玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.189.5719.4437.8714.3612.08N/A-
2024/93.81-6.7711.4933.6913.7612.190.03-
2024/84.09-4.519.8329.8814.0612.340.03-
2024/74.287.8817.2925.7913.1911.970.03-
2024/63.976.8324.9621.5112.4111.310.04-
2024/53.722.555.5917.549.9111.070.04-
2024/43.62-2.9314.9913.8211.1310.430.05-
2024/33.7321.3913.4810.29.8210.20.06-
2024/23.08-9.199.326.467.8110.10.06-
2024/13.39-6.836.473.396.4710.420.06-
2023/123.646.925.2140.15-8.9510.530.06-
2023/113.4-2.792.8636.51-10.1510.320.06-
2023/103.52.28-5.7533.11-11.310.330.06-
2023/93.420.19-1.1429.61-11.9210.480.02-
2023/83.41-6.52-12.6826.2-13.1510.240.03-
2023/73.6514.93-8.6122.78-13.2210.350.03-
2023/63.18-9.72-21.8119.13-14.059.850.0-
2023/53.5211.67-17.4315.95-12.319.960.0-
2023/43.15-4.2-18.0112.43-10.759.250.0-
2023/33.2916.94-10.759.28-7.989.280.0-
2023/22.81-11.56-6.655.99-6.389.450.0-
2023/13.18-7.94-6.143.18-6.149.940.0-
2022/123.464.533.7844.0924.1610.470.0-
2022/113.31-10.93-0.3740.6426.2710.480.0-
2022/103.717.286.8737.3329.3411.080.0-
2022/93.46-11.54.7733.6232.4111.360.0-
2022/83.91-2.1625.430.1636.5411.970.0-
2022/74.0-1.6733.026.2538.3712.320.0-
2022/64.06-4.6645.1822.2639.3812.170.0-
2022/54.2610.8961.3218.238.1511.790.0船舶噸位預期需求增加導致租金大幅提升
2022/43.844.2749.3213.9332.3310.540.0-
2022/33.6922.3232.210.0926.8410.090.0-
2022/23.01-11.0826.546.423.949.730.0-
2022/13.391.821.733.3921.7310.040.0-
2021/123.330.3322.0835.5113.0510.120.0-
2021/113.32-4.4527.8832.1812.210.090.0-
2021/103.475.1729.5828.8610.649.890.0-
2021/93.35.9128.3925.398.479.420.0-
2021/83.123.7620.2422.096.018.920.0-
2021/73.07.3211.3618.973.998.440.0-
2021/62.85.9314.3215.972.718.010.0-
2021/52.642.645.913.170.548.00.0-
2021/42.57-7.684.810.53-0.717.740.0-
2021/32.7917.071.647.95-2.387.950.0-
2021/22.38-14.46-6.935.17-4.427.890.0-
2021/12.782.09-2.172.78-2.178.110.0-
2020/122.735.09-13.4131.41-16.78.00.0-
2020/112.59-3.17-14.7128.68-17.07.850.0-
2020/102.684.21-13.3126.09-17.227.840.0-
2020/92.57-0.8-14.8623.41-17.647.860.0-
2020/82.59-3.89-15.2920.84-17.977.740.0-
2020/72.710.17-16.1418.24-18.347.640.0-
2020/62.45-1.86-20.1715.55-18.717.40.0-
2020/52.491.57-25.4213.1-18.437.690.0-
2020/42.46-10.45-20.1310.6-16.597.760.0-
2020/32.747.18-17.618.15-15.478.150.0-
2020/22.56-10.08-8.535.41-14.348.550.0-
2020/12.85-9.63-18.962.85-18.969.040.0-
2019/123.153.52-8.2537.71-1.530.0N/A-
2019/113.04-1.59-12.3334.56-0.870.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.392023/13.182022/13.392021/12.782020/12.85
2024/23.082023/22.812022/23.012021/22.382020/22.56
2024/33.732023/33.292022/33.692021/32.792020/32.74
2024/43.622023/43.152022/43.842021/42.572020/42.46
2024/53.722023/53.522022/54.262021/52.642020/52.49
2024/63.972023/63.182022/64.062021/62.82020/62.45
2024/74.282023/73.652022/74.02021/73.02020/72.7
2024/84.092023/83.412022/83.912021/83.122020/82.59
2024/93.812023/93.422022/93.462021/93.32020/92.57
2024/104.182023/103.52022/103.712021/103.472020/102.68
N/AN/A2023/113.42022/113.312021/113.322020/112.59
N/AN/A2023/123.642022/123.462021/123.332020/122.73
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.87%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.375.7137.04
24Q2 (19)0.3529.632.94
24Q1 (18)0.27-35.71-43.75
23Q4 (17)0.4255.56-27.59
23Q3 (16)0.27-20.59-63.01
23Q2 (15)0.34-29.17-24.44
23Q1 (14)0.48-17.242.13
22Q4 (13)0.58-20.555.45
22Q3 (12)0.7362.22151.72
22Q2 (11)0.45-4.26164.71
22Q1 (10)0.47-14.55193.75
21Q4 (9)0.5589.6661.76
21Q3 (8)0.2970.5931.82
21Q2 (7)0.176.2570.0
21Q1 (6)0.16-52.9445.45
20Q4 (5)0.3454.5578.95
20Q3 (4)0.22120.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.1-9.090.0
20Q1 (2)0.11-42.110.0
19Q4 (1)0.190.00.0

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