玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/10388.174.6411.943457.622.941136.81N/A-
2024/9370.94-1.784.823069.451.91122.030.72-
2024/8377.71.153.662698.511.511099.380.73-
2024/7373.397.23.792320.811.171072.450.75-
2024/6348.29-0.70.011947.420.681034.440.72-
2024/5350.784.592.611599.130.831001.930.74-
2024/4335.386.26.321248.360.34923.210.81-
2024/3315.7816.07-7.61912.98-1.68912.980.79-
2024/2272.05-16.32-6.56597.21.77914.170.79-
2024/1325.152.589.98325.159.98978.60.74-
2023/12316.97-5.8-7.914012.274.361000.20.76-
2023/11336.49-2.96-5.763695.35.571037.090.74-
2023/10346.75-2.0-2.43358.816.861064.970.72-
2023/9353.86-2.88-4.163012.068.041077.950.75-
2023/8364.361.283.562658.29.91072.340.75-
2023/7359.743.35.362293.8510.981049.830.77-
2023/6348.251.878.31934.1112.091005.510.82-
2023/5341.858.3711.831585.8612.96999.060.82-
2023/4315.42-7.7115.651244.0113.28948.390.86-
2023/3341.817.3811.52928.5912.5928.590.87-
2023/2291.17-1.513.64586.813.08931.020.86-
2023/1295.63-14.1112.53295.6312.53996.930.81-
2022/12344.22-3.614.523844.4322.171056.60.76-
2022/11357.080.4930.623500.2122.981081.630.74-
2022/10355.3-3.7734.693143.1322.161076.380.74-
2022/9369.254.9535.032787.8320.731062.480.74-
2022/8351.823.0435.712418.5818.811014.780.78-
2022/7341.416.1729.432066.7616.35968.640.81-
2022/6321.555.1922.71725.3514.06899.970.79-
2022/5305.6812.0716.991403.812.25884.90.81-
2022/4272.74-11.013.151098.1211.0835.420.85-
2022/3306.4819.6213.4825.3813.86825.380.81-
2022/2256.2-2.4725.93518.914.14819.450.82-
2022/1262.7-12.594.59262.74.59836.610.8-
2021/12300.559.9411.693146.7111.34837.690.79-
2021/11273.363.627.232846.1611.3810.590.82-
2021/10263.78-3.530.862572.811.76796.470.83-
2021/9273.455.482.012309.0113.15796.460.78-
2021/8259.24-1.713.312035.5614.84785.060.79-
2021/7263.770.652.31776.3216.74787.080.79-
2021/6262.040.2910.041512.5519.68787.70.71-
2021/5261.26-1.1810.771250.5121.92795.910.71-
2021/4264.39-2.1713.48989.2425.25738.090.76-
2021/3270.2632.8428.18724.8530.18724.850.68-
2021/2203.44-18.9933.28454.5931.4723.680.68-
2021/1251.15-6.6629.92251.1529.92775.160.63-
2020/12269.085.5520.072826.055.39785.530.57-
2020/11254.92-2.5212.452556.974.05784.490.57-
2020/10261.52-2.4313.132302.053.2780.50.58-
2020/9268.046.8214.482040.522.05776.80.56-
2020/8250.93-2.673.21772.480.41746.880.58-
2020/7257.828.274.241521.55-0.03731.790.59-
2020/6238.130.96-6.211263.73-0.86706.950.62-
2020/5235.841.22-3.961025.60.46679.650.65-
2020/4232.9810.5-0.54789.761.86596.450.74-
2020/3210.8338.124.56556.782.91556.780.68-
2020/2152.64-21.030.7345.951.93569.980.67-
2020/1193.31-13.712.91193.312.91644.080.59-
2019/12224.04-1.195.642681.3113.120.0N/A-
2019/11226.74-1.92.472457.2813.860.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1325.152023/1295.632022/1262.72021/1251.152020/1193.31
2024/2272.052023/2291.172022/2256.22021/2203.442020/2152.64
2024/3315.782023/3341.82022/3306.482021/3270.262020/3210.83
2024/4335.382023/4315.422022/4272.742021/4264.392020/4232.98
2024/5350.782023/5341.852022/5305.682021/5261.262020/5235.84
2024/6348.292023/6348.252022/6321.552021/6262.042020/6238.13
2024/7373.392023/7359.742022/7341.412021/7263.772020/7257.82
2024/8377.72023/8364.362022/8351.822021/8259.242020/8250.93
2024/9370.942023/9353.862022/9369.252021/9273.452020/9268.04
2024/10388.172023/10346.752022/10355.32021/10263.782020/10261.52
N/AN/A2023/11336.492022/11357.082021/11273.362020/11254.92
N/AN/A2023/12316.972022/12344.222021/12300.552020/12269.08
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 41.96%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)109.015.6139.14
24Q2 (19)94.281.0723.21
24Q1 (18)93.281.8711.26
23Q4 (17)91.5716.8921.49
23Q3 (16)78.342.3816.21
23Q2 (15)76.52-8.7326.44
23Q1 (14)83.8411.2453.69
22Q4 (13)75.3711.8138.57
22Q3 (12)67.4111.3818.28
22Q2 (11)60.5210.946.14
22Q1 (10)54.550.297.45
21Q4 (9)54.39-4.568.5
21Q3 (8)56.99-0.0557.04
21Q2 (7)57.0212.3173.31
21Q1 (6)50.771.2852.65
20Q4 (5)50.1338.1449.55
20Q3 (4)36.2910.30.0
20Q2 (3)32.9-1.080.0
20Q1 (2)33.26-0.780.0
19Q4 (1)33.520.00.0

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