玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q4 (20)1.58-10.73-9.712.006.9515.6157.4111.8910.345.52-6.38-13.3366.605.36-11.1436.34-1.0322.69
24Q3 (19)1.77-19.9121.231.872.1910.051.3124.45-17.6548.62-2.45-9.0263.213.07-20.3636.7223.470.93
24Q2 (18)2.2135.580.01.8332.61-12.4441.23-26.140.2249.84-24.3414.6361.33-31.6415.529.74-7.0-5.65
24Q1 (17)1.63-6.8615.61.38-20.2314.0555.827.24-13.3965.8725.42-12.4489.7119.6916.6131.987.97-49.03
23Q4 (16)1.7519.8644.631.731.7614.5752.05-16.47-30.6952.52-1.72-12.7474.95-5.575.2429.62-18.58-53.77
23Q3 (15)1.46-33.9418.71.70-18.66-11.9262.3151.46-15.9853.4422.9113.179.3749.4728.636.3815.42-39.05
23Q2 (14)2.2156.7427.012.0972.73-10.341.14-36.17-21.543.48-42.211.2953.10-30.9818.2631.52-49.76-32.33
23Q1 (13)1.4116.5325.891.21-19.87-21.9464.45-14.18-20.9875.2324.9928.4976.938.0216.4762.74-2.08-15.3
22Q4 (12)1.21-1.63-12.321.51-21.76-17.4975.101.2714.0360.1927.3921.1671.2215.3927.8264.077.347.09
22Q3 (11)1.23-29.31-16.331.93-17.1727.8174.1641.519.6347.2520.94-21.4961.7237.463.1459.6928.15-4.25
22Q2 (10)1.7455.3616.782.3350.3253.2952.41-35.74-14.3639.07-33.27-34.5344.90-32.02-27.5746.58-37.11-20.9
22Q1 (9)1.12-18.84-21.681.55-15.3-0.6481.5623.8428.5658.5517.850.3166.0518.54-2.0874.0723.836.28
21Q4 (8)1.38-6.12-18.341.8321.190.5565.866.2421.9649.68-17.45-0.455.72-6.89-9.1559.83-4.0340.64
21Q3 (7)1.47-1.34-16.01.51-0.66-31.3661.991.2919.4460.180.8445.2659.84-3.471.4262.345.8681.59
21Q2 (6)1.494.2-41.111.52-2.56-33.0461.20-3.5370.2459.682.2448.7961.99-8.0921.4558.898.35135.37
21Q1 (5)1.43-15.388.331.56-14.2932.263.4417.48-7.9658.3717.02-24.3167.459.98-29.8954.3527.769.03
20Q4 (4)1.69-3.430.01.82-17.270.054.004.050.049.8820.40.061.333.950.042.5423.910.0
20Q3 (3)1.75-30.830.02.20-3.080.051.9044.370.041.433.290.059.0015.60.034.3337.210.0
20Q2 (2)2.5391.670.02.2792.370.035.95-47.850.040.11-47.990.051.04-46.940.025.02-49.810.0
20Q1 (1)1.320.00.01.180.00.068.930.00.077.120.00.096.200.00.049.850.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2024 (10)7.139.528.0727.6951.19-8.7245.21-21.7368.37-3.728.03-34.57
2023 (9)6.5121.236.32-13.5456.08-17.4757.7615.7171.0021.1442.84-27.71
2022 (8)5.374.277.31-1.6267.95-4.0749.921.5758.61-2.8759.26-0.64
2021 (7)5.15-12.417.430.6870.8314.1149.15-0.6760.34-9.4359.6432.77
2020 (6)5.88-1.677.38-10.7662.071.7749.4812.1266.624.0144.929.37
2019 (5)5.98-3.78.27-4.560.993.7244.134.7264.053.5641.075.07
2018 (4)6.215.438.6611.8958.80-5.1942.14-10.6861.85-16.3339.0910.8
2017 (3)5.8935.097.741.9862.02-25.9547.18-1.8573.92-9.6335.28-29.47
2016 (2)4.36-29.797.59-16.1383.7542.5348.0719.1381.8035.8450.0228.62
2015 (1)6.21-6.629.051.2358.767.0940.35-1.1360.22-10.7338.8937.81

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