玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.659.6471.9380.074.5413.33N/A本月營收增加主係本月新樓盤交房增加所致。
2024/93.33-47.599.776.352.5626.9417.9-
2024/86.35-63.21-76.4172.922.125.8618.65本月營收減少主係本月新樓盤交房減少所致。
2024/717.26667.59860.4566.5249.7321.9621.97本月營收增加主係本月新樓盤交房增加所致。
2024/62.25-8.114.3149.415.687.2665.78-
2024/52.45-4.4117.1747.0815.167.2965.5-
2024/42.5612.27-4.7244.5214.557.1267.02-
2024/32.28-0.0412.341.7815.4341.6211.58-
2024/22.28-93.8412.839.415.277.576.21-
2024/137.06-3.0414.4437.0614.4477.646.21-
2023/1238.221525.93118.47117.3427.2242.711.07本月營收增加主係新樓盤交房增加所致。
2023/112.3510.7723.7878.955.757.5162.95-
2023/102.12-30.048.8376.595.1732.0814.73-
2023/93.03-88.7349.0474.445.0631.7515.34-
2023/826.921397.99947.5571.423.8130.6915.87本月營收增加主係本月新樓盤交房增加所致。
2023/71.8-8.6436.7844.42-32.935.8583.21-
2023/61.97-5.8-21.3542.7-34.216.7470.27-
2023/52.09-22.27905.6440.88-34.56.8169.61本月營收增加主係去年同期因受疫情影響有給予商場租戶部分減租之情事,故本月租賃收入較去年同期增加所致。
2023/42.6932.341035.438.86-37.636.7470.3本月營收增加主係去年同期因受疫情影響有給予商場租戶部分減租之情事,故本月租賃收入較去年同期增加所致。
2023/32.030.4-92.6936.19-41.3336.4413.14本月營收減少主係本月新樓盤交房減少所致。
2023/22.02-93.75-93.0634.20.4551.99.22本月營收減少主係本月新樓盤交房減少所致。
2023/132.3885.09546.8432.38546.8451.789.24本月營收增加主係新樓盤交房增加所致。
2022/1217.5821.25310.9392.2392.0221.3422.61本月及本年累計營收增加主係新樓盤交房增加所致。
2022/111.9-2.6-45.7574.6670.555.8882.0本年累計營收增加主係今年新樓盤交房增加所致。
2022/101.95-4.19-25.472.8280.816.5673.61本年累計營收增加主係今年新樓盤交房增加所致。
2022/92.04-20.8-37.9270.8588.175.9282.17本年累計營收增加主係今年新樓盤交房增加所致。
2022/82.5795.60.2568.79100.086.3976.17本年累計營收增加主係今年新樓盤交房增加所致。
2022/71.31-47.47-77.466.23108.044.02120.91本月營收減少主係本月新樓盤交房減少及疫情影響減免部分商場租金,故使營收減少。本年累計營收增加主係今年新樓盤交房增加所致。
2022/62.51104.49-25.8864.91149.532.95160.94本年累計營收增加主係今年新樓盤交房增加所致。
2022/50.21-12.24-94.762.42175.6428.2416.79本月營收減少主係本月新樓盤交房減少及疫情影響減免部分商場租金,故使營收減少。本年累計營收增加主係今年新樓盤交房增加所致。
2022/40.24-99.14-95.562.31232.7757.28.29本月營收減少主係本月新樓盤交房減少所致;本期累計營收增加主係本期新樓盤交房增加所致。
2022/327.8-4.67362.961.68358.5361.967.7主係本期新樓盤交房,故使營收增加
2022/229.16482.45862.334.05357.8838.4212.42主係本期新樓盤交房,故使營收增加
2022/15.0117.5913.615.0113.6112.7737.4-
2021/124.2621.6-42.5648.03-64.2110.3744.69主係本期新樓盤尚未交房,故使營收減少
2021/113.533.93-30.5943.77-65.459.3949.34主係本期新樓盤尚未交房,故使營收減少
2021/102.61-20.28-61.6140.27-66.858.4654.81主係本期新樓盤尚未交房,故使營收減少
2021/93.2827.9-94.1837.65-67.1511.6638.34主係本期新樓盤尚未交房,故使營收減少
2021/82.56-55.91-56.7934.38-41.4711.7538.03主係本期新樓盤尚未交房,故使營收減少
2021/75.8172.27-8.5631.84-39.7213.1134.08主係本期新樓盤尚未交房,故使營收減少
2021/63.38-13.97-68.0926.01-44.0212.5631.95主係本期新樓盤尚未交房,故使營收減少
2021/53.92-25.48-78.222.64-36.815.1926.42主係本期新樓盤尚未交房,故使營收減少。
2021/45.27-12.31-11.6218.726.4914.328.07-
2021/36.0198.1723.113.4515.9813.4429.39-
2021/23.03-31.23100.677.4410.7514.8526.6主要是因為去年疫情對商戶有租金減免,本期則無
2021/14.41-40.55-15.524.41-15.5216.8623.42-
2020/127.4146.9435.28134.2133.919.2720.26主係交房數較去年同期大幅增加,故使營收增加幅度較大。
2020/115.04-25.924.31126.7144.368.225.72主係交房數較去年同期大幅增加,故使營收增加幅度較大。
2020/106.81-87.9287.43121.5158.4369.115.65主係交房數較去年同期大幅增加,故使營收增加幅度較大。
2020/956.37849.91319.68114.62163.9868.665.55主係交房數較去年同期大幅增加,故使營收增加幅度較大。
2020/85.93-6.6895.1258.7548.8222.8716.66主係交房數較去年同期大幅增加,故使營收增加幅度較大。
2020/76.36-39.8895.852.8244.7734.9410.9主係交房數較去年同期增加,故使營收增加幅度較大。
2020/610.58-41.23246.5146.4739.3834.5411.44主係交房數較去年同期增加,故使營收增加幅度較大。
2020/518.0202.1510.235.8318.2328.8413.7-
2020/45.9622.14160.0617.5826.5112.3532.0主係交房數較去年同期增加,故使營收增加幅度較大。
2020/34.88223.0340.6311.60.011.635.6-
2020/21.51-71.05-41.776.71-17.3912.2133.84-
2020/15.22-4.8-5.555.22-5.5515.5326.6-
2019/125.4813.31-84.5657.37-28.430.0N/A主係交房數較去年同期減少,故使營收減少幅度較大。
2019/114.8433.131.8551.8617.710.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/137.062023/132.382022/15.012021/14.412020/15.22
2024/22.282023/22.022022/229.162021/23.032020/21.51
2024/32.282023/32.032022/327.82021/36.012020/34.88
2024/42.562023/42.692022/40.242021/45.272020/45.96
2024/52.452023/52.092022/50.212021/53.922020/518.0
2024/62.252023/61.972022/62.52021/63.382020/610.58
2024/717.262023/71.82022/71.312021/75.812020/76.36
2024/86.352023/826.922022/82.572021/82.562020/85.93
2024/93.332023/93.032022/92.042021/93.282020/956.37
2024/103.652023/102.122022/101.952021/102.612020/106.81
N/AN/A2023/112.352022/111.92021/113.52020/115.04
N/AN/A2023/1238.222022/1217.52021/124.262020/127.41
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 24.86%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)43.27-23.56-51.57
24Q2 (19)56.6114.39-45.29
24Q1 (18)49.49-30.38-43.17
23Q4 (17)71.09-20.4324.59
23Q3 (16)89.34-13.6653.14
23Q2 (15)103.4718.8215818.46
23Q1 (14)87.0852.615783.78
22Q4 (13)57.06-2.192.18
22Q3 (12)58.348875.3817.13
22Q2 (11)0.65-56.08-98.47
22Q1 (10)1.48-97.35-95.12
21Q4 (9)55.8412.11844.84
21Q3 (8)49.8117.37289.75
21Q2 (7)42.4439.88-25.4
21Q1 (6)30.34413.37-53.16
20Q4 (5)5.91-53.76-89.62
20Q3 (4)12.78-77.540.0
20Q2 (3)56.89-12.170.0
20Q1 (2)64.7713.750.0
19Q4 (1)56.940.00.0

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