玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.5838.85-18.4611.56-24.494.22N/A-
2024/91.14-24.2-38.469.98-25.363.621.19-
2024/81.554.08-9.738.84-23.253.691.16-
2024/70.97-19.75-35.687.33-25.543.161.36-
2024/61.2124.58-15.896.36-23.73.251.36-
2024/50.98-8.07-21.195.15-25.333.071.44-
2024/41.062.28-17.274.17-26.243.071.44-
2024/31.047.21-41.733.11-28.873.111.5-
2024/20.97-12.48-36.492.07-20.043.171.46-
2024/11.110.33.391.113.394.021.16-
2023/121.1-39.31-42.9718.22-1.254.861.0-
2023/111.82-6.33-24.4117.123.625.60.87-
2023/101.944.783.9615.38.395.450.89-
2023/91.8511.1831.1913.379.075.031.15-
2023/81.669.7810.6811.526.194.621.25-
2023/71.524.9333.659.855.474.21.38-
2023/61.4416.7232.268.341.573.961.84-
2023/51.24-3.5-3.746.89-3.134.31.7-
2023/41.28-27.95-18.785.65-2.994.591.59-
2023/31.7816.84-3.054.372.864.371.89-
2023/21.5242.4934.722.597.374.521.83-
2023/11.07-44.67-16.711.07-16.715.41.53-
2022/121.93-19.5519.8318.454.396.21.32-
2022/112.428.8234.7616.522.845.681.45-
2022/101.8632.2117.7414.12-1.134.781.72-
2022/91.41-6.19-2.4612.25-3.494.051.95-
2022/81.532.57-2.5910.84-3.623.732.11-
2022/71.133.84-19.929.34-3.783.512.24-
2022/61.09-15.05-21.78.21-1.033.961.75-
2022/51.29-18.58-9.337.113.144.71.47-
2022/41.58-13.9952.365.836.374.551.52前四大客戶(英/德/香港/以色列)於2022年需求上升,再加上四月的料況表現良好,故營業額上升
2022/31.8462.391.364.25-4.344.251.69-
2022/21.13-11.916.542.41-8.284.031.78-
2022/11.28-20.4-18.291.28-18.294.681.53-
2021/121.61-9.53-29.9317.68-0.374.981.42-
2021/111.7812.5620.8916.064.034.811.47-
2021/101.589.521.014.282.254.571.55-
2021/91.45-6.32-21.6212.72.414.411.71-
2021/81.548.984.2911.256.614.351.73-
2021/71.421.53-14.389.716.994.231.78-
2021/61.39-1.63-6.458.2911.753.852.11-
2021/51.4236.8113.286.916.344.271.9-
2021/41.04-42.7740.975.4817.163.912.07-
2021/31.8170.6867.224.4412.714.441.76差異主要是因為受疫情影響,網路通訊設備需求增加,業績正常成長。
2021/21.06-32.45-25.732.63-7.934.931.58-
2021/11.57-31.739.851.579.855.351.46-
2020/122.356.1141.0517.7412.585.341.36-
2020/111.47-5.95-13.2115.449.294.891.49-
2020/101.57-15.01-3.7813.9712.364.891.49-
2020/91.8424.6435.6212.414.84.981.51-
2020/81.48-10.53-8.1710.5511.84.631.62-
2020/71.6510.947.059.0715.924.41.71-
2020/61.4919.125.877.4218.13.482.04-
2020/51.2570.2615.455.9321.633.072.32-
2020/40.74-32.12-28.864.6823.393.252.19-
2020/31.08-24.1911.023.9442.993.941.52-
2020/21.43-0.0983.412.8661.284.491.34本公司穩健原有的網通事業外,亦積極拓展記憶體事業部業務,故致營收較去年成長
2020/11.43-12.3543.941.4343.944.761.26-
2019/121.63-3.9548.3415.7630.350.0N/A-
2019/111.74.2619.9814.1328.550.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.112023/11.072022/11.282021/11.572020/11.43
2024/20.972023/21.522022/21.132021/21.062020/21.43
2024/31.042023/31.782022/31.842021/31.812020/31.08
2024/41.062023/41.282022/41.582021/41.042020/40.74
2024/50.982023/51.242022/51.292021/51.422020/51.25
2024/61.212023/61.442022/61.092021/61.392020/61.49
2024/70.972023/71.522022/71.132021/71.422020/71.65
2024/81.52023/81.662022/81.52021/81.542020/81.48
2024/91.142023/91.852022/91.412021/91.452020/91.84
2024/101.582023/101.942022/101.862021/101.582020/101.57
N/AN/A2023/111.822022/112.42021/111.782020/111.47
N/AN/A2023/121.12022/121.932021/121.612020/122.3
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.58%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.16700.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.02100.0-84.62
24Q1 (18)0.010.0-90.91
23Q4 (17)0.01-93.75-90.91
23Q3 (16)0.1623.080
23Q2 (15)0.1318.180
23Q1 (14)0.110.00
22Q4 (13)0.1100

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