玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.67-57.08-53.7213.1147.062.95N/A本月交屋較去年同期少
2024/91.57124.3157.0712.4466.743.4213.9本月及本期交屋均較去年同期多
2024/80.7-39.025.3310.8768.242.6817.72本期累計交屋較去年同期多
2024/71.1537.617.7610.1772.33.1215.26本期累計交屋較去年同期多
2024/60.83-26.420.839.0286.523.413.91本期累計交屋較去年同期多
2024/51.13-20.7389.288.1897.464.99.65本月及本期累計交屋均較去年同期多
2024/41.43-38.76112.117.0598.845.249.02本月及本期累計交屋均較去年同期多
2024/32.3458.4542.245.6295.735.628.49本期累計交屋較去年同期多
2024/21.47-18.57185.193.28167.197.36.54本月及本期累計交屋均較去年同期多
2024/11.81-54.95154.131.81154.137.756.16本月及本期累計交屋均較去年同期多
2023/124.02108.75493.1914.8674.017.46.85本月及本期累計交屋均較去年同期多
2023/111.9332.15249.2410.8437.894.3811.57本月交屋較去年同期多
2023/101.4645.6588.068.9221.953.0216.81本月交屋較去年同期多
2023/91.078.98-3.687.4614.122.6220.71-
2023/80.56-47.55-3.286.4617.482.3123.48-
2023/71.0754.365.075.919.922.3523.08本月交屋較去年同期多
2023/60.6915.28-27.634.8313.11.9627.26-
2023/50.6-11.17-15.324.1424.812.9218.36-
2023/40.67-58.938.03.5535.682.8318.89-
2023/31.64217.796.262.8744.372.8718.48本月交屋較去年同期多
2023/20.52-27.440.781.236.691.9127.83-
2023/10.715.1411.430.7111.431.9427.33-
2022/120.6822.99.68.54-48.912.026.08-
2022/110.55-28.83-17.547.86-51.162.3622.1本年累積交屋較去年同期少
2022/100.77-25.4-16.267.31-52.612.3921.85本年累積交屋較去年同期少
2022/91.0479.749.356.54-54.932.2625.94本年累積交屋較去年同期少
2022/80.58-10.4810.925.5-59.432.1826.94本年累積交屋較去年同期少
2022/70.65-32.3681.654.92-62.252.3125.43本月交屋較去年同期多,本年累積交屋較去年同期少。
2022/60.9534.89381.854.27-66.282.2925.12本月交屋較去年同期多,本年累積交屋較去年同期少
2022/50.7113.2934.883.32-73.392.1726.48本年累積交屋均較去年同期少
2022/40.62-25.37-55.882.61-78.141.9729.09本月交屋及本年累積交屋均較去年同期少
2022/30.8463.13-26.531.99-81.131.9928.68本年累積交屋較去年同期少
2022/20.51-19.77-84.591.15-87.741.7732.22本月交屋及本年累積交屋均較去年同期少
2022/10.643.42-89.470.64-89.471.9329.61本月交屋及本年累積交屋均較去年同期少
2021/120.62-7.54-66.9416.72-42.922.2125.58本月交屋數較去年同期少
2021/110.67-27.73-91.9716.1-41.282.5422.25本月交屋數較去年同期少
2021/100.93-2.58-92.7415.43-19.172.423.62本月交屋數較去年同期少
2021/90.9582.31117.5114.5128.71.8330.04本月交屋數及本年建案累積交屋均較去年同期多。
2021/80.5246.59-0.2213.55129.521.0751.05本年建案累計交屋較去年同期多
2021/70.3679.42-80.3613.03142.111.0850.89去年當月交屋數較多,本年建案累積交屋較去年同期多
2021/60.2-62.23-74.212.68254.72.1425.31去年當月交屋數較多,本年建案累積交屋較去年同期多
2021/50.52-62.95-1.7312.48344.673.0817.58因本年建案完工交屋
2021/41.4224.2889.9211.96426.015.889.2因本期建案完工交屋
2021/31.14-65.78185.0410.54589.9610.545.15因本期建案完工交屋
2021/23.33-45.19573.269.4733.3411.274.81因本期建案完工交屋
2021/16.07224.77858.216.07858.2116.273.33因本期建案完工交屋
2020/121.87-77.5496.6229.29249.3422.952.61因本期建案完工交屋
2020/118.33-34.681436.2227.42268.8921.512.78因本期建案完工交屋
2020/1012.752820.261681.1619.09177.0613.714.37因本期建案完工交屋
2020/90.44-16.37-67.696.342.72.7727.08合併子公司營業額減少
2020/80.52-71.14-1.435.9122.433.124.19-
2020/71.81135.63229.375.3825.383.1124.1因本期認列已完工建案餘屋,致本期營收較去年同期高
2020/60.7743.8545.123.57-4.532.0536.55-
2020/50.53-28.38-16.12.81-12.711.6844.57-
2020/40.7586.53-16.482.27-11.871.6445.64-
2020/30.4-19.19-24.171.53-9.431.5348.96-
2020/20.49-21.99-14.541.13-2.742.0835.97-
2020/10.63-33.359.00.639.02.1335.16-
2019/120.9575.457.528.38-48.640.0N/A-
2019/110.54-24.26-86.767.43-51.860.0N/A因本期無建案完工交屋,故本期營收較去年同期低
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.812023/10.712022/10.642021/16.072020/10.63
2024/21.472023/20.522022/20.512021/23.332020/20.49
2024/32.342023/31.642022/30.842021/31.142020/30.4
2024/41.432023/40.672022/40.622021/41.422020/40.75
2024/51.132023/50.62022/50.712021/50.522020/50.53
2024/60.832023/60.692022/60.952021/60.22020/60.77
2024/71.152023/71.072022/70.652021/70.362020/71.81
2024/80.72023/80.562022/80.582021/80.522020/80.52
2024/91.572023/91.02022/91.042021/90.952020/90.44
2024/100.672023/101.462022/100.772021/100.932020/1012.75
N/AN/A2023/111.932022/110.552021/110.672020/118.33
N/AN/A2023/124.022022/120.682021/120.622020/121.87
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 9.66%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.7419.87-8.11
24Q2 (19)3.127.96-21.61
24Q1 (18)2.89-18.36-15.25
23Q4 (17)3.54-13.028.59
23Q3 (16)4.072.2633.88
23Q2 (15)3.9816.7238.19
23Q1 (14)3.414.632.17
22Q4 (13)3.267.2453.77
22Q3 (12)3.045.5696.13
22Q2 (11)2.8811.6360.0
22Q1 (10)2.5821.725.24
21Q4 (9)2.1236.77-59.07
21Q3 (8)1.55-13.89-87.22
21Q2 (7)1.8-12.62-79.64
21Q1 (6)2.06-60.23-76.05
20Q4 (5)5.18-57.3-37.36
20Q3 (4)12.1337.220.0
20Q2 (3)8.842.790.0
20Q1 (2)8.63.990.0
19Q4 (1)8.270.00.0

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