玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.17-4.1-0.852.098.2932.2877.633.940.5643.63-7.49-24.2962.614.652.158.65-5.43-20.21
24Q2 (19)1.2212.966.091.9317.6820.6274.69-11.54-5.5447.16-15.16-17.3259.83-6.850.5462.02-18.17-19.03
24Q1 (18)1.08-13.65.881.64-9.3913.184.4315.53-5.6555.5910.85-11.1364.2315.09-0.9775.7912.41-13.07
23Q4 (17)1.255.938.71.8114.5618.373.08-5.34-8.0550.15-12.98-15.4755.81-8.99-8.0467.42-8.28-13.69
23Q3 (16)1.182.61-10.611.58-1.2510.4977.20-2.3612.2657.631.03-9.2661.323.04-0.0273.51-4.033.61
23Q2 (15)1.1512.75-5.741.6010.3432.2379.07-11.645.9457.04-8.81-24.3159.51-8.25-12.5476.60-12.15-6.54
23Q1 (14)1.02-11.3-21.541.45-5.2315.0889.4912.5927.7562.555.43-13.2764.866.872.6487.1911.6210.4
22Q4 (13)1.15-12.88-20.141.536.9922.479.4815.5725.8659.33-6.58-18.2260.69-1.04-6.6678.1110.0910.5
22Q3 (12)1.328.2-7.691.4318.1817.2168.77-7.868.3563.51-15.72-14.9561.33-9.86-16.570.95-13.439.66
22Q2 (11)1.22-6.15-2.41.21-3.97-3.9774.646.552.1875.364.494.5768.047.68-18.6481.963.7733.29
22Q1 (10)1.30-9.723.171.260.8-15.4470.0510.93-3.3772.12-0.5918.063.19-2.81-18.4678.9811.7340.78
21Q4 (9)1.440.70.71.252.46-28.1663.15-0.5-1.1172.55-2.8438.3265.02-11.48-1.1970.699.2639.95
21Q3 (8)1.4314.4-5.31.22-3.17-20.7863.47-13.115.2974.673.6126.373.45-12.1711.3664.705.2221.07
21Q2 (7)1.25-0.79-9.421.26-15.442.4473.050.7710.6172.0717.92-2.9483.637.9111.2561.499.61-5.57
21Q1 (6)1.26-11.890.01.49-14.3713.7472.4913.510.3561.1216.53-12.3577.5017.783.3356.1011.07-16.22
20Q4 (5)1.43-5.35.931.7412.9910.1363.865.94-5.2552.45-11.28-9.165.80-0.24-4.6750.51-5.48-9.93
20Q3 (4)1.519.420.01.5425.20.060.28-8.720.059.12-20.380.065.96-12.250.053.44-17.940.0
20Q2 (3)1.389.520.01.23-6.110.066.04-8.580.074.256.480.075.170.230.065.12-2.750.0
20Q1 (2)1.26-6.670.01.31-17.090.072.247.180.069.7320.850.075.008.660.066.9619.40.0
19Q4 (1)1.350.00.01.580.00.067.400.00.057.700.00.069.020.00.056.080.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)4.37-17.76.628.3583.5821.5555.16-7.5960.706.1778.059.5
2022 (9)5.311.346.1116.1668.76-1.2859.69-13.9457.17-20.5471.286.29
2021 (8)5.243.565.26-9.6269.65-3.4969.3610.6271.95-2.3567.069.59
2020 (7)5.06-2.325.82-0.1772.172.4162.700.173.685.3361.19-3.12
2019 (6)5.186.85.83-10.1770.47-6.4562.6411.3869.95-1.5263.164.31
2018 (5)4.850.416.49-13.3575.33-0.356.2415.3671.03-1.8460.5516.53
2017 (4)4.83-42.57.49-36.6975.5673.8248.7558.0772.3664.6451.9671.15
2016 (3)8.40158.4611.8353.6443.47-61.3130.84-34.9543.95-55.330.36-50.58
2015 (2)3.25-20.347.70-33.16112.3525.7147.4149.6598.3229.7861.4335.67
2014 (1)4.08-12.6311.526.5789.3714.2731.68-6.1675.7631.7145.28-16.83

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