-
2020/121.6-8.0-0.0919.92-18.475.161.66-
2020/111.74-3.96-8.4818.32-19.765.521.55-
2020/101.81-7.78-5.5516.58-20.785.531.55-
2020/91.9712.52.3814.76-22.325.491.56-
2020/81.75-1.69-8.2712.8-25.095.051.7-
2020/71.7816.83-17.7311.05-27.24.471.92-
2020/61.5229.59-27.519.27-28.773.772.5-
2020/51.179.72-50.127.75-29.014.132.28因新冠肺炎疫情影響,歐美車廠停工,客戶延遲提貨。
2020/41.07-43.27-46.846.58-23.214.692.01-
2020/31.898.65-19.475.51-15.955.511.56-
2020/21.74-7.81-7.353.62-13.995.221.65-
2020/11.8817.46-19.321.88-19.325.391.6-
2019/121.6-15.73-32.1124.4323.760.0N/A-
2019/111.9-0.89-11.7822.8331.350.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.422023/12.42022/12.292021/12.032020/11.88
2024/22.352023/22.312022/22.082021/21.682020/21.74
2024/32.642023/32.622022/32.282021/32.212020/31.89
2024/42.352023/42.152022/42.32021/41.972020/41.07
2024/52.42023/52.422022/52.52021/51.942020/51.17
2024/62.382023/62.42022/62.382021/61.942020/61.52
2024/72.112023/72.242022/72.422021/71.922020/71.78
2024/82.222023/82.272022/82.462021/81.712020/81.75
2024/92.462023/92.272022/92.622021/91.822020/91.97
2024/102.412023/102.092022/102.522021/101.92020/101.81
N/AN/A2023/112.412022/112.442021/112.02020/111.74
N/AN/A2023/122.282022/122.32021/121.782020/121.6
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.45%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.020.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.020.0-33.33
24Q1 (18)0.02100.0100.0
23Q4 (17)0.01-50.0-50.0
23Q3 (16)0.02-33.33100.0
23Q2 (15)0.03200.050.0
23Q1 (14)0.01-50.00
22Q4 (13)0.02100.00
22Q3 (12)0.01-50.00
22Q2 (11)0.0200

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