玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.317.8429.3331.9834.429.34N/A-
2024/93.073.649.3928.6735.049.710.3-
2024/82.96-19.345.2325.638.9510.40.28-
2024/73.67-2.3556.6922.6345.0311.220.26主係今年景氣較去年回升,加上今年銅價上揚_致營收較去年同期大幅增加。
2024/63.76-0.7381.2318.9642.9611.120.22主係今年景氣較去年回升,加上今年銅價上揚_致營收較去年同期大幅增加。
2024/53.795.9945.0815.235.8710.80.23-
2024/43.574.0854.6711.4133.068.230.3去年同期大環境景氣不佳,致營收下滑。
2024/33.43181.5627.167.8425.097.840.3-
2024/21.22-61.67-53.954.423.527.320.32113年2月適逢春節連假影響,導致本年度較去年度同期合併營收偏低。
2024/13.189.01247.813.18247.818.940.26112年1月適逢春節連假影響,導致去年同期合併營收偏低。
2023/122.922.8324.2929.55-5.428.320.22-
2023/112.8410.8911.5426.63-7.848.210.23-
2023/102.56-8.7715.6223.79-9.718.180.23-
2023/92.81-0.2912.6521.23-12.047.970.24-
2023/82.8120.123.3218.42-14.887.230.27-
2023/72.3412.9312.9815.61-19.387.030.28-
2023/62.08-20.52-13.8213.26-23.277.00.33-
2023/52.6112.99-21.7211.19-24.87.620.3-
2023/42.31-14.42-31.638.58-25.697.660.3-
2023/32.71.94-14.366.26-23.236.260.42-
2023/22.65189.488.513.56-28.815.910.44-
2023/10.92-61.04-64.330.92-64.335.810.45主係112年1月適逢春節連假及受到外部大環境不佳影響,致本月合併營收較去年同期大幅下降。
2022/122.35-7.7-33.431.24-25.67.110.35-
2022/112.5514.94-25.6328.89-24.897.250.34-
2022/102.21-11.12-26.2126.35-24.816.990.36-
2022/92.499.14-11.9124.13-24.686.850.39-
2022/82.2810.03-29.721.64-25.926.770.39-
2022/72.07-13.86-40.9219.36-25.457.820.34-
2022/62.41-27.81-41.0417.29-23.039.120.44-
2022/53.34-1.29-18.1314.88-19.029.870.41-
2022/43.387.17-17.5611.54-19.288.980.45-
2022/33.1529.18-27.858.16-19.978.160.46-
2022/22.44-4.8514.955.01-14.068.530.44-
2022/12.57-27.26-30.72.57-30.79.520.4-
2021/123.533.06-7.342.040.639.950.35-
2021/113.4214.046.7638.4747.639.250.38-
2021/103.06.094.9935.0553.369.080.38主係2021年銅價較2020年上揚致本年度營收增幅較大。
2021/92.83-12.885.0632.0560.279.590.34主係2021年銅價較2020年上揚致本年度營收增幅較大。
2021/83.25-7.5318.8429.2268.8710.840.3主係2021年銅價較2020年上揚致本年度營收增幅較大。
2021/73.51-14.0324.4825.9778.2511.670.28主係2021年銅價較2020年上揚致本期營收增幅較大。
2021/64.080.22107.7122.4691.1512.260.31主係2021年銅價較2020年同期上揚致本期營收增幅較大。
2021/54.08-0.684.5718.3787.8212.550.3主係2021年銅價較2020年同期上揚致本期營收增幅較大。
2021/44.1-6.265.3814.388.7710.60.36主係本期間疫情趨緩,客戶產品補貨需求增高,加上銅價較去年同期上揚,致本期營收增幅較大。
2021/34.37105.8471.7710.2100.1610.20.31主係2021年銅價較去年同期上揚致本期營收增幅較大,且去年受新冠肺炎影響致營收較少所致。
2021/22.12-42.6476.95.83128.499.630.33主係2021年銅價較2020年同期上揚致本期營收增幅較大,且2020年受新冠肺炎影響上班天數較短比較基期偏低所致。
2021/13.7-2.69174.383.7174.3810.710.32020年初受新冠肺炎影響及適逢春節上班天數較少基期徧低,加上今年度銅價較去年同期上揚致本期營收增幅較大。
2020/123.8118.7145.2829.868.049.870.22-
2020/113.2112.1413.126.064.148.760.25-
2020/102.866.1621.022.853.08.280.26-
2020/92.69-1.4515.2619.990.858.240.38-
2020/82.73-3.1414.8917.3-1.067.520.41-
2020/72.8243.4417.0114.57-3.577.00.44-
2020/61.97-10.93-3.0611.75-7.486.650.37-
2020/52.21-10.94-3.389.78-8.327.230.34-
2020/42.48-2.58-1.127.57-9.676.220.4-
2020/32.55111.994.935.1-13.315.10.43-
2020/21.2-11.04-3.912.55-26.145.170.43-
2020/11.35-48.47-38.741.35-38.746.80.32-
2019/122.62-7.582.4127.64-18.260.0N/A-
2019/112.8319.98-3.2325.02-19.950.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.182023/10.922022/12.572021/13.72020/11.35
2024/21.222023/22.652022/22.442021/22.122020/21.2
2024/33.432023/32.72022/33.152021/34.372020/32.55
2024/43.572023/42.312022/43.382021/44.12020/42.48
2024/53.792023/52.612022/53.342021/54.082020/52.21
2024/63.762023/62.082022/62.412021/64.082020/61.97
2024/73.672023/72.342022/72.072021/73.512020/72.82
2024/82.962023/82.812022/82.282021/83.252020/82.73
2024/93.072023/92.812022/92.492021/92.832020/92.69
2024/103.312023/102.562022/102.212021/103.02020/102.86
N/AN/A2023/112.842022/112.552021/113.422020/113.21
N/AN/A2023/122.922022/122.352021/123.532020/123.81
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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