玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/11202.270.53-0.012050.171.99598.31N/A0.535.66-
2024/10201.183.243.461847.912.22579.6N/A0.525.13-
2024/9194.866.155.321646.732.07556.130.210.54.62-
2024/8183.563.284.071451.861.64542.340.220.54.12-
2024/7177.71-1.851.431268.311.3539.580.220.483.62-
2024/6181.070.14-2.931090.591.28541.160.20.543.14-
2024/5180.80.841.97909.522.17543.490.20.532.59-
2024/4179.29-2.244.97728.722.21549.440.20.522.07-
2024/3183.4-1.79-0.93549.431.35549.430.20.51.55-
2024/2186.754.164.13366.042.53587.940.190.531.05-
2024/1179.29-19.20.92179.290.92603.490.180.520.52-
2023/12221.99.685.862231.972.97618.650.190.386.06-
2023/11202.34.044.762010.072.67581.760.20.475.68-
2023/10194.445.091.111807.772.44555.820.210.55.21-
2023/9185.014.9-2.551613.332.6536.580.230.474.71-
2023/8176.360.661.721428.313.31538.110.230.514.24-
2023/7175.2-6.071.951251.953.53539.040.230.523.73-
2023/6186.545.217.281076.753.8534.640.20.563.21-
2023/5177.293.81.62890.23.1533.230.20.532.66-
2023/4170.8-7.74-2.96712.913.47535.270.20.552.13-
2023/3185.133.236.86542.115.68542.110.220.531.58-
2023/2179.330.958.32356.985.08566.590.210.521.05-
2023/1177.64-15.251.99177.641.99580.350.210.530.53-
2022/12209.618.55-7.762167.392.97595.010.190.456.09-
2022/11193.090.415.841957.784.27575.260.20.475.64-
2022/10192.31.281.631764.684.1555.540.20.485.18-
2022/9189.879.519.821572.394.41535.090.230.554.69-
2022/8173.370.881.771382.523.71519.10.240.54.14-
2022/7171.85-1.163.761209.154.0520.180.240.523.64-
2022/6173.88-0.332.731037.34.04524.360.210.573.12-
2022/5174.46-0.886.79863.434.3523.710.210.532.55-
2022/4176.021.67.72688.973.69514.810.220.522.02-
2022/3173.234.646.77512.952.38512.950.240.471.5-
2022/2165.55-4.94-1.2339.710.27566.980.220.511.03-
2022/1174.16-23.361.73174.161.73583.860.210.520.52-
2021/12227.2624.57-7.562104.781.38598.90.190.515.94-
2021/11182.43-3.580.321877.522.58544.530.210.445.43-
2021/10189.219.4413.241695.082.83532.450.210.494.99-
2021/9172.891.48-8.391505.881.65508.860.260.584.5-
2021/8170.352.860.191332.993.12505.220.260.493.92-
2021/7165.61-2.141.621162.643.57498.220.260.493.43-
2021/6169.253.65.91997.023.9496.010.230.52.93-
2021/5163.36-0.021.39827.773.49489.010.240.492.43-
2021/4163.40.713.96664.414.02493.220.230.481.94-
2021/3162.24-3.174.16501.014.05501.010.250.461.46-
2021/2167.57-2.115.53338.773.99584.670.210.491.0-
2021/1171.19-30.382.53171.192.53598.950.210.510.51-
2020/12245.9135.2222.082076.130.04594.840.210.445.52-
2020/11181.858.833.61830.22-2.32537.650.230.455.09-
2020/10167.08-11.46-4.731648.37-2.93525.830.240.464.64-
2020/9188.7311.09.991481.29-2.73521.710.290.474.18-
2020/8170.024.330.041292.57-4.34492.790.310.463.71-
2020/7162.971.98-2.391122.54-4.97483.870.310.473.25-
2020/6159.8-0.81-5.38959.58-5.4478.080.380.482.78-
2020/5161.12.5-3.46799.78-5.4474.030.380.472.3-
2020/4157.180.91-4.91638.68-5.88471.710.380.461.83-
2020/3155.75-1.9-9.35481.49-6.19481.490.370.451.38-
2020/2158.78-4.9-3.87325.74-4.61527.170.340.440.93-
2020/1166.96-17.1-5.29166.96-5.290.0N/A0.490.49-
2019/12201.4314.763.432075.2-3.690.0N/A0.415.39-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1179.292023/1177.642022/1174.162021/1171.192020/1166.96
2024/2186.752023/2179.332022/2165.552021/2167.572020/2158.78
2024/3183.42023/3185.132022/3173.232021/3162.242020/3155.75
2024/4179.292023/4170.82022/4176.022021/4163.42020/4157.18
2024/5180.82023/5177.292022/5174.462021/5163.362020/5161.1
2024/6181.072023/6186.542022/6173.882021/6169.252020/6159.8
2024/7177.712023/7175.22022/7171.852021/7165.612020/7162.97
2024/8183.562023/8176.362022/8173.372021/8170.352020/8170.02
2024/9194.862023/9185.012022/9189.872021/9172.892020/9188.73
2024/10201.182023/10194.442022/10192.32021/10189.212020/10167.08
2024/11202.272023/11202.32022/11193.092021/11182.432020/11181.85
N/AN/A2023/12221.92022/12209.612021/12227.262020/12245.91
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 20.93%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)162.396.713.66
24Q2 (19)152.196.4819.24
24Q1 (18)142.931.4610.82
23Q4 (17)140.88-1.395.21
23Q3 (16)142.8711.944.96
23Q2 (15)127.63-1.050.62
23Q1 (14)128.98-3.671.55
22Q4 (13)133.9-1.639.45
22Q3 (12)136.127.32-2.11
22Q2 (11)126.84-0.13-6.58
22Q1 (10)127.013.82-4.25
21Q4 (9)122.34-12.02-8.95
21Q3 (8)139.052.41-14.08
21Q2 (7)135.782.36-25.36
21Q1 (6)132.65-1.28-22.71
20Q4 (5)134.37-16.97-20.21
20Q3 (4)161.84-11.030.0
20Q2 (3)181.915.990.0
20Q1 (2)171.631.920.0
19Q4 (1)168.40.00.0

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