玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.5132.02320.0516.45183.747.97N/A酒水事業收入增加
2024/102.6648.19299.5412.93160.765.81N/A酒水事業收入增加
2024/91.832.65188.6410.27139.234.520.5酒水事業收入增加
2024/81.35-1.45128.268.48130.873.580.62酒水事業收入增加
2024/71.3760.2109.367.12131.373.120.72增加酒水事業收入
2024/60.86-3.299.315.75137.322.950.68酒水事業收入增加
2024/50.89-26.4682.44.89145.533.030.66酒水事業收入增加
2024/41.228.58222.324.01165.862.970.67增加酒水事業收入
2024/30.9412.64121.222.8147.252.80.7增加酒水事業收入
2024/20.83-19.6477.831.87162.772.650.74增加酒水事業收入
2024/11.0331.28326.441.03326.442.660.74增加酒水事業收入
2023/120.79-5.7362.546.5829.452.290.84增加酒水事業收入
2023/110.8425.5879.655.825.962.120.9增加酒水事業收入
2023/100.677.0555.564.9619.921.881.02增加酒水事業收入
2023/90.624.965.234.2915.81.871.1增加酒水事業收入
2023/80.59-9.6110.853.6710.221.681.23-
2023/70.6652.5139.913.0810.091.571.31-
2023/60.43-11.416.812.424.091.291.71-
2023/50.4929.9355.071.993.521.281.72去年同期因大陸子公司營收受疫情影響減少,本年同期景氣恢復,子公司營收增加,使本公司收入增加百分比達50%以上。
2023/40.37-11.74-13.441.51-6.481.261.74-
2023/30.42-9.4511.421.13-3.941.131.87-
2023/20.4792.6816.70.71-11.241.21.77-
2023/10.24-49.95-39.260.24-39.261.191.78-
2022/120.484.182.095.09-10.181.381.53-
2022/110.478.73-1.684.6-11.31.271.66-
2022/100.4313.714.34.14-12.271.341.58-
2022/90.38-29.61-8.253.71-13.851.381.52-
2022/80.5314.0740.53.33-14.441.411.49-
2022/70.4716.440.492.8-20.41.181.77-
2022/60.428.59-24.492.33-23.591.151.92-
2022/50.31-27.47-36.231.93-23.41.121.96因COVID-19影響大陸子公司營收,致增減百分比達50%
2022/40.4313.6-20.91.61-20.291.211.81-
2022/30.38-5.15-18.411.18-20.061.181.85-
2022/20.40.27-13.990.8-20.831.281.71-
2022/10.4-15.87-26.670.4-26.671.351.62-
2021/120.470.32-13.615.6616.381.361.68-
2021/110.4715.36-17.195.1920.21.291.76-
2021/100.410.01-10.644.7125.911.21.9-
2021/90.417.78-15.414.331.021.261.74-
2021/80.38-18.41-7.243.8939.071.381.59-
2021/70.47-12.5114.923.5147.021.491.47-
2021/60.538.6138.073.0553.591.571.36109年度因COVID-19影響大陸子公司營收,致增減百分比達50%
2021/50.49-10.0539.012.5157.341.51.42109年度因COVID-19影響大陸子公司營收,致增減百分比達50%
2021/40.5517.18103.122.0262.551.481.45109年度因COVID-19影響大陸子公司營收,致增減百分比達50%
2021/30.47-0.0120.341.4851.371.481.43109年度因COVID-19影響大陸子公司營收,致年增減百分比達50%。
2021/20.47-14.5176.691.0171.781.561.35109年度因中國爆發COVID-19導致中國年後停止上班上課影響大陸子公司109年2月營收
2021/10.54-0.8867.80.5467.81.671.27109年1月為農曆春節上班日較少所至
2020/120.55-3.82-6.464.87-9.241.581.28-
2020/110.5724.4817.144.32-9.581.521.33-
2020/100.46-5.329.63.74-12.631.351.49-
2020/90.4918.192.313.29-15.041.31.56-
2020/80.411.092.812.8-17.471.21.69-
2020/70.415.1-1.772.39-20.171.151.77-
2020/60.399.35-11.651.98-23.121.011.84-
2020/50.3531.43-27.641.6-25.461.011.84-
2020/40.27-30.56-45.621.24-24.810.922.02-
2020/30.3946.79-10.10.98-15.950.981.89-
2020/20.26-18.81-12.340.59-19.41.181.56-
2020/10.32-44.75-24.350.32-24.350.0N/A-
2019/120.5920.4511.015.36-5.330.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.032023/10.242022/10.42021/10.542020/10.32
2024/20.832023/20.472022/20.42021/20.472020/20.26
2024/30.942023/30.422022/30.382021/30.472020/30.39
2024/41.22023/40.372022/40.432021/40.552020/40.27
2024/50.892023/50.492022/50.312021/50.492020/50.35
2024/60.862023/60.432022/60.42021/60.532020/60.39
2024/71.372023/70.662022/70.472021/70.472020/70.41
2024/81.352023/80.592022/80.532021/80.382020/80.41
2024/91.82023/90.622022/90.382021/90.412020/90.49
2024/102.662023/100.672022/100.432021/100.412020/100.46
2024/113.512023/110.842022/110.472021/110.472020/110.57
N/AN/A2023/120.792022/120.482021/120.472020/120.55
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 9.18%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.5316.67455.56
24Q2 (19)0.1250.050.0
24Q1 (18)0.0833.33-20.0
23Q4 (17)0.06-33.33-45.45
23Q3 (16)0.0912.5-18.18
23Q2 (15)0.08-20.0-27.27
23Q1 (14)0.1-9.09-90.83
22Q4 (13)0.110.010.0
22Q3 (12)0.110.037.5
22Q2 (11)0.11-89.9137.5
22Q1 (10)1.09990.01716.67
21Q4 (9)0.125.00.0
21Q3 (8)0.080.033.33
21Q2 (7)0.0833.3333.33
21Q1 (6)0.06-40.00.0
20Q4 (5)0.166.67100.0
20Q3 (4)0.060.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.060.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.0620.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.050.00.0

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