玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)14.7417.9268.650.03-40.00.06.17-15.25-40.732721.0940.44-24.8239.9942.94-13.352487.2839.98-25.8
24Q2 (19)12.50-38.9166.890.05-44.44150.07.2863.6-40.081937.5093.19-57.19167.8983.49-50.711776.8994.01-57.67
24Q1 (18)20.46-11.85133.830.09-18.18350.04.4513.52-57.211002.9221.65-77.5791.5027.54-74.95915.8821.05-77.75
23Q4 (17)23.21165.56423.930.11266.67-31.253.92-62.34-80.92824.42-77.2248.5371.74-74.165.03756.60-77.4342.18
23Q3 (16)8.7416.6985.960.0350.050.010.41-14.32-46.233618.50-20.06-17.7276.97-18.68-7.223351.94-20.15-18.59
23Q2 (15)7.49-14.451.010.020.00.012.1516.83-33.824526.261.2111.18340.60-6.7720.794197.811.9610.26
23Q1 (14)8.7597.52110.340.02-87.50.010.40-49.39-52.44472.12705.71-9.05365.34740.44-3.954117.18673.72-9.68
22Q4 (13)4.43-5.74-1.990.16700.0700.020.556.152.19555.05-87.38-87.7743.47-85.44-88.25532.13-87.08-87.3
22Q3 (12)4.70-5.2479.390.020.00.019.365.45-44.214396.538.01.24298.535.87-6.554117.368.141.47
22Q2 (11)4.9619.2388.590.020.0-33.3318.36-15.97-46.894070.93-17.2113.75281.97-25.8712.03807.32-16.4813.26
22Q1 (10)4.16-7.96-61.010.020.0-83.3321.858.65156.154917.098.3568.77380.382.84592.484558.568.79561.76
21Q4 (9)4.5272.52-79.160.020.0-91.6720.11-42.05378.814540.134.551103.19369.8715.781374.764190.373.271075.58
21Q3 (8)2.62-0.38-6.760.02-33.33-33.3334.700.387.134342.6121.3435.14319.4626.8979.634057.8620.7132.27
21Q2 (7)2.63-75.3540.640.03-75.050.034.57305.28-29.063578.83386.76-30.64251.76358.33-2.53361.63388.01-32.09
21Q1 (6)10.67-50.81702.260.12-50.01100.08.53103.1-87.51735.2494.85-91.9154.93119.02-88.65688.8593.25-92.05
20Q4 (5)21.69671.89973.760.24700.01100.04.20-87.03-90.67377.34-88.26-91.8225.08-85.9-91.23356.45-88.38-91.85
20Q3 (4)2.8150.270.00.0350.00.032.39-33.530.03213.30-37.730.0177.84-31.130.03067.85-38.030.0
20Q2 (3)1.8740.60.00.02100.00.048.73-28.670.05159.88-43.20.0258.21-46.630.04950.40-42.890.0
20Q1 (2)1.33-34.160.00.01-50.00.068.3251.690.09084.4096.820.0483.8469.130.08668.8798.160.0
19Q4 (1)2.020.00.00.020.00.045.040.00.04615.620.00.0286.080.00.04374.590.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)46.31120.10.18-21.747.88-54.582020.9328.45179.0039.531849.8126.49
2022 (9)21.041.30.2327.7817.35-1.311573.38-20.8128.29-14.261462.44-21.14
2021 (8)20.77-25.580.18-41.9417.5834.41986.5768.2149.63102.071854.5165.56
2020 (7)27.91280.250.31342.8613.08-73.691181.08-78.5974.05-77.361120.11-78.62
2019 (6)7.34-44.850.07-46.1549.7281.335515.5593.32327.0974.675238.1894.49
2018 (5)13.3116.040.138.3327.42-13.852853.08-5.18187.26-29.02693.23-3.01
2017 (4)11.47-18.30.12-29.4131.8322.423008.8641.55263.7422.62776.9443.39
2016 (3)14.048.670.1713.3326.00-7.932125.71-13.57215.13-17.361936.58-13.06
2015 (2)12.92-46.630.15-57.1428.2487.272459.47132.76260.31107.12227.40135.44
2014 (1)24.2127.890.3512.915.08-21.781056.66-11.53125.69-23.57946.05-9.83

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