玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.36-33.6-46.5517.73-11.634.88N/A-
2024/92.0539.9231.6616.37-6.555.410.38-
2024/81.47-22.37-26.4514.32-10.285.230.39-
2024/71.890.9946.112.85-7.975.750.35-
2024/61.87-5.8319.8310.96-13.495.960.36-
2024/51.99-5.65-54.269.09-18.185.530.39去年同期有大型專案完成驗收認列收入。
2024/42.1146.1812.327.14.985.230.41-
2024/31.44-14.61-34.635.02.175.00.43-
2024/21.69-9.8836.513.5632.345.050.43-
2024/11.8725.5228.81.8728.85.190.42-
2023/121.49-18.46-42.8723.383.015.870.36-
2023/111.83-28.27-14.7121.898.975.940.36-
2023/102.5563.5744.7920.0611.86.10.35-
2023/91.56-21.84-34.1417.528.214.850.74-
2023/81.9954.217.2715.9615.464.850.74-
2023/71.29-17.15-16.6913.9616.737.20.5-
2023/61.56-64.06-12.4112.6721.727.780.22-
2023/54.34131.73132.8911.1128.778.420.2本月有大型專案完成驗收,認列收入
2023/41.87-14.9321.796.770.055.310.32-
2023/32.278.347.994.89-6.344.890.59-
2023/21.24-14.97-6.472.69-15.535.30.54-
2023/11.45-44.32-21.961.45-21.966.210.46-
2022/122.6121.7416.3922.75.656.510.31-
2022/112.1421.77-1.3120.094.46.270.33-
2022/101.76-25.639.1817.955.135.990.34-
2022/92.3727.3246.2316.192.45.780.4本月有大型專案完成驗收,認列收入
2022/81.8619.7511.9313.82-2.595.190.45-
2022/71.55-12.9-15.711.96-4.515.20.45-
2022/61.78-4.4422.4810.41-2.585.190.36-
2022/51.8621.1815.128.63-6.545.440.35-
2022/41.54-24.57-32.056.76-11.154.90.39-
2022/32.0454.45-1.585.22-2.295.220.23-
2022/21.32-29.06-3.033.18-2.755.430.22-
2022/11.86-16.95-2.541.86-2.546.280.19-
2021/122.243.218.721.49-0.575.680.23-
2021/112.1771.7550.8219.24-1.555.060.26本月有大型專案完成驗收,認列收入
2021/101.26-21.83-6.8917.07-5.724.540.29-
2021/91.62-2.54-25.0915.81-5.625.120.32-
2021/81.66-9.81-32.5514.19-2.744.960.33-
2021/71.8426.55-13.2712.533.34.920.34-
2021/61.45-10.181.5610.696.825.340.33-
2021/51.62-28.473.09.237.75.960.3-
2021/42.269.2539.527.618.755.70.31-
2021/32.0752.1761.845.35-0.535.350.53本月有大型專案完成驗收,認列收入
2021/21.36-28.7-38.293.27-20.055.340.53-
2021/11.91-7.361.291.911.295.410.52-
2020/122.0643.2-29.5721.61-2.654.860.59-
2020/111.446.02-39.9319.551.434.960.58-
2020/101.36-37.11-40.5418.117.315.980.48-
2020/92.16-12.25-4.4416.7514.816.750.27-
2020/82.4615.9830.114.5918.346.020.31-
2020/72.1248.26.1512.1316.215.130.36-
2020/61.43-8.91-9.3610.018.594.630.47-
2020/51.57-3.1227.98.5725.044.480.49-
2020/41.6226.72-5.227.024.415.110.43-
2020/31.28-41.97-24.545.3737.395.370.43-
2020/22.2117.03101.984.0984.877.020.33本月有大型專案完成驗收,認列收入
2020/11.89-35.5968.191.8968.197.210.32本月有大型專案完成驗收,認列收入
2019/122.9322.13137.2722.233.830.0N/A本月有大型專案完成驗收,認列收入
2019/112.44.9362.1519.2725.510.0N/A本月有大型專案完成驗收,認列收入
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.872023/11.452022/11.862021/11.912020/11.89
2024/21.692023/21.242022/21.322021/21.362020/22.21
2024/31.442023/32.22022/32.042021/32.072020/31.28
2024/42.112023/41.872022/41.542021/42.262020/41.62
2024/51.992023/54.342022/51.862021/51.622020/51.57
2024/61.872023/61.562022/61.782021/61.452020/61.43
2024/71.892023/71.292022/71.552021/71.842020/72.12
2024/81.472023/81.992022/81.862021/81.662020/82.46
2024/92.052023/91.562022/92.372021/91.622020/92.16
2024/101.362023/102.552022/101.762021/101.262020/101.36
N/AN/A2023/111.832022/112.142021/112.172020/111.44
N/AN/A2023/121.492022/122.612021/122.242020/122.06
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 11.72%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.827.89-33.33
24Q2 (19)0.76-39.6828.81
24Q1 (18)1.2640.044.83
23Q4 (17)0.9-26.83-4.26
23Q3 (16)1.23108.4792.19
23Q2 (15)0.59-32.18-19.18
23Q1 (14)0.87-7.4558.18
22Q4 (13)0.9446.8822.08
22Q3 (12)0.64-12.33-20.0
22Q2 (11)0.7332.73-24.74
22Q1 (10)0.55-28.57-17.91
21Q4 (9)0.77-3.7516.67
21Q3 (8)0.8-17.5370.21
21Q2 (7)0.9744.7846.97
21Q1 (6)0.671.5215.52
20Q4 (5)0.6640.4329.41
20Q3 (4)0.47-28.790.0
20Q2 (3)0.6613.790.0
20Q1 (2)0.5813.730.0
19Q4 (1)0.510.00.0

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