玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/116.07-16.2115.1766.351.319.58N/A-
2024/107.2515.930.2660.280.0819.44N/A-
2024/96.255.349.8253.030.0617.631.63-
2024/85.949.21.2646.78-1.117.721.63-
2024/75.44-14.331.9440.84-1.4417.191.68-
2024/66.3517.240.5135.4-1.9417.871.35-
2024/55.41-11.43-17.8829.06-2.4617.341.39-
2024/46.114.981.1723.651.9117.741.36-
2024/35.820.163.017.532.1717.531.47-
2024/25.81-1.541.1811.711.7618.921.370.541.2-
2024/15.9-18.122.335.92.3318.391.410.660.66-
2023/127.2136.691.6872.718.0519.711.160.979.14-
2023/115.27-27.06-10.3265.58.818.21.250.588.17-
2023/107.2326.9828.8460.2310.8718.791.220.767.59-
2023/95.69-2.870.752.998.816.891.41.066.83-
2023/85.869.941.7347.39.8617.511.350.575.77-
2023/75.33-15.534.0541.4411.1218.241.290.545.2-
2023/66.31-4.217.8436.1112.2418.941.181.064.66-
2023/56.599.1224.6729.7913.2218.281.220.583.6-
2023/46.046.8714.3223.210.3517.431.280.63.02-
2023/35.65-1.63.0417.169.0117.161.481.242.42-
2023/25.74-0.4221.9211.5112.2118.61.370.531.18-
2023/15.77-18.653.965.773.9618.741.360.660.66-
2022/127.0920.55-21.8667.292.2718.581.360.968.55-
2022/115.884.89.2360.26.1317.151.480.527.59-
2022/105.61-0.743.454.325.817.031.490.897.07-
2022/95.65-1.871.1948.716.0916.541.521.056.18-
2022/85.7612.446.1443.056.7616.741.510.575.14-
2022/75.12-12.46-2.6637.296.8616.261.550.484.56-
2022/65.8510.749.9232.178.5516.421.330.874.09-
2022/55.290.060.3226.318.2516.051.360.583.21-
2022/45.28-3.6715.0521.0310.4515.481.410.562.63-
2022/35.4816.423.4815.748.9915.741.140.972.07-
2022/24.71-15.0921.3210.2612.1819.330.930.491.1-
2022/15.55-38.855.435.555.4320.010.90.610.61-
2021/129.0768.5354.6665.818.719.891.01.317.51本月營收增減百分比較去年同期增加達50%以上係因大型專案增加所致
2021/115.38-0.796.9256.7214.4416.41.210.686.19-
2021/105.43-2.8712.1951.3415.2916.441.210.595.51-
2021/95.592.929.6545.9115.6716.281.210.724.92-
2021/85.433.1130.5540.3216.5616.021.230.474.2-
2021/75.26-1.1428.5834.8914.6515.861.240.423.73-
2021/65.331.069.8829.6312.4815.191.390.773.3-
2021/55.2714.7628.624.313.0715.161.390.42.54-
2021/44.59-13.356.2919.039.4113.771.530.442.14-
2021/35.336.4920.7614.4410.4414.441.470.831.7-
2021/23.88-26.217.859.145.2315.011.410.420.86-
2021/15.26-10.313.375.263.3716.161.310.450.45-
2020/125.8716.51-10.1855.430.3815.741.240.595.65-
2020/115.044.090.6749.561.814.971.310.495.05-
2020/104.84-5.0712.544.531.9314.091.390.444.57-
2020/95.122.55-8.9639.690.7813.351.220.444.12-
2020/84.161.558.9434.592.3913.11.240.383.68-
2020/74.09-15.511.7130.441.5613.041.250.363.3-
2020/64.8518.27-1.226.341.5313.261.140.652.94-
2020/54.1-5.142.621.492.1812.81.180.342.29-
2020/44.32-1.5538.617.42.0812.311.230.391.95-
2020/34.3921.89-1.0313.08-6.0913.081.110.751.57-
2020/23.6-29.27-21.368.69-8.4515.220.960.380.81-
2020/15.09-22.083.565.093.560.0N/A0.430.43-
2019/126.5330.629.8655.2118.780.0N/A0.575.36-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.92023/15.772022/15.552021/15.262020/15.09
2024/25.812023/25.742022/24.712021/23.882020/23.6
2024/35.822023/35.652022/35.482021/35.32020/34.39
2024/46.112023/46.042022/45.282021/44.592020/44.32
2024/55.412023/56.592022/55.292021/55.272020/54.1
2024/66.352023/66.312022/65.852021/65.332020/64.85
2024/75.442023/75.332022/75.122021/75.262020/74.09
2024/85.942023/85.862022/85.762021/85.432020/84.16
2024/96.252023/95.692022/95.652021/95.592020/95.1
2024/107.252023/107.232022/105.612021/105.432020/104.84
2024/116.072023/115.272022/115.882021/115.382020/115.04
N/AN/A2023/127.212022/127.092021/129.072020/125.87
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 151.09%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)16.0712.9317.47
24Q2 (19)14.23-6.9313.03
24Q1 (18)15.29-7.89-3.72
23Q4 (17)16.621.3511.19
23Q3 (16)13.688.667.04
23Q2 (15)12.59-20.722.86
23Q1 (14)15.886.3631.89
22Q4 (13)14.9316.8227.17
22Q3 (12)12.784.411.75
22Q2 (11)12.241.660.33
22Q1 (10)12.042.56-9.75
21Q4 (9)11.74-6.53-4.48
21Q3 (8)12.562.9521.82
21Q2 (7)12.2-8.5535.56
21Q1 (6)13.348.5455.12
20Q4 (5)12.2919.232.01
20Q3 (4)10.3114.560.0
20Q2 (3)9.04.650.0
20Q1 (2)8.6-7.630.0
19Q4 (1)9.310.00.0

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