- 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
- 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
- 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
- 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
- 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
| 年/月 | 營收 | 月增率(%) | 去年同期年增率(%) | 累計營收 | 累計營收年增率(%) | 近三月累計營收 | 存貨銷售比 | 自結稅前EPS | 自結稅前累計EPS | 備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/10 | 3.0 | 21.41 | -7.28 | 25.82 | -34.12 | 7.62 | N/A | - | ||
| 2024/9 | 2.47 | 14.48 | -28.1 | 22.83 | -36.53 | 7.43 | 1.96 | - | ||
| 2024/8 | 2.16 | -23.09 | -52.97 | 20.36 | -37.42 | 7.24 | 2.01 | 客戶端庫存去化趨緩，致訂單需求延後出貨延期。 | ||
| 2024/7 | 2.8 | 22.82 | -25.81 | 18.2 | -34.87 | 7.51 | 1.94 | - | ||
| 2024/6 | 2.28 | -5.81 | -42.51 | 15.4 | -36.29 | 6.98 | 2.27 | - | ||
| 2024/5 | 2.42 | 6.48 | -34.39 | 13.12 | -35.06 | 7.42 | 2.13 | - | ||
| 2024/4 | 2.28 | -16.45 | -43.63 | 10.69 | -35.21 | 6.92 | 2.29 | - | ||
| 2024/3 | 2.72 | 41.61 | -44.51 | 8.42 | -32.49 | 8.42 | 2.05 | - | ||
| 2024/2 | 1.92 | -48.93 | -56.2 | 5.69 | -24.67 | 8.62 | 2.0 | 客戶端庫存去化趨緩，致訂單需求延後出貨延期。 | ||
| 2024/1 | 3.77 | 28.5 | 19.12 | 3.77 | 19.12 | 10.6 | 1.63 | - | ||
| 2023/12 | 2.93 | -24.93 | -39.93 | 46.04 | -4.76 | 10.07 | 1.81 | - | ||
| 2023/11 | 3.91 | 20.8 | -15.69 | 43.11 | -0.81 | 10.57 | 1.72 | - | ||
| 2023/10 | 3.23 | -5.85 | -26.65 | 39.2 | 0.95 | 11.25 | 1.62 | - | ||
| 2023/9 | 3.43 | -25.1 | -25.42 | 35.97 | 4.49 | 11.8 | 1.63 | - | ||
| 2023/8 | 4.58 | 21.31 | 3.69 | 32.53 | 9.11 | 12.34 | 1.56 | - | ||
| 2023/7 | 3.78 | -4.83 | -8.26 | 27.95 | 10.05 | 11.45 | 1.68 | - | ||
| 2023/6 | 3.97 | 7.49 | 4.07 | 24.17 | 13.6 | 11.7 | 1.71 | - | ||
| 2023/5 | 3.69 | -8.5 | -20.41 | 20.2 | 15.69 | 12.64 | 1.59 | - | ||
| 2023/4 | 4.04 | -17.76 | 5.41 | 16.5 | 28.76 | 13.34 | 1.5 | - | ||
| 2023/3 | 4.91 | 11.78 | 38.44 | 12.47 | 38.72 | 12.47 | 1.66 | - | ||
| 2023/2 | 4.39 | 38.9 | 128.46 | 7.56 | 38.9 | 12.44 | 1.66 | 公司受長短料料況影響，致有遞延出貨情形。 | ||
| 2023/1 | 3.16 | -35.2 | -10.06 | 3.16 | -10.06 | 12.68 | 1.63 | - | ||
| 2022/12 | 4.88 | 5.36 | 25.8 | 48.34 | 19.64 | 13.92 | 1.48 | - | ||
| 2022/11 | 4.63 | 5.09 | 57.55 | 43.46 | 18.99 | 13.64 | 1.51 | 公司受長短料料況影響，致有遞延出貨情形。 | ||
| 2022/10 | 4.41 | -4.27 | 57.28 | 38.83 | 15.61 | 13.43 | 1.53 | 公司受長短料料況影響，致有遞延出貨情形。 | ||
| 2022/9 | 4.6 | 4.13 | 49.13 | 34.42 | 11.82 | 13.15 | 1.59 | - | ||
| 2022/8 | 4.42 | 7.32 | 34.15 | 29.82 | 7.66 | 12.36 | 1.69 | - | ||
| 2022/7 | 4.12 | 7.96 | 7.47 | 25.39 | 4.08 | 12.58 | 1.66 | - | ||
| 2022/6 | 3.82 | -17.79 | 13.82 | 21.27 | 3.45 | 12.29 | 1.56 | - | ||
| 2022/5 | 4.64 | 21.18 | 51.23 | 17.46 | 1.43 | 12.02 | 1.59 | 受疫情影響原物料缺貨，致部分訂單延至5月出貨。 | ||
| 2022/4 | 3.83 | 7.99 | 17.76 | 12.82 | -9.37 | 9.3 | 2.06 | - | ||
| 2022/3 | 3.55 | 84.47 | -4.28 | 8.99 | -17.47 | 8.99 | 1.84 | - | ||
| 2022/2 | 1.92 | -45.32 | -42.44 | 5.44 | -24.28 | 9.32 | 1.77 | - | ||
| 2022/1 | 3.52 | -9.35 | -8.49 | 3.52 | -8.49 | 10.34 | 1.6 | - | ||
| 2021/12 | 3.88 | 31.94 | 3.24 | 40.4 | 6.27 | 9.62 | 1.6 | - | ||
| 2021/11 | 2.94 | 4.91 | -17.95 | 36.52 | 6.6 | 8.83 | 1.74 | - | ||
| 2021/10 | 2.8 | -9.23 | -19.49 | 33.58 | 9.47 | 9.19 | 1.68 | - | ||
| 2021/9 | 3.09 | -6.32 | -21.0 | 30.78 | 13.17 | 10.22 | 1.41 | - | ||
| 2021/8 | 3.3 | -14.02 | 1.15 | 27.69 | 18.91 | 10.48 | 1.38 | - | ||
| 2021/7 | 3.83 | 14.34 | 6.47 | 24.4 | 21.8 | 10.26 | 1.41 | - | ||
| 2021/6 | 3.35 | 9.22 | 17.14 | 20.56 | 25.16 | 9.67 | 1.28 | - | ||
| 2021/5 | 3.07 | -5.64 | 15.12 | 17.21 | 26.85 | 10.03 | 1.24 | - | ||
| 2021/4 | 3.25 | -12.22 | 2.49 | 14.14 | 29.72 | 10.3 | 1.2 | - | ||
| 2021/3 | 3.71 | 10.92 | 14.22 | 10.89 | 40.9 | 10.89 | 0.95 | - | ||
| 2021/2 | 3.34 | -13.07 | 65.43 | 7.18 | 60.21 | 10.94 | 0.95 | 客戶訂單增加出貨增加 | ||
| 2021/1 | 3.84 | 2.27 | 55.93 | 3.84 | 55.93 | 11.18 | 0.92 | 客戶訂單增加出貨增加 | ||
| 2020/12 | 3.76 | 4.85 | 18.13 | 38.02 | 4.54 | 10.82 | 0.91 | - | ||
| 2020/11 | 3.58 | 2.94 | 14.36 | 34.26 | 3.24 | 10.97 | 0.9 | - | ||
| 2020/10 | 3.48 | -10.94 | 12.48 | 30.68 | 2.08 | 10.65 | 0.93 | - | ||
| 2020/9 | 3.91 | 19.96 | 35.49 | 27.2 | 0.88 | 10.77 | 0.86 | - | ||
| 2020/8 | 3.26 | -9.5 | 2.22 | 23.29 | -3.25 | 9.72 | 0.95 | - | ||
| 2020/7 | 3.6 | 25.8 | 29.56 | 20.03 | -4.09 | 9.13 | 1.01 | - | ||
| 2020/6 | 2.86 | 7.34 | 15.13 | 16.43 | -9.26 | 8.7 | 1.01 | - | ||
| 2020/5 | 2.67 | -15.99 | -18.62 | 13.57 | -13.14 | 9.08 | 0.96 | - | ||
| 2020/4 | 3.17 | -2.17 | 14.4 | 10.9 | -11.68 | 8.44 | 1.04 | - | ||
| 2020/3 | 3.24 | 60.66 | 1.25 | 7.73 | -19.25 | 7.73 | 1.11 | - | ||
| 2020/2 | 2.02 | -18.06 | -3.35 | 4.48 | -29.57 | 7.66 | 1.12 | - | ||
| 2020/1 | 2.46 | -22.51 | -42.38 | 2.46 | -42.38 | 8.78 | 0.98 | - | ||
| 2019/12 | 3.18 | 1.51 | -0.33 | 36.37 | -5.1 | 0.0 | N/A | - | ||
| 2019/11 | 3.13 | 1.25 | -3.85 | 33.19 | -5.54 | 0.0 | N/A | - |
| 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/1 | 3.77 | 2023/1 | 3.16 | 2022/1 | 3.52 | 2021/1 | 3.84 | 2020/1 | 2.46 |
| 2024/2 | 1.92 | 2023/2 | 4.39 | 2022/2 | 1.92 | 2021/2 | 3.34 | 2020/2 | 2.02 |
| 2024/3 | 2.72 | 2023/3 | 4.91 | 2022/3 | 3.55 | 2021/3 | 3.71 | 2020/3 | 3.24 |
| 2024/4 | 2.28 | 2023/4 | 4.04 | 2022/4 | 3.83 | 2021/4 | 3.25 | 2020/4 | 3.17 |
| 2024/5 | 2.42 | 2023/5 | 3.69 | 2022/5 | 4.64 | 2021/5 | 3.07 | 2020/5 | 2.67 |
| 2024/6 | 2.28 | 2023/6 | 3.97 | 2022/6 | 3.82 | 2021/6 | 3.35 | 2020/6 | 2.86 |
| 2024/7 | 2.8 | 2023/7 | 3.78 | 2022/7 | 4.12 | 2021/7 | 3.83 | 2020/7 | 3.6 |
| 2024/8 | 2.16 | 2023/8 | 4.58 | 2022/8 | 4.42 | 2021/8 | 3.3 | 2020/8 | 3.26 |
| 2024/9 | 2.47 | 2023/9 | 3.43 | 2022/9 | 4.6 | 2021/9 | 3.09 | 2020/9 | 3.91 |
| 2024/10 | 3.0 | 2023/10 | 3.23 | 2022/10 | 4.41 | 2021/10 | 2.8 | 2020/10 | 3.48 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/11 | 3.91 | 2022/11 | 4.63 | 2021/11 | 2.94 | 2020/11 | 3.58 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/12 | 2.93 | 2022/12 | 4.88 | 2021/12 | 3.88 | 2020/12 | 3.76 |
- 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
| 合約負債 QoQ YoY | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 24Q3 (20) | 0.8 | -38.93 | -45.58 |
| 24Q2 (19) | 1.31 | 138.18 | -2.96 |
| 24Q1 (18) | 0.55 | -8.33 | -73.3 |
| 23Q4 (17) | 0.6 | -59.18 | -74.03 |
| 23Q3 (16) | 1.47 | 8.89 | -42.13 |
| 23Q2 (15) | 1.35 | -34.47 | 36.36 |
| 23Q1 (14) | 2.06 | -10.82 | 148.19 |
| 22Q4 (13) | 2.31 | -9.06 | 151.09 |
| 22Q3 (12) | 2.54 | 156.57 | 135.19 |
| 22Q2 (11) | 0.99 | 19.28 | 37.5 |
| 22Q1 (10) | 0.83 | -9.78 | -17.0 |
| 21Q4 (9) | 0.92 | -14.81 | 91.67 |
| 21Q3 (8) | 1.08 | 50.0 | 77.05 |
| 21Q2 (7) | 0.72 | -28.0 | 28.57 |
| 21Q1 (6) | 1.0 | 108.33 | 61.29 |
| 20Q4 (5) | 0.48 | -21.31 | 26.32 |
| 20Q3 (4) | 0.61 | 8.93 | 0.0 |
| 20Q2 (3) | 0.56 | -9.68 | 0.0 |
| 20Q1 (2) | 0.62 | 63.16 | 0.0 |
| 19Q4 (1) | 0.38 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
