玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/11174.78-7.9760.072057.0158.08580.92N/A整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2024/10189.93-12.1468.051882.2257.9663.73N/A整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2024/9216.2-16.0777.091692.2956.83728.380.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2024/8257.61.18110.51476.0954.25719.380.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2024/7254.5822.86122.221218.4946.0631.030.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2024/6207.222.4266.76963.9133.87525.890.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2024/5169.2513.2546.17756.7127.01474.170.0-
2024/4149.44-3.8735.32587.4622.39447.490.0-
2024/3155.489.0520.27438.0118.53438.010.0-
2024/2142.571.8526.07282.5417.59389.00.0-
2024/1139.9731.4710.05139.9710.05355.620.0-
2023/12106.46-2.49-34.921407.68-62.55328.670.0受市場供需影響,運價下跌所致
2023/11109.19-3.38-44.321301.22-63.81344.290.0受市場供需影響,運價下跌所致
2023/10113.02-7.42-52.891192.03-64.93357.470.0受市場供需影響,運價下跌所致
2023/9122.08-0.23-56.351079.01-65.85359.010.0受市場供需影響,運價下跌所致
2023/8122.376.81-65.12956.93-66.77361.180.0受市場供需影響,運價下跌所致
2023/7114.56-7.79-68.82834.56-67.0354.590.0受市場供需影響,運價下跌所致
2023/6124.257.3-67.9720.0-66.69350.460.0受市場供需影響,運價持續下跌所致
2023/5115.784.84-65.81595.75-66.42355.490.0受市場供需影響,運價持續下跌所致
2023/4110.43-14.57-70.04479.97-66.56352.790.0受市場供需影響,運價持續下跌所致
2023/3129.2714.31-65.85369.53-65.36369.530.0受市場供需影響,運價持續下跌所致
2023/2113.09-11.07-65.99240.26-65.09403.860.0受市場供需影響,運價持續下跌所致
2023/1127.18-22.26-64.26127.18-64.26486.890.0受市場供需影響,運價下跌所致。
2022/12163.6-16.58-53.393759.2712.39599.620.0因運價下跌,致營業收入減少
2022/11196.12-18.25-43.123595.6620.1715.760.0-
2022/10239.9-14.24-29.193399.5528.33870.540.0-
2022/9279.74-20.27-15.793159.6436.77998.130.0-
2022/8350.9-4.517.022879.9145.61105.50.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2022/7367.49-5.0624.792529.0153.271093.320.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2022/6387.1114.2840.572161.5259.461094.480.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2022/5338.73-8.1140.921774.4164.271086.00.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2022/4368.65-2.6369.91435.6970.951079.780.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2022/3378.6313.8680.231067.0471.321067.040.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2022/2332.51-6.5759.64688.4166.781039.480.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2022/1355.91.3774.06355.974.061051.790.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2021/12351.071.81108.133344.75120.211034.690.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2021/11344.821.77125.882993.69121.721015.830.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2021/10338.81.98133.592648.86121.19998.870.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2021/9332.21.32145.032310.06119.48954.540.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加
2021/8327.8611.33151.331977.86115.71897.70.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2021/7294.476.93140.331650.0109.8810.190.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2021/6275.3714.56152.161355.52104.16732.70.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2021/5240.3510.77136.551080.1694.71667.410.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2021/4216.983.28103.35839.885.33635.340.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2021/3210.070.8590.35622.8279.78622.820.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2021/2208.291.87120.31412.7574.84581.420.0整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2021/1204.4621.2144.47204.4644.47525.790.0-
2020/12168.6710.4935.191518.841.75466.370.0-
2020/11152.655.2529.01350.16-1.28433.260.0-
2020/10145.046.9824.091197.51-4.15411.060.0-
2020/9135.573.9211.571052.47-7.07388.550.0-
2020/8130.456.463.27916.9-9.31362.170.0-
2020/7122.5212.2-5.77786.45-11.11333.330.0-
2020/6109.27.47-29.56663.92-12.03317.50.08-
2020/5101.61-4.77-22.46554.72-7.5318.660.08-
2020/4106.7-3.31-9.49453.12-3.31311.60.08-
2020/3110.3616.72-5.5346.42-1.23346.420.0-
2020/294.54-33.19-10.19236.060.89360.830.0-
2020/1141.5213.429.96141.529.960.0N/A-
2019/12124.775.43-7.311492.575.270.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1139.972023/1127.182022/1355.92021/1204.462020/1141.52
2024/2142.572023/2113.092022/2332.512021/2208.292020/294.54
2024/3155.482023/3129.272022/3378.632021/3210.072020/3110.36
2024/4149.442023/4110.432022/4368.652021/4216.982020/4106.7
2024/5169.252023/5115.782022/5338.732021/5240.352020/5101.61
2024/6207.22023/6124.252022/6387.112021/6275.372020/6109.2
2024/7254.582023/7114.562022/7367.492021/7294.472020/7122.52
2024/8257.62023/8122.372022/8350.92021/8327.862020/8130.45
2024/9216.22023/9122.082022/9279.742021/9332.22020/9135.57
2024/10189.932023/10113.022022/10239.92021/10338.82020/10145.04
2024/11174.782023/11109.192022/11196.122021/11344.822020/11152.65
N/AN/A2023/12106.462022/12163.62021/12351.072020/12168.67
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.19%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)7.644.51-6.94
24Q2 (19)7.3146.4930.54
24Q1 (18)4.9926.65-8.44
23Q4 (17)3.94-52.01-44.59
23Q3 (16)8.2146.6127.29
23Q2 (15)5.62.75-44.88
23Q1 (14)5.45-23.35-60.54
22Q4 (13)7.1110.23-36.63
22Q3 (12)6.45-36.52-46.56
22Q2 (11)10.16-26.4362.3
22Q1 (10)13.8123.08107.98
21Q4 (9)11.22-7.04218.75
21Q3 (8)12.0792.81220.16
21Q2 (7)6.26-5.72130.15
21Q1 (6)6.6488.64125.08
20Q4 (5)3.52-6.6311.39
20Q3 (4)3.7738.60.0
20Q2 (3)2.72-7.80.0
20Q1 (2)2.95-6.650.0
19Q4 (1)3.160.00.0

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