玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1134.9-12.76-44.7422.71-32.84110.78N/A-
2024/1040.0111.56-32.13387.8-31.52111.61N/A-
2024/935.860.37-62.66347.79-31.45111.540.0營收較去年同期減少50%以上,係因本月正在投入進行的專案較去年同期減少所致
2024/835.73-10.54-4.62311.93-24.16113.090.0-
2024/739.946.75-4.78276.19-26.12116.270.0-
2024/637.41-3.85-18.3236.25-28.82113.710.0-
2024/538.914.08-45.05198.84-30.5122.060.0-
2024/437.39-18.3-37.25159.92-25.71115.310.0-
2024/345.7642.28-27.76122.54-21.3122.540.0-
2024/232.16-27.91-32.0276.78-16.87136.220.0-
2024/144.62-24.93-0.9544.62-0.95167.180.0-
2023/1259.44-5.83-16.13688.942.92181.520.0-
2023/1163.127.0639.32629.4653.1218.130.0營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本年累計正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2023/1058.96-38.61-12.87566.3454.81192.470.0營收較去年同期減少50%以上,係因本月正在投入進行的專案較去年同期減少所致
2023/996.05156.3986.6507.3870.17175.460.0營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本年累計正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2023/837.46-10.69-28.86411.3266.74125.210.0營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本年累計正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2023/741.95-8.416.58373.8692.69158.560.0營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本年累計正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2023/645.8-35.3227.29331.91110.02176.20.0營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本年累計正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2023/570.8218.8469.58286.11134.41193.750.0營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本年累計正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2023/459.59-5.93166.38215.3168.13170.250.0營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本年累計正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2023/363.3533.87227.39155.71168.8155.710.0營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本年累計正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2023/247.325.03171.392.36139.42163.240.0營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本年累計正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2023/145.05-36.44113.1245.05113.12161.230.0營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本年累計正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2022/1270.8856.44200.44482.088.23183.850.0營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本年累計正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2022/1145.3-33.05103.65411.1376.85164.450.0營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本年累計正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2022/1067.6731.46128.31365.8274.01171.810.0營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本年累計正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2022/951.47-2.26154.82298.1565.1140.120.0營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本年累計正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2022/852.6746.37146.07246.6853.8124.620.01營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本年累計正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2022/735.980.070.25194.0139.59113.720.01營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本年累計正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2022/635.98-13.8446.63158.0334.09100.110.01-
2022/541.7686.67159.35122.0530.7983.480.01營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本月正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2022/422.3715.6116.0880.33.9959.160.01-
2022/319.3510.93-20.4457.93-0.0357.930.01-
2022/217.44-17.4848.7438.5814.7362.170.01-
2022/121.14-10.4-3.4821.14-3.4866.970.01-
2021/1223.596.041.31256.06-28.5475.480.01-
2021/1122.25-24.9417.32232.47-30.6272.080.01-
2021/1029.6446.735.69210.23-33.4971.240.01-
2021/920.2-5.62-48.16180.59-37.3162.740.01-
2021/821.41.27-50.33160.39-35.6167.070.01營收較去年同期減少50%以上,係因本月正在投入進行的專案較去年同期減少所致
2021/721.13-13.86-43.79138.98-32.5361.770.01-
2021/624.5452.38-45.03117.85-30.0259.910.01-
2021/516.1-16.44-35.2493.31-24.6159.690.01-
2021/419.27-20.76-36.7177.21-21.9355.310.01-
2021/324.32107.42-2.2957.94-15.3657.940.01-
2021/211.72-46.45-51.4233.62-22.8356.910.01本月營收較去年同期減少50%以上,係因本月正在投入進行的專案較去年同期減少所致
2021/121.9-5.9412.6721.912.6764.140.01-
2020/1223.2822.87.73358.3749.8170.290.01-
2020/1118.96-32.38-34.7335.0853.9985.970.01營收較去年同期增加50%,係因本年累計正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2020/1028.04-28.0332.77316.1267.65110.110.0營收較去年同期增加50%,係因本年累計正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2020/938.97-9.57195.85288.0872.05119.670.0營收較去年同期增加50%,係因本月正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2020/843.0914.6191.44249.1161.48125.330.0本月營收較去年同期增加50%,係因本月正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2020/737.6-15.75160.0206.0247.7107.10.0本月營收較去年同期增加50%,係因本月正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2020/644.6479.51102.34168.4134.7199.950.01本月營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本月正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2020/524.87-18.3343.25123.7820.2280.20.01-
2020/430.4522.3262.698.9115.5579.480.01本月營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本月正在投入進行的專案較去年同期增加所致
2020/324.893.125.4668.472.3768.470.01-
2020/224.1424.230.443.58-7.3565.190.01-
2020/119.44-10.06-31.8619.44-31.860.0N/A-
2019/1221.61-25.57-25.53239.2131.950.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/144.622023/145.052022/121.142021/121.92020/119.44
2024/232.162023/247.322022/217.442021/211.722020/224.14
2024/345.762023/363.352022/319.352021/324.322020/324.89
2024/437.392023/459.592022/422.372021/419.272020/430.45
2024/538.912023/570.822022/541.762021/516.12020/524.87
2024/637.412023/645.82022/635.982021/624.542020/644.64
2024/739.942023/741.952022/735.982021/721.132020/737.6
2024/835.732023/837.462022/852.672021/821.42020/843.09
2024/935.862023/996.052022/951.472021/920.22020/938.97
2024/1040.012023/1058.962022/1067.672021/1029.642020/1028.04
2024/1134.92023/1163.122022/1145.32021/1122.252020/1118.96
N/AN/A2023/1259.442022/1270.882021/1223.592020/1223.28
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1136.7%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)216.6411.8518.56
24Q2 (19)193.69-6.515.46
24Q1 (18)207.186.7856.01
23Q4 (17)194.026.1841.8
23Q3 (16)182.73-0.51103.94
23Q2 (15)183.6638.391.77
23Q1 (14)132.8-2.9542.5
22Q4 (13)136.8352.7190.25
22Q3 (12)89.6-6.448.58
22Q2 (11)95.772.7750.61
22Q1 (10)93.1929.5746.92
21Q4 (9)71.92-12.85-1.02
21Q3 (8)82.5229.7723.35
21Q2 (7)63.590.25-21.25
21Q1 (6)63.43-12.79.06
20Q4 (5)72.668.6111.53
20Q3 (4)66.9-17.150.0
20Q2 (3)80.7538.840.0
20Q1 (2)58.16-10.730.0
19Q4 (1)65.150.00.0

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