玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
23Q4 (20)460.00.0-1.05-577.27-950.0-0.5422.86-245.95-1.76-147.89-403.451.0713.83-62.0622.20-10.27-27.0-0.247.69-196.0-0.48-580.0-1100.0-44.55-359.01-3400.0-44.61-525.67-2759.62-0.75-214.7237.45
23Q3 (19)460.00.00.22147.83100.0-0.7052.0524.73-0.7123.66-205.970.94-15.32-8.7424.7418.4350.58-0.2659.3844.680.1147.62100.017.20205.13923.8110.48156.07214.712.6674.98-43.65
23Q2 (18)460.00.0-0.462.13-518.18-1.46-139.34-156.14-0.93-97.87-263.161.1120.65-54.6920.89-20.3628.24-0.64-128.57-156.0-0.210.0-520.0-16.3628.18-726.82-18.6919.75-2496.15-23.36-183.94-202.10
23Q1 (17)460.00.0-0.47-370.0-204.44-0.61-264.86-103.33-0.47-181.03-204.440.92-67.38-55.1226.23-13.7511.57-0.28-212.0-115.38-0.21-425.0-200.0-22.78-1787.41-308.8-23.29-1392.95-337.1753.20-280.45-62.54
22Q4 (16)460.00.0-0.10-190.9152.380.37139.78254.170.58-13.43154.722.82173.79-6.9330.4185.09192.120.25153.19308.33-0.04-180.055.561.35-19.64140.54-1.56-146.8554.9157.91-95.4538.31
22Q3 (15)460.00.00.110.010.0-0.93-63.1600.6717.54178.821.03-57.96-70.6616.430.86-25.42-0.47-88.0-1275.00.050.025.01.68-35.63-19.233.33326.92428.57-19.23-37.78-76.58
22Q2 (14)460.00.00.11-75.56110.09-0.57-90.014.930.5726.67160.02.4519.5137.6416.29-30.7199.39-0.25-92.3134.210.05-76.19110.02.61-76.08108.050.78-92.06102.63-6.42119.37-57.50
22Q1 (13)460.00.00.45314.29221.43-0.30-25.0-330.770.45142.45221.432.05-32.34-36.3423.51125.843.16-0.13-8.33-230.00.21333.33250.010.91427.63235.699.82383.82383.74-23.012.15-12.50
21Q4 (12)460.00.0-0.21-310.0-114.69-0.240-111.48-1.06-24.71-630.03.03-13.68-16.5310.41-52.75-75.01-0.12-400.0-111.76-0.09-325.0-113.64-3.33-260.1-116.87-3.46-649.21-119.8941.75-100.4150.00
21Q3 (11)460.00.00.10109.17-73.680.00100.0-100.0-0.8510.5330.333.5197.19-37.4322.03169.65-25.620.04110.53-90.00.04108.0-76.472.08106.41-66.120.63102.12-76.0526.23-384.70-257.69
21Q2 (10)460.00.0-1.09-878.5755.14-0.67-615.3872.2-0.95-778.5740.251.78-44.72-67.468.17-64.15-38.01-0.38-480.062.38-0.5-933.3354.95-32.44-1098.15-76.3-29.70-1563.05-44.88-28.00-484.39-354.58
21Q1 (9)460.00.00.14-90.21-82.50.13-93.78-85.390.14-30.0-82.53.22-11.29-12.2622.79-45.28-31.460.1-90.2-80.00.06-90.91-83.783.25-83.54-74.472.03-88.33-80.08-23.2993.06112.11
20Q4 (8)460.0-2.131.43276.32169.812.09318.068.550.20116.39-96.03.63-35.29-27.5441.6540.6144.271.02155.041.670.66288.24164.019.74221.5150.1917.40561.6232.7-16.36195.98219.38
20Q3 (7)460.0-2.130.38115.64-79.680.50120.75-69.7-1.2223.27-127.235.612.56-18.3429.62124.7312.370.4139.6-59.180.17115.32-80.686.14133.37-61.362.63112.83-79.1325.80-144.06-125.02
20Q2 (6)460.0-2.13-2.43-403.75-347.96-2.41-370.79-602.08-1.59-298.75-160.925.4749.0526.0413.18-60.36-49.29-1.01-302.0-436.67-1.11-400.0-341.3-18.40-244.54-247.91-20.50-301.18-299.2211.15-176.41-199.51
20Q1 (5)46-2.13-2.130.8050.94-50.920.89-28.23-34.070.80-84.0-50.923.67-26.75-41.0933.2515.1712.560.5-30.56-45.650.3748.0-51.9512.7361.34-25.9910.1994.84-21.62--0.00
19Q4 (4)470.00.00.53-71.660.01.24-24.850.05.0011.610.05.01-27.070.028.879.520.00.72-26.530.00.25-71.590.07.89-50.350.05.23-58.490.0--0.00
19Q3 (3)470.00.01.8790.820.01.65243.750.04.4871.650.06.8758.290.026.361.420.00.98226.670.00.8891.30.015.8927.730.012.6022.450.0--0.00
19Q2 (2)470.00.00.98-39.880.00.48-64.440.02.6160.120.04.34-30.340.025.99-12.020.00.3-67.390.00.46-40.260.012.44-27.670.010.29-20.850.0--0.00
19Q1 (1)470.00.01.630.00.01.350.00.01.630.00.06.230.00.029.540.00.00.920.00.00.770.00.017.200.00.013.000.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/30.1730.2-68.830.59-35.510.59N/A因全球通膨及經濟需求疲軟導致市場需求下降影響所致
2024/20.13-55.76-29.850.4212.570.83N/A-
2024/10.29-27.3453.720.2953.721.02N/A去年受農曆新年工作天數減少影響所致
2023/120.426.17-36.464.04-51.621.070.03歐美地區通貨膨脹和消費者物價指數年增率仍屬偏高,客戶自身庫存去化緩慢所致
2023/110.32-5.99-72.183.63-52.881.060.03歐美地區通貨膨脹和消費者物價指數年增率仍屬偏高,客戶自身庫存去化緩慢所致
2023/100.34-13.26-66.93.31-49.480.970.03歐美地區通貨膨脹和消費者物價指數年增率仍屬偏高,客戶自身庫存去化緩慢所致
2023/90.3967.4253.312.97-46.230.940.06歐美地區通貨膨脹和消費者物價指數年增率仍屬偏高,客戶自身庫存去化緩慢所致
2023/80.24-23.916.472.58-51.080.850.07歐美地區通貨膨脹和消費者物價指數年增率仍屬偏高,客戶自身庫存去化緩慢所致
2023/70.311.33-43.872.34-53.60.940.06歐美地區通貨膨脹和消費者物價指數年增率仍屬偏高,客戶自身庫存去化緩慢所致
2023/60.3-5.61-51.642.03-54.791.110.09歐美地區通貨膨脹和消費者物價指數年增率仍屬偏高,客戶自身庫存去化緩慢所致
2023/50.32-33.14-68.21.73-55.31.350.07歐美地區通貨膨脹和消費者物價指數年增率仍屬偏高,客戶自身庫存去化緩慢所致
2023/40.48-11.15-39.341.4-50.71.210.08因全球通膨及經濟需求疲軟影響,客戶延單所致
2023/30.54193.09-18.430.92-55.120.920.28因全球通膨及經濟需求疲軟影響,客戶延單所致
2023/20.19-3.04-8.490.38-72.781.010.26因全球通膨及經濟需求疲軟影響,客戶延單所致
2023/10.19-69.97-83.810.19-83.811.980.13受農曆新年工作天數減少影響所致
2022/120.64-44.75-38.898.35-27.692.820.02-
2022/111.1511.8413.647.71-26.582.440.02-
2022/101.03301.835.676.55-30.891.510.04-
2022/90.2616.27-71.995.52-35.091.030.09因美國通膨及大陸新冠肺炎清零政策雙重影響
2022/80.22-59.88-85.385.27-30.631.40.06因美國通膨及大陸新冠肺炎清零政策雙重影響
2022/70.55-12.7-48.985.05-17.032.20.04-
2022/60.63-37.93136.924.5-10.142.440.11業績成長
2022/51.0227.548.973.86-18.412.480.11-
2022/40.819.4637.662.85-25.121.670.16-
2022/30.67228.8217.072.05-36.392.050.14-
2022/20.2-82.84-78.771.39-47.852.430.12中美貿易戰影響、海運塞港未見緩解、適逢農曆春節長假出貨天數減少所致
2022/11.1813.33-30.481.18-30.483.240.09-
2021/121.042.73-11.611.54-37.33.030.29-
2021/111.023.99-29.1510.5-39.062.910.3-
2021/100.986.47-7.069.49-39.963.40.26-
2021/90.92-39.29-56.038.51-42.33.510.2因運費、關稅及原材料上漲等因素影響客戶對舊產品下單意願
2021/81.5139.98-32.57.59-40.042.860.25-
2021/71.08305.36-16.336.08-41.662.280.31-
2021/60.27-71.45-28.025.0-45.241.780.23-
2021/50.9361.1-58.334.74-45.962.080.2因去年度銷售口罩約0.95億和烘衣架約0.22億,加上目前運費及原材料上漲等因素影響客戶下單意願
2021/40.581.59-79.783.8-41.722.10.19因為去年度口罩銷售約1.33億,加上目前運費及原材料上漲等影響客戶下單意願
2021/30.57-40.38-42.883.23-11.993.230.18-
2021/20.96-43.82117.032.66-0.453.840.15因去年新冠肺炎疫情及客戶工廠停工等影響,出貨減少所致
2021/11.744.13-23.661.7-23.664.310.13-
2020/121.18-17.67-33.1218.41-18.253.660.31-0.51.04-
2020/111.4336.427.6217.23-16.984.570.251.971.54-
2020/101.05-49.62-47.1915.8-18.675.370.21-
2020/92.09-6.81-10.0114.75-15.425.610.17-
2020/82.2473.52-20.1412.66-16.243.90.25-
2020/71.29248.72-26.3310.43-15.363.90.25-
2020/60.37-83.47-68.419.14-13.545.470.15本月因前幾月銷售的產品規格認知差異而產生與客戶貨款之爭議,產生銷貨折讓0.87億所致。
2020/52.24-21.84127.488.77-6.76.10.14因防疫新產品銷量增加
2020/42.86187.1130.976.53-22.394.30.2-
2020/31.0126.53-39.873.67-41.133.670.22-
2020/20.44-80.24-43.642.67-41.594.430.18-
2020/12.2326.27-41.162.23-41.165.320.15-
2019/121.7632.49-29.5122.52-27.995.090.18-
2019/111.33-33.06-29.0820.76-27.865.640.16-
2019/101.99-14.1510.9319.43-27.777.110.13-
2019/92.32-17.31-24.3717.44-30.546.870.08-
2019/82.860.08-21.6515.12-31.395.720.09-
2019/71.7549.49-36.7512.32-33.283.910.13-
2019/61.1719.04-17.5210.57-32.674.340.07-
2019/50.98-55.0-52.189.4-34.170.0N/A2018年5月營收主要來自於電器產品與COPPER CHEF系列產品的貢獻,但2019年新品帶動業績幅度無法抵銷舊品的下滑速度
2019/42.1931.8-21.658.41-31.140.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)460.0-1.760-3.2804.04-51.6223.352.14-1.420-0.710-0.80
2022 (9)460.00.580-1.4608.35-27.6422.8634.08-0.5900.3400.260
2021 (8)460.0-1.060-0.74011.54-37.2117.05-38.74-0.360-0.50-0.480
2020 (7)46-2.130.20-96.01.04-78.0618.38-18.1327.830.360.91-68.840.52-83.230.09-96.19
2019 (6)47-4.085.00-51.464.74-40.922.45-28.1827.734.722.92-40.293.1-50.482.36-53.36
2018 (5)496.5210.30-44.328.02-60.4531.26-44.2326.48-2.224.89-56.536.26-40.325.06-40.96
2017 (4)460.018.5040.2620.2859.1856.0549.5927.08-5.4511.2554.3210.4939.878.5740.95
2016 (3)469.5213.19174.7912.74244.3237.47115.7228.64-0.037.29243.877.5211.26.08205.53
2015 (2)422.444.800.213.70-1.0717.3725.8728.6512.662.12-3.22.41-1.231.991.02
2014 (1)4104.7903.74013.8025.4302.1902.4401.970

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