玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1113.18-2.063.46151.4216.8441.12N/A-
2024/1013.46-6.945.26138.2418.340.51N/A-
2024/914.4715.0452.44124.7819.944.790.0整體運價上漲致收入增加
2024/812.58-29.1513.04110.3116.6445.630.0-
2024/717.7516.02-3.4997.7317.1246.730.0-
2024/615.311.8421.0679.9822.9540.850.0-
2024/513.6815.2213.1464.6823.438.980.0-
2024/411.87-11.621.151.026.4836.10.0-
2024/313.4324.421.2439.1336.9139.130.0-
2024/210.8-27.5522.8325.746.8239.480.0-
2024/114.98.1771.0114.971.0141.430.0整體運價上漲致收入增加
2023/1213.788.1225.3143.371.9339.310.0-
2023/1112.74-0.3639.06129.59-0.0435.020.0-
2023/1012.7934.7616.56116.85-3.0133.410.0-
2023/99.49-14.68-7.03104.06-4.9739.010.0-
2023/811.12-39.51-24.4694.57-4.7642.150.0-
2023/718.3945.5411.3883.44-1.3343.120.0-
2023/612.644.53-8.9865.05-4.4236.470.0-
2023/512.092.960.452.41-3.2534.910.0-
2023/411.745.980.5440.32-4.331.610.0-
2023/311.0826.04-8.9328.58-6.1628.580.0-
2023/28.790.859.4617.5-4.3128.50.0-
2023/18.72-20.73-15.18.72-15.128.870.0-
2022/1211.019.99-15.24140.64-0.0731.130.0-
2022/119.16-16.48-34.42129.651.4630.340.0-
2022/1010.977.47-23.69120.485.8635.910.0-
2022/910.21-30.67-30.04109.5110.1441.450.0-
2022/814.73-10.8116.4799.317.0545.120.0-
2022/716.5118.9219.2384.5817.1542.440.0-
2022/613.8915.3117.7168.0616.6637.60.0-
2022/512.043.114.1854.1816.3935.880.0-
2022/411.68-4.02.6642.1417.0431.870.0-
2022/312.1751.524.1530.4623.6930.460.0-
2022/28.03-21.7810.1418.2923.3831.270.0-
2022/110.27-20.8736.1910.2736.1937.210.0-
2021/1212.97-7.1560.64140.7565.2741.330.0整體運價上漲,導致收入增加。
2021/1113.97-2.8271.14127.7865.7542.950.0整體運價上漲,導致收入增加。
2021/1014.38-1.4685.31113.8165.1241.620.0110年度10月份波羅的海指數較去年同期增加195.52%,致營業收入增加。
2021/914.5915.4253.5699.4362.5541.090.0110年度9月份波羅的海指數較去年同期增加203.89%,致營業收入增加。
2021/812.64-8.749.3284.8364.2138.290.0110年度8月份波羅的海指數較去年同期增加145.38%,致營業收入增加。
2021/713.8517.4166.7972.1967.1336.190.0110年度7月份波羅的海指數較去年同期增加95.22%,致營業收入增加。
2021/611.811.85108.5858.3467.2133.720.0110年度6月份波羅的海指數較去年同期增加155.85%,致營業收入增加。
2021/510.55-7.29117.5946.5559.2131.720.0110年度5月份波羅的海指數較去年同期增加506.34%,致營業收入增加。
2021/411.3716.09112.0636.047.628.460.0110年度4月份波羅的海指數較去年同期增加272.74%,致營業收入增加。
2021/39.834.4155.2624.6329.4324.630.0110年度3月份波羅的海指數較去年同期增加235.77%,致營業收入增加。
2021/27.29-3.2825.6214.8316.6122.90.0-
2021/17.54-6.679.057.549.0523.780.0-
2020/128.08-1.08-2.2685.16-15.4124.00.0-
2020/118.165.22-2.6877.09-16.5825.430.0-
2020/107.76-18.34-12.2768.92-17.9725.730.0-
2020/99.512.23-21.1661.16-18.6426.270.0-
2020/88.471.97-28.551.66-18.1622.430.0-
2020/78.346.83-5.643.19-15.7718.80.0-
2020/65.6516.68-30.2534.89-17.8815.870.0-
2020/54.85-9.64-34.4629.24-14.9616.520.0-
2020/45.36-15.0-15.3224.39-9.6217.480.0-
2020/36.318.75-7.7819.02-7.8719.020.0-
2020/25.8-16.03-4.2212.71-7.9220.980.0-
2020/16.91-16.35-10.816.91-10.810.0N/A-
2019/128.26-1.52-18.04100.68-12.540.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/114.92023/18.722022/110.272021/17.542020/16.91
2024/210.82023/28.792022/28.032021/27.292020/25.8
2024/313.432023/311.082022/312.172021/39.82020/36.31
2024/411.872023/411.742022/411.682021/411.372020/45.36
2024/513.682023/512.092022/512.042021/510.552020/54.85
2024/615.32023/612.642022/613.892021/611.82020/65.65
2024/717.752023/718.392022/716.512021/713.852020/78.3
2024/812.582023/811.122022/814.732021/812.642020/88.47
2024/914.472023/99.492022/910.212021/914.592020/99.5
2024/1013.462023/1012.792022/1010.972021/1014.382020/107.76
2024/1113.182023/1112.742022/119.162021/1113.972020/118.16
N/AN/A2023/1213.782022/1211.02021/1212.972020/128.08
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.05%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.73-29.6776.53
24Q2 (19)2.4614.95112.07
24Q1 (18)2.14-18.3289.38
23Q4 (17)2.62167.35175.79
23Q3 (16)0.98-15.527.69
23Q2 (15)1.162.650
23Q1 (14)1.1318.950
22Q4 (13)0.954.40
22Q3 (12)0.9100

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