玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/10166.99-9.9510.511358.11.8490.12N/A-
2024/9185.4534.6921.741191.110.69459.480.46-
2024/8137.680.9717.011005.66-2.41408.080.52-
2024/7136.351.717.89867.98-4.91403.70.52-
2024/6134.050.565.49731.63-6.97402.50.5-
2024/5133.3-1.36-3.53597.58-9.38385.470.52-
2024/4135.1515.495.41464.28-10.93353.920.57-
2024/3117.0215.0-12.66329.13-16.26329.130.57-
2024/2101.75-7.8-22.93212.11-18.12323.480.58-
2024/1110.36-0.89-13.13110.36-13.13374.270.5-
2023/12111.37-26.99-27.661597.89-12.12415.010.45-
2023/11152.540.95-13.731486.52-10.68455.970.41-
2023/10151.1-0.8-6.251333.98-10.32421.090.45-
2023/9152.3229.46-19.481182.88-10.81396.360.62-
2023/8117.66-6.89-28.621030.56-9.37371.10.66-
2023/7126.37-0.54-17.78912.9-6.1391.630.63-
2023/6127.07-8.04-11.6786.52-3.91393.460.57-
2023/5138.197.78-3.19659.46-2.27400.370.56-
2023/4128.21-4.31-2.04521.27-2.03394.220.57-
2023/3133.981.47-2.99393.06-2.02393.060.61-
2023/2132.033.92-3.99259.08-1.52413.050.58-
2023/1127.05-17.481.18127.051.18457.850.52-
2022/12153.97-12.935.221818.3130.08491.970.54-
2022/11176.839.7147.881664.3432.99527.20.5-
2022/10161.18-14.837.41487.5131.41515.210.51-
2022/9189.1914.7664.141326.3330.72507.750.66客戶新機型於本月量產出貨,故銷售金額較高
2022/8164.857.2435.51137.1426.44462.310.72-
2022/7153.716.9225.67972.2925.02440.20.76-
2022/6143.750.740.47818.5924.9417.380.81-
2022/5142.749.0647.32674.8322.02411.750.82-
2022/4130.88-5.2412.81532.0916.64406.540.83-
2022/3138.120.4313.85401.2117.95401.210.77-
2022/2137.539.5330.53263.0820.22409.40.75-
2022/1125.56-14.1810.65125.5610.65391.450.79-
2021/12146.3122.3625.571397.7910.31383.190.77-
2021/11119.581.943.881251.478.76352.130.83-
2021/10117.31.76-7.31131.899.31354.210.83-
2021/9115.26-5.25-8.541014.611.62359.220.81-
2021/8121.66-0.534.62899.3414.86346.30.84-
2021/7122.3119.524.02777.6816.65321.530.9-
2021/6102.335.61-5.34655.3719.36315.240.78-
2021/596.89-16.481.25553.0425.42334.220.74-
2021/4116.02-4.3682.68456.1632.11342.690.72去年同期營收較低,係海外子公司因疫情使工廠產線減班,出貨及物流均受影響所致
2021/3121.3215.1433.81340.1420.71340.140.66-
2021/2105.36-7.1416.1218.8214.5335.330.67-
2021/1113.46-2.6113.05113.4613.05345.080.65-
2020/12116.511.2218.541267.1-7.01358.160.57-
2020/11115.1-9.040.131150.59-9.0367.670.55-
2020/10126.540.417.271035.49-9.91368.850.55-
2020/9126.028.3813.09908.95-11.88359.880.57-
2020/8116.28-1.1-2.99782.92-14.9341.970.6-
2020/7117.588.75-3.03666.64-16.69321.370.64-
2020/6108.1112.99-5.21549.06-19.12267.30.82-
2020/595.6850.66-18.88440.95-21.93249.850.87-
2020/463.51-29.95-40.85345.27-22.74244.910.89-
2020/390.66-0.08-18.38281.76-17.01281.760.73-
2020/290.74-9.58-12.02191.1-16.35289.390.71-
2020/1100.362.1-19.91100.36-19.91313.60.65-
2019/1298.29-14.49-14.21362.71.520.0N/A-
2019/11114.95-2.55-10.491264.412.990.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1110.362023/1127.052022/1125.562021/1113.462020/1100.36
2024/2101.752023/2132.032022/2137.532021/2105.362020/290.74
2024/3117.022023/3133.982022/3138.122021/3121.322020/390.66
2024/4135.152023/4128.212022/4130.882021/4116.022020/463.51
2024/5133.32023/5138.192022/5142.742021/596.892020/595.68
2024/6134.052023/6127.072022/6143.752021/6102.332020/6108.11
2024/7136.352023/7126.372022/7153.712021/7122.312020/7117.58
2024/8137.682023/8117.662022/8164.852021/8121.662020/8116.28
2024/9185.452023/9152.322022/9189.192021/9115.262020/9126.02
2024/10166.992023/10151.12022/10161.182021/10117.32020/10126.54
N/AN/A2023/11152.542022/11176.832021/11119.582020/11115.1
N/AN/A2023/12111.372022/12153.972021/12146.312020/12116.51
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 8.64%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)12.99-8.079.25
24Q2 (19)14.132.1114.74
24Q1 (18)13.846.71228.74
23Q4 (17)12.979.08300.31
23Q3 (16)11.8980.7942.98
23Q2 (15)6.5856.29380.29
23Q1 (14)4.2129.94256.78
22Q4 (13)3.24184.21264.04
22Q3 (12)1.14-16.7952.0
22Q2 (11)1.3716.177.92
22Q1 (10)1.1832.5843.9
21Q4 (9)0.8918.6718.67
21Q3 (8)0.75-2.6-1.32
21Q2 (7)0.77-6.1-7.23
21Q1 (6)0.829.3354.72
20Q4 (5)0.75-1.32-29.91
20Q3 (4)0.76-8.430.0
20Q2 (3)0.8356.60.0
20Q1 (2)0.53-50.470.0
19Q4 (1)1.070.00.0

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