玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1012.610.668.79125.8712.3538.3N/A-
2024/912.53-4.829.23113.2612.7638.60.22-
2024/813.161.899.39100.7313.2238.830.21-
2024/712.921.2711.2287.5713.8239.140.21-
2024/612.75-5.3515.6874.6614.2839.860.21-
2024/513.47-1.1412.9261.914.039.530.21-
2024/413.639.6711.7248.4314.336.760.23-
2024/312.4316.135.3934.815.3434.80.25-
2024/210.7-8.296.9422.3721.7333.940.26-
2024/111.670.8539.4111.6739.4135.350.25-
2023/1211.57-4.4420.34135.7-14.9235.270.29-
2023/1112.114.4815.86124.13-17.1835.160.29-
2023/1011.591.0612.32112.02-19.6635.090.29-
2023/911.47-4.6813.66100.43-22.2135.110.31-
2023/812.033.6-2.888.97-25.2534.670.32-
2023/711.615.33-8.076.94-27.8634.570.32-
2023/611.02-7.6-24.3565.32-30.5335.160.34-
2023/511.93-2.18-21.3754.3-31.6635.920.34-
2023/412.23.45-28.8642.37-34.0934.00.36-
2023/311.7917.83-29.7230.17-35.9930.170.42-
2023/210.0119.55-26.1418.38-39.4627.990.45-
2023/18.37-12.94-50.198.37-50.1928.430.44因景氣放緩及農曆春節放假因素。
2022/129.61-8.0-40.75159.5-18.0430.380.47-
2022/1110.451.28-38.94149.89-15.9730.860.46-
2022/1010.322.27-41.72139.44-13.5332.780.43-
2022/910.09-18.49-42.67129.12-10.0535.090.47-
2022/812.38-1.93-31.67119.03-5.539.570.42-
2022/712.62-13.38-28.1106.66-1.142.370.39-
2022/614.57-3.96-8.2894.034.1446.90.37-
2022/515.18-11.5-7.0779.466.7949.10.36-
2022/417.152.27.7564.2810.6947.480.37-
2022/316.7823.846.8947.1311.847.130.36-
2022/213.55-19.378.6630.3514.7246.580.36-
2022/116.813.5620.1216.8120.1250.150.34-
2021/1216.23-5.1815.22194.6132.3751.050.27-
2021/1117.12-3.3328.71178.3834.1952.420.26-
2021/1017.710.6133.92161.2734.7953.420.26-
2021/917.6-2.8539.2143.5634.953.270.2-
2021/818.123.1741.19125.9634.3251.560.21-
2021/717.5610.4942.4107.8533.2349.780.22-
2021/615.89-2.733.190.2931.5948.140.2-
2021/516.332.6132.0574.431.2747.940.2-
2021/415.911.3837.3858.0731.0544.080.21-
2021/315.725.8933.442.1628.8142.160.2-
2021/212.47-10.8815.2226.4626.2240.540.21-
2021/113.99-0.6537.9713.9937.9741.370.2-
2020/1214.085.9127.6147.0222.240.60.19-
2020/1113.30.5725.81132.9321.6539.160.2-
2020/1013.224.5823.35119.6421.2138.690.2-
2020/912.64-1.4615.18106.4220.9537.80.2-
2020/812.834.0612.9293.7721.7737.10.2-
2020/712.333.2816.0780.9423.336.630.21-
2020/611.94-3.4721.968.6224.735.890.19-
2020/512.376.7521.7356.6825.335.720.19-
2020/411.58-1.5420.1844.3126.3434.170.2-
2020/311.778.7325.2332.7328.6732.730.16-
2020/210.826.752.1720.9630.6832.00.17108年春節假期落在2月,工作天數較少,且半導體景氣不佳,故基期偏低。從108年第三季開始,客戶需求回溫。
2020/110.14-8.1213.5710.1413.5731.750.17-
2019/1211.044.4318.87120.3-2.630.0N/A-
2019/1110.57-1.3912.96109.27-4.380.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/111.672023/18.372022/116.812021/113.992020/110.14
2024/210.72023/210.012022/213.552021/212.472020/210.82
2024/312.432023/311.792022/316.782021/315.72020/311.77
2024/413.632023/412.22022/417.152021/415.912020/411.58
2024/513.472023/511.932022/515.182021/516.332020/512.37
2024/612.752023/611.022022/614.572021/615.892020/611.94
2024/712.922023/711.612022/712.622021/717.562020/712.33
2024/813.162023/812.032022/812.382021/818.122020/812.83
2024/912.532023/911.472022/910.092021/917.62020/912.64
2024/1012.612023/1011.592022/1010.322021/1017.712020/1013.22
N/AN/A2023/1112.112022/1110.452021/1117.122020/1113.3
N/AN/A2023/1211.572022/129.612021/1216.232020/1214.08
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.25%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.28-0.780.0
24Q2 (19)1.2917.27-12.84
24Q1 (18)1.1-2.65-33.33
23Q4 (17)1.13-11.72-43.5
23Q3 (16)1.28-13.51-42.34
23Q2 (15)1.48-10.3-28.16
23Q1 (14)1.65-17.5-6.78
22Q4 (13)2.0-9.9121.21
22Q3 (12)2.227.7748.99
22Q2 (11)2.0616.38-0.96
22Q1 (10)1.777.27240.38
21Q4 (9)1.6510.74189.47
21Q3 (8)1.49-28.37175.93
21Q2 (7)2.08300.0372.73
21Q1 (6)0.52-8.7713.04
20Q4 (5)0.575.5614.0
20Q3 (4)0.5422.730.0
20Q2 (3)0.44-4.350.0
20Q1 (2)0.46-8.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.50.00.0

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