玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.25-3.45-15.9445.21-3.9113.3N/A-
2024/94.4-5.39-10.6440.96-2.4713.710.2-
2024/84.65-0.14-10.7336.56-1.3813.830.2-
2024/74.663.1-4.1531.910.1413.760.2-
2024/64.52-1.28-4.4927.250.9113.70.19-
2024/54.58-0.58-8.3322.732.0713.850.19-
2024/44.6-1.26-1.6318.155.0713.570.2-
2024/34.668.52-1.1413.557.5713.550.2-
2024/24.3-6.314.148.8812.7913.780.2-
2024/14.59-6.2122.314.5922.3114.130.2-
2023/124.895.075.9756.6-5.7714.60.2-
2023/114.65-7.9218.6551.71-6.7414.640.2-
2023/105.062.6231.9447.06-8.6815.190.19-
2023/94.93-5.4818.9242.0-11.9415.00.23-
2023/85.217.2115.037.07-14.8814.810.23-
2023/74.862.73-0.9531.86-18.3514.590.24-
2023/64.73-5.25-3.927.0-20.8514.410.28-
2023/54.996.68-12.8422.27-23.7114.390.28-
2023/44.68-0.76-19.8117.28-26.3613.530.29-
2023/34.7214.33-26.6212.59-28.5312.590.37-
2023/24.1310.02-20.717.88-29.6312.490.38-
2023/13.75-18.74-37.383.75-37.3812.290.38-
2022/124.6217.64-27.2160.07-22.3212.370.43-
2022/113.922.38-41.3455.45-21.8811.90.45-
2022/103.83-7.49-42.351.53-19.8612.510.42-
2022/94.14-8.6-36.0747.7-17.2713.580.48-
2022/84.53-7.66-36.5243.56-14.8914.360.45-
2022/74.91-0.32-29.7939.02-11.3915.560.42-
2022/64.92-14.06-28.3934.12-7.9216.490.43-
2022/55.73-1.84-12.529.19-3.2518.00.39-
2022/45.84-9.19-10.4123.46-0.6917.470.4-
2022/36.4323.540.017.623.0117.620.4-
2022/25.2-13.115.5611.194.8217.530.4-
2022/15.99-5.534.175.994.1719.020.37-
2021/126.34-5.1918.8477.3341.6919.670.35-
2021/116.690.7133.5570.9944.1719.810.35-
2021/106.642.4936.0464.345.3720.260.34-
2021/96.48-9.2440.9857.6646.5320.610.26-
2021/87.142.1155.2751.1847.2621.010.25需求暢旺
2021/76.991.6756.844.0446.0420.420.26需求暢旺
2021/66.884.9968.237.0544.1819.940.24需求暢旺
2021/56.550.4949.7730.1739.6319.50.24-
2021/46.521.3747.4723.6237.0617.880.26-
2021/36.4330.4135.3417.1133.4717.110.22-
2021/24.93-14.2611.9210.6832.3716.010.24-
2021/15.757.7656.955.7556.9516.090.24台灣半導體產業受惠後疫情時代經濟活動的逐漸恢復,推升相關電子產品需求。
2020/125.346.5226.5754.5815.6415.230.22-
2020/115.012.5924.4949.2414.5614.490.23-
2020/104.886.2112.844.2313.5414.080.24-
2020/94.6-0.047.7539.3513.6313.650.3-
2020/84.63.125.1334.7514.4613.150.32-
2020/74.469.062.1930.1616.0312.920.32-
2020/64.09-6.511.8425.718.8212.880.33-
2020/54.37-1.035.4121.6122.6913.540.31-
2020/44.42-6.9624.1417.2428.0213.570.31-
2020/34.757.8436.2212.8229.4112.820.28-
2020/24.420.2355.428.0725.7112.280.29主要係訂單回穩
2020/13.66-13.092.223.662.2211.90.3-
2019/124.224.7717.2347.19-9.980.0N/A-
2019/114.02-7.04-0.7442.98-11.990.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.592023/13.752022/15.992021/15.752020/13.66
2024/24.32023/24.132022/25.22021/24.932020/24.4
2024/34.662023/34.722022/36.432021/36.432020/34.75
2024/44.62023/44.682022/45.842021/46.522020/44.42
2024/54.582023/54.992022/55.732021/56.552020/54.37
2024/64.522023/64.732022/64.922021/66.882020/64.09
2024/74.662023/74.862022/74.912021/76.992020/74.46
2024/84.652023/85.212022/84.532021/87.142020/84.6
2024/94.42023/94.932022/94.142021/96.482020/94.6
2024/104.252023/105.062022/103.832021/106.642020/104.88
N/AN/A2023/114.652022/113.922021/116.692020/115.01
N/AN/A2023/124.892022/124.622021/126.342020/125.34
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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