玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.02-3.91-8.9936.8-1.139.52N/A-
2024/103.14-6.81-6.4633.78-0.3610.26N/A-
2024/93.37-10.171.7630.640.310.570.22-
2024/83.758.579.5227.270.1210.730.21-
2024/73.45-2.14-5.7823.52-1.2210.260.22-
2024/63.537.74-0.7120.07-0.3910.220.24-
2024/53.28-4.07-6.0716.54-0.3210.110.25-
2024/43.410.019.3813.261.29.920.25-
2024/33.4110.650.819.85-1.359.850.26-
2024/23.09-7.8-6.626.43-2.4610.170.25-
2024/13.35-10.491.73.351.710.40.24-
2023/123.7412.810.5940.96-2.7210.410.21-
2023/113.31-1.28-2.5637.22-3.059.980.21-
2023/103.361.47-2.033.9-3.0910.090.21-
2023/93.31-3.36-7.8330.55-3.2110.40.21-
2023/83.42-6.52-15.6127.24-2.6210.650.21-
2023/73.662.94-2.1923.81-0.4210.710.21-
2023/63.562.01-9.1320.15-0.0910.130.21-
2023/53.4913.068.9716.592.0810.00.21-
2023/43.08-9.9-3.3113.10.399.810.21-
2023/33.423.61-1.1510.021.5910.020.24-
2023/23.30.417.776.63.0910.30.23-
2023/13.29-11.05-1.213.29-1.2110.390.23-
2022/123.78.76-4.742.090.6810.450.28-
2022/113.41.44-5.1838.391.2310.420.28-
2022/103.35-8.46-16.8834.991.9111.070.27-
2022/93.66-9.723.5831.634.4111.470.25-
2022/84.068.2326.6527.974.5211.720.24-
2022/73.75-4.1622.0223.911.5110.860.26-
2022/63.9122.2127.1420.16-1.5610.310.26-
2022/53.20.146.6716.25-6.639.860.27-
2022/43.2-7.59-8.5413.05-9.49.720.27-
2022/33.4612.8-9.579.86-9.689.860.3-
2022/23.07-7.964.366.4-9.7410.190.29-
2022/13.33-12.08-19.723.33-19.7210.710.27-
2021/123.795.61-21.1241.710.011.40.27-
2021/113.59-10.861.1137.922.7511.160.28-
2021/104.0313.5117.9534.332.9310.770.29-
2021/93.5510.67-15.0630.311.229.820.26-
2021/83.24.28-28.326.763.869.350.27-
2021/73.07-0.14-27.3423.5610.619.150.28-
2021/63.082.54-18.5520.4820.019.570.24-
2021/53.0-14.0214.1817.4130.9710.320.22-
2021/43.49-8.8765.9914.4135.110.260.23因疫情狀況較趨緩業績逐漸回升
2021/33.8330.3542.3110.9227.5210.920.2-
2021/22.94-29.218.497.0920.7311.890.18-
2021/14.15-13.6122.374.1522.3712.50.17-
2020/124.835.3911.5241.7-15.8411.760.19-
2020/113.554.03-16.0236.9-18.4511.140.2-
2020/103.41-18.33-16.2933.35-18.712.060.19-
2020/94.18-6.54-4.8729.94-18.9612.880.18-
2020/84.475.57-2.2925.77-20.8612.470.18-
2020/74.2312.18-10.5221.3-23.910.630.22-
2020/63.7743.6-10.3817.06-26.628.480.21-
2020/52.6326.25-35.2513.29-30.217.420.24-
2020/42.08-23.27-48.310.66-28.847.270.24-
2020/32.719.39-31.698.58-21.78.580.23-
2020/22.48-26.89-19.895.87-16.0310.160.19-
2020/13.39-20.91-12.953.39-12.950.0N/A-
2019/124.291.4813.6249.5428.470.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.352023/13.292022/13.332021/14.152020/13.39
2024/23.092023/23.32022/23.072021/22.942020/22.48
2024/33.412023/33.422022/33.462021/33.832020/32.71
2024/43.412023/43.082022/43.22021/43.492020/42.08
2024/53.282023/53.492022/53.22021/53.02020/52.63
2024/63.532023/63.562022/63.912021/63.082020/63.77
2024/73.452023/73.662022/73.752021/73.072020/74.23
2024/83.752023/83.422022/84.062021/83.22020/84.47
2024/93.372023/93.312022/93.662021/93.552020/94.18
2024/103.142023/103.362022/103.352021/104.032020/103.41
2024/113.022023/113.312022/113.42021/113.592020/113.55
N/AN/A2023/123.742022/123.72021/123.792020/124.8
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 10.96%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.51-12.074.08
24Q2 (19)0.58-20.553.57
24Q1 (18)0.7340.3812.31
23Q4 (17)0.526.128.33
23Q3 (16)0.49-12.5-19.67
23Q2 (15)0.56-13.853.7
23Q1 (14)0.6535.4251.16
22Q4 (13)0.48-21.3126.32
22Q3 (12)0.6112.96-1.61
22Q2 (11)0.5425.58-25.0
22Q1 (10)0.4313.16-23.21
21Q4 (9)0.38-38.71-34.48
21Q3 (8)0.62-13.89-11.43
21Q2 (7)0.7228.5735.85
21Q1 (6)0.56-3.45-8.2
20Q4 (5)0.58-17.14-19.44
20Q3 (4)0.732.080.0
20Q2 (3)0.53-13.110.0
20Q1 (2)0.61-15.280.0
19Q4 (1)0.720.00.0

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