玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1092.88-3.7812.73845.292.91286.28N/A-
2024/996.53-0.355.6752.411.82277.210.58-
2024/896.8715.5812.04655.881.28264.290.61-
2024/783.810.234.46559.01-0.36252.920.64-
2024/683.61-2.2-7.45475.2-1.17246.740.58-
2024/585.510.141.13391.580.27248.230.57-
2024/477.63-8.78-1.4306.090.04229.130.62-
2024/385.128.16-2.95228.460.54228.460.67-
2024/266.4-13.71-3.25143.362.74223.060.68-
2024/176.95-3.458.5576.958.55238.860.64-
2023/1279.71-3.02-6.95983.23-15.05244.290.65-
2023/1182.2-0.23-14.76903.52-15.7255.990.62-
2023/1082.39-9.86-12.28821.32-15.79260.250.61-
2023/991.415.72-9.46738.94-16.16258.090.54-
2023/886.467.77-15.74647.53-17.03257.040.55-
2023/780.22-11.21-22.13561.07-17.23255.120.55-
2023/690.356.87-15.67480.85-16.35253.630.53-
2023/584.547.36-14.28390.49-16.5250.970.54-
2023/478.74-10.22-2.31305.96-17.09235.070.57-
2023/387.727.78-17.29227.22-21.22227.220.71-
2023/268.63-3.17-17.44139.52-23.51225.180.71-
2023/170.89-17.24-28.670.89-28.6252.980.63-
2022/1285.66-11.17-13.511157.487.69276.020.67-
2022/1196.442.67-6.521071.829.85291.330.63-
2022/1093.93-6.97-0.85975.3811.78297.510.62-
2022/9100.97-1.62.46881.4613.32306.610.67-
2022/8102.62-0.3919.32780.4914.9312.920.65-
2022/7103.03-3.9615.82678.014.28308.940.66-
2022/6107.288.7620.99574.9714.01286.520.79-
2022/598.6322.3617.11467.6912.52285.280.79-
2022/480.61-23.980.69369.0611.35269.780.84-
2022/3106.0427.5516.6288.4614.75288.460.8-
2022/283.13-16.2621.68182.4213.7282.370.82-
2022/199.28-0.667.7899.287.78302.40.77-
2021/1299.95-3.1219.731075.6413.12297.860.73-
2021/11103.178.923.07975.6912.49296.450.74-
2021/1094.73-3.868.59872.5211.36279.270.78-
2021/998.5414.582.03777.7911.7273.490.79-
2021/886.0-3.310.35679.2513.26263.610.82-
2021/788.950.328.54593.2515.41261.830.82-
2021/688.665.2810.63504.316.71252.930.76-
2021/584.225.22.81415.6318.1255.20.75-
2021/480.05-11.97-9.97331.4222.73239.30.8-
2021/390.9433.0919.63251.3738.8251.370.66-
2021/268.32-25.8259.62160.4352.66243.910.68本月及本年累計營收增加,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2021/192.1110.3447.8892.1147.88259.420.64-
2020/1283.48-0.4117.61950.822.73254.550.62-
2020/1183.83-3.91.48867.341.49267.640.59-
2020/1087.24-9.66-5.99783.511.49269.50.58-
2020/996.5812.75.74696.282.52264.210.52-
2020/885.694.56-5.24599.72.02247.780.56-
2020/781.952.252.31514.013.34243.990.56-
2020/680.14-2.152.62432.063.54250.960.53-
2020/581.91-7.882.5351.923.75246.830.53-
2020/488.9116.9731.69270.024.13207.730.64-
2020/376.0177.597.14181.1-5.56181.10.69-
2020/242.8-31.28-13.61105.09-13.02176.070.71-
2020/162.29-12.24-12.6162.29-12.61215.870.58-
2019/1270.98-14.070.75925.526.060.0N/A-
2019/1182.6-10.991.16854.556.530.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/176.952023/170.892022/199.282021/192.112020/162.29
2024/266.42023/268.632022/283.132021/268.322020/242.8
2024/385.12023/387.72022/3106.042021/390.942020/376.01
2024/477.632023/478.742022/480.612021/480.052020/488.91
2024/585.52023/584.542022/598.632021/584.222020/581.91
2024/683.612023/690.352022/6107.282021/688.662020/680.14
2024/783.812023/780.222022/7103.032021/788.952020/781.95
2024/896.872023/886.462022/8102.622021/886.02020/885.69
2024/996.532023/991.412022/9100.972021/998.542020/996.58
2024/1092.882023/1082.392022/1093.932021/1094.732020/1087.24
N/AN/A2023/1182.22022/1196.442021/11103.172020/1183.83
N/AN/A2023/1279.712022/1285.662021/1299.952020/1283.48
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 11.24%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)8.54-10.9529.79
24Q2 (19)9.5941.6548.91
24Q1 (18)6.7721.1113.78
23Q4 (17)5.59-15.05-12.38
23Q3 (16)6.582.1716.05
23Q2 (15)6.448.2491.67
23Q1 (14)5.95-6.74128.85
22Q4 (13)6.3812.52134.56
22Q3 (12)5.6768.75182.09
22Q2 (11)3.3629.2339.42
22Q1 (10)2.6-4.41-9.09
21Q4 (9)2.7235.3246.24
21Q3 (8)2.01-16.6-8.64
21Q2 (7)2.41-15.7355.48
21Q1 (6)2.8653.7695.89
20Q4 (5)1.86-15.4525.68
20Q3 (4)2.241.940.0
20Q2 (3)1.556.160.0
20Q1 (2)1.46-1.350.0
19Q4 (1)1.480.00.0

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