玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.92-44.5855.930.000099.1280.74-35.7473923.30257.01-52.52927.22259.99-19.1873095.20256.5-52.75
24Q2 (19)1.66-0.6-33.060.00-100.0054.840.6849.2220706.2063.7-74.64257.5773.86-59.7520503.5063.31-74.71
24Q1 (18)1.67-89.08-6.70.01-85.71054.47815.467.0312648.80840.19-92.08148.151101.54-86.6912555.10837.67-92.09
23Q4 (17)15.292491.53984.40.07005.95-96.14-90.81345.35-99.14-99.0812.33-98.93-98.671338.97-99.13-99.08
23Q3 (16)0.59-76.21-84.010.0000154.25319.73525.76155703.0090.67307.851147.2479.27320.02154710.0090.86307.91
23Q2 (15)2.4838.5598.40.000036.75-27.79-49.581662.00-48.88-37.21639.94-42.5-38.1181058.90-48.91-37.21
23Q1 (14)1.7926.95-75.970.000-100.050.89-21.33316.45159732.009.241042.171112.9220.331119.37158670.009.151041.02
22Q4 (13)1.41-61.79131.150.000064.69162.43-56.51146226.00283.0361.07924.87238.6130.2145366.00283.2761.12
22Q3 (12)3.69195.2296.770.000024.65-66.13-74.8938176.10-70.65-32.68273.14-73.58-34.8937927.60-70.62-32.73
22Q2 (11)1.25-83.2223.760.00-100.0072.77495.5-19.48130062.00830.01144.51034.011032.91293.34129101.00828.38143.48
22Q1 (10)7.451121.31132.090.0100.012.22-91.78-56.8413985.00-84.6-5.391.27-87.15-16.113906.00-84.59-5.32
21Q4 (9)0.61-34.41-92.380.000-100.0148.7551.541209.4290783.1060.091991.72710.3769.33989.5290221.5060.012004.9
21Q3 (8)0.93-7.92-94.460.000-100.098.168.621711.0756706.206.64298.45419.5359.591590.9756384.806.344340.31
21Q2 (7)1.01-68.54-89.760.00-100.0-100.090.37219.22879.0953194.80260.212561.26262.88141.661031.1553022.30261.012571.34
21Q1 (6)3.21-59.93-63.770.01-50.0-80.028.31149.21175.3914767.70240.26659.42108.7866.84466.2714687.30242.66658.78
20Q4 (5)8.01-52.32136.280.02-71.43-33.3311.36109.59-57.644340.11236.6444.865.20162.897.764286.26237.5443.3
20Q3 (4)16.8070.390.00.0740.00.05.42-41.280.01289.23-35.50.024.816.760.01269.84-36.020.0
20Q2 (3)9.8611.290.00.050.00.09.23-10.210.01998.862.790.023.2420.980.01984.862.540.0
20Q1 (2)8.86161.360.00.0566.670.010.28-61.670.01944.59-35.120.019.21-41.730.01935.65-35.290.0
19Q4 (1)3.390.00.00.030.00.026.820.00.02997.270.00.032.970.00.02991.120.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)20.2277.520.07600.018.05-43.665091.16-85.8348.26-78.315060.95-85.84
2022 (9)11.39164.880.010.032.04-62.2635935.70-13.61222.53-20.0535745.20-13.67
2021 (8)4.30-90.450.01-94.1284.89946.7341596.601808.07278.321158.2341403.201811.48
2020 (7)45.0348.080.1730.778.11-32.422180.04-21.222.12-50.312166.03-20.77
2019 (6)30.41-41.090.13-38.112.0069.732766.4362.5944.52-5.282733.9264.54
2018 (5)51.6257.430.2175.07.07-36.481701.48-46.047.00-52.561661.56-45.75
2017 (4)32.79-51.450.12-42.8611.13106.113150.8182.5599.0859.863062.8683.46
2016 (3)67.549.950.2123.535.40-9.091726.04-17.6961.98-21.31669.46-17.53
2015 (2)61.43208.690.1721.435.94-67.612097.08-17.3278.75-7.372024.27-18.04
2014 (1)19.90-7.230.147.6918.347.822536.50-10.7285.0216.882469.82-11.33

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