玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)460.00.0-1.0151.67-559.09-0.78-69.57-11.43-2.55-65.58-259.150.64-3.03-31.91-7.86-140.02-131.77-61.80-88.13-125.55-72.4649.34-791.41-0.39-77.27-50.0-0.4651.58-560.0-77.4746.11-550.41-72.4649.34-791.414.42-217.69-50.50
24Q2 (19)460.00.0-2.09-487.04-354.35-0.46-31.4368.49-1.54-385.19-65.590.6611.86-40.5419.64-21.69-5.98-32.85-28.4243.37-143.03-443.57-665.28-0.22-46.6765.62-0.95-480.0-352.38-143.76-428.89-778.73-143.03-443.57-665.28-16.50-167.811.88
24Q1 (18)460.00.00.54151.43214.89-0.3535.1942.620.54130.68214.890.59-44.86-35.8725.0812.97-4.38-25.58-11.9514.4241.63193.32278.75-0.1537.546.430.25152.08219.0543.71198.11291.8841.63193.32278.75-15.52-212.9229.02
23Q4 (17)460.00.0-1.05-577.27-950.0-0.5422.86-245.95-1.76-147.89-403.451.0713.83-62.0622.20-10.27-27.0-22.8516.61-355.31-44.61-525.67-2759.62-0.247.69-196.0-0.48-580.0-1100.0-44.55-359.01-3400.0-44.61-525.67-2759.62-0.75-214.7237.45
23Q3 (16)460.00.00.22147.83100.0-0.7052.0524.73-0.7123.66-205.970.94-15.32-8.7424.7418.4350.58-27.4052.7739.6310.48156.07214.71-0.2659.3844.680.1147.62100.017.20205.13923.8110.48156.07214.712.6674.98-43.65
23Q2 (15)460.00.0-0.462.13-518.18-1.46-139.34-156.14-0.93-97.87-263.161.1120.65-54.6920.89-20.3628.24-58.01-94.08-477.21-18.6919.75-2496.15-0.64-128.57-156.0-0.210.0-520.0-16.3628.18-726.82-18.6919.75-2496.15-23.36-183.94-202.10
23Q1 (14)460.00.0-0.47-370.0-204.44-0.61-264.86-103.33-0.47-181.03-204.440.92-67.38-55.1226.23-13.7511.57-29.89-433.97-374.44-23.29-1392.95-337.17-0.28-212.0-115.38-0.21-425.0-200.0-22.78-1787.41-308.8-23.29-1392.95-337.1753.20-280.45-62.54
22Q4 (13)460.00.0-0.10-190.9152.380.37139.78254.170.58-13.43154.722.82173.79-6.9330.4185.09192.128.95119.72334.29-1.56-146.8554.910.25153.19308.33-0.04-180.055.561.35-19.64140.54-1.56-146.8554.9157.91-95.4538.31
22Q3 (12)460.00.00.110.010.0-0.93-63.1600.6717.54178.821.03-57.96-70.6616.430.86-25.42-45.39-351.64-4422.863.33326.92428.57-0.47-88.0-1275.00.050.025.01.68-35.63-19.233.33326.92428.57-19.23-37.78-76.58
22Q2 (11)460.00.00.11-75.56110.09-0.57-90.014.930.5726.67160.02.4519.5137.6416.29-30.7199.39-10.05-59.5253.410.78-92.06102.63-0.25-92.3134.210.05-76.19110.02.61-76.08108.050.78-92.06102.63-6.42119.37-57.50
22Q1 (10)460.00.00.45314.29221.43-0.30-25.0-330.770.45142.45221.432.05-32.34-36.3423.51125.843.16-6.30-64.92-301.929.82383.82383.74-0.13-8.33-230.00.21333.33250.010.91427.63235.699.82383.82383.74-23.012.15-12.50
21Q4 (9)460.00.0-0.21-310.0-114.69-0.240-111.48-1.06-24.71-630.03.03-13.68-16.5310.41-52.75-75.01-3.82-463.81-113.63-3.46-649.21-119.89-0.12-400.0-111.76-0.09-325.0-113.64-3.33-260.1-116.87-3.46-649.21-119.8941.75-100.4150.00
21Q3 (8)460.00.00.10109.17-73.680.00100.0-100.0-0.8510.5330.333.5197.19-37.4322.03169.65-25.621.05104.87-85.310.63102.12-76.050.04110.53-90.00.04108.0-76.472.08106.41-66.120.63102.12-76.0526.23-384.70-257.69
21Q2 (7)460.00.0-1.09-878.5755.14-0.67-615.3872.2-0.95-778.5740.251.78-44.72-67.468.17-64.15-38.01-21.57-791.35-16.97-29.70-1563.05-44.88-0.38-480.062.38-0.5-933.3354.95-32.44-1098.15-76.3-29.70-1563.05-44.88-28.00-484.39-354.58
21Q1 (6)460.00.00.14-90.21-82.50.13-93.78-85.390.14-30.0-82.53.22-11.29-12.2622.79-45.28-31.463.12-88.87-77.312.03-88.33-80.080.1-90.2-80.00.06-90.91-83.783.25-83.54-74.472.03-88.33-80.08-23.2993.06112.11
20Q4 (5)460.0-2.131.43276.32169.812.09318.068.550.20116.39-96.03.63-35.29-27.5441.6540.6144.2728.03292.0395.617.40561.6232.71.02155.041.670.66288.24164.019.74221.5150.1917.40561.6232.7--0.00
20Q3 (4)460.00.00.38115.640.00.50120.750.0-1.2223.270.05.612.560.029.62124.730.07.15138.770.02.63112.830.00.4139.60.00.17115.320.06.14133.370.02.63112.830.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)460.00.0-2.43-403.750.0-2.41-370.790.0-1.59-298.750.05.4749.050.013.18-60.360.0-18.44-234.110.0-20.50-301.180.0-1.01-302.00.0-1.11-400.00.0-18.40-244.540.0-20.50-301.180.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)46-2.130.00.8050.940.00.89-28.230.00.80-84.00.03.67-26.750.033.2515.170.013.75-4.050.010.1994.840.00.5-30.560.00.3748.00.012.7361.340.010.1994.840.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)470.00.00.530.00.01.240.00.05.000.00.05.010.00.028.870.00.014.330.00.05.230.00.00.720.00.00.250.00.07.890.00.05.230.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.4219.0230.242.66-26.721.01N/A-
2024/100.3547.962.862.24-32.240.82N/A-
2024/90.244.67-39.71.89-36.270.630.41-
2024/80.2333.23-3.551.66-35.750.640.4-
2024/70.17-31.39-44.921.43-38.990.580.45-
2024/60.2558.09-18.641.26-38.080.660.27-
2024/50.16-39.47-51.431.01-41.520.590.31因全球通膨及經濟需求疲軟導致市場需求下降影響所致
2024/40.2652.97-46.340.85-39.240.560.32-
2024/30.1730.2-68.830.59-35.510.590.1因全球通膨及經濟需求疲軟導致市場需求下降影響所致
2024/20.13-55.76-29.850.4212.570.830.07-
2024/10.29-27.3453.720.2953.721.020.06去年受農曆新年工作天數減少影響所致
2023/120.426.17-36.464.04-51.621.070.03歐美地區通貨膨脹和消費者物價指數年增率仍屬偏高,客戶自身庫存去化緩慢所致
2023/110.32-5.99-72.183.63-52.881.060.03歐美地區通貨膨脹和消費者物價指數年增率仍屬偏高,客戶自身庫存去化緩慢所致
2023/100.34-13.26-66.93.31-49.480.970.03歐美地區通貨膨脹和消費者物價指數年增率仍屬偏高,客戶自身庫存去化緩慢所致
2023/90.3967.4253.312.97-46.230.940.06歐美地區通貨膨脹和消費者物價指數年增率仍屬偏高,客戶自身庫存去化緩慢所致
2023/80.24-23.916.472.58-51.080.850.07歐美地區通貨膨脹和消費者物價指數年增率仍屬偏高,客戶自身庫存去化緩慢所致
2023/70.311.33-43.872.34-53.60.940.06歐美地區通貨膨脹和消費者物價指數年增率仍屬偏高,客戶自身庫存去化緩慢所致
2023/60.3-5.61-51.642.03-54.791.110.09歐美地區通貨膨脹和消費者物價指數年增率仍屬偏高,客戶自身庫存去化緩慢所致
2023/50.32-33.14-68.21.73-55.31.350.07歐美地區通貨膨脹和消費者物價指數年增率仍屬偏高,客戶自身庫存去化緩慢所致
2023/40.48-11.15-39.341.4-50.71.210.08因全球通膨及經濟需求疲軟影響,客戶延單所致
2023/30.54193.09-18.430.92-55.120.920.28因全球通膨及經濟需求疲軟影響,客戶延單所致
2023/20.19-3.04-8.490.38-72.781.010.26因全球通膨及經濟需求疲軟影響,客戶延單所致
2023/10.19-69.97-83.810.19-83.811.980.13受農曆新年工作天數減少影響所致
2022/120.64-44.75-38.898.35-27.692.820.02-
2022/111.1511.8413.647.71-26.582.440.02-
2022/101.03301.835.676.55-30.891.510.04-
2022/90.2616.27-71.995.52-35.091.030.09因美國通膨及大陸新冠肺炎清零政策雙重影響
2022/80.22-59.88-85.385.27-30.631.40.06因美國通膨及大陸新冠肺炎清零政策雙重影響
2022/70.55-12.7-48.985.05-17.032.20.04-
2022/60.63-37.93136.924.5-10.142.440.11業績成長
2022/51.0227.548.973.86-18.412.480.11-
2022/40.819.4637.662.85-25.121.670.16-
2022/30.67228.8217.072.05-36.392.050.14-
2022/20.2-82.84-78.771.39-47.852.430.12中美貿易戰影響、海運塞港未見緩解、適逢農曆春節長假出貨天數減少所致
2022/11.1813.33-30.481.18-30.483.240.09-
2021/121.042.73-11.611.54-37.33.030.29-
2021/111.023.99-29.1510.5-39.062.910.3-
2021/100.986.47-7.069.49-39.963.40.26-
2021/90.92-39.29-56.038.51-42.33.510.2因運費、關稅及原材料上漲等因素影響客戶對舊產品下單意願
2021/81.5139.98-32.57.59-40.042.860.25-
2021/71.08305.36-16.336.08-41.662.280.31-
2021/60.27-71.45-28.025.0-45.241.780.23-
2021/50.9361.1-58.334.74-45.962.080.2因去年度銷售口罩約0.95億和烘衣架約0.22億,加上目前運費及原材料上漲等因素影響客戶下單意願
2021/40.581.59-79.783.8-41.722.10.19因為去年度口罩銷售約1.33億,加上目前運費及原材料上漲等影響客戶下單意願
2021/30.57-40.38-42.883.23-11.993.230.18-
2021/20.96-43.82117.032.66-0.453.840.15因去年新冠肺炎疫情及客戶工廠停工等影響,出貨減少所致
2021/11.744.13-23.661.7-23.664.310.13-
2020/121.18-17.67-33.1218.41-18.253.660.31-0.51.04-
2020/111.4336.427.6217.23-16.984.570.251.971.54-
2020/101.05-49.62-47.1915.8-18.675.370.21-
2020/92.09-6.81-10.0114.75-15.425.610.17-
2020/82.2473.52-20.1412.66-16.243.90.25-
2020/71.29248.72-26.3310.43-15.363.90.25-
2020/60.37-83.47-68.419.14-13.545.470.15本月因前幾月銷售的產品規格認知差異而產生與客戶貨款之爭議,產生銷貨折讓0.87億所致。
2020/52.24-21.84127.488.77-6.76.10.14因防疫新產品銷量增加
2020/42.86187.1130.976.53-22.394.30.2-
2020/31.0126.53-39.873.67-41.133.670.22-
2020/20.44-80.24-43.642.67-41.594.430.18-
2020/12.2326.27-41.162.23-41.160.0N/A-
2019/121.7632.49-29.5122.52-27.990.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)460.0-1.760-3.2804.04-51.6223.352.14-35.190-19.820-1.420-0.710-0.80
2022 (9)460.00.580-1.4608.35-27.6422.8634.08-7.0402.530-0.5900.3400.260
2021 (8)460.0-1.060-0.74011.54-37.2117.05-38.74-3.140-4.730-0.360-0.50-0.480
2020 (7)46-2.130.20-96.01.04-78.0618.38-18.1327.830.364.97-61.770.17-98.40.91-68.840.52-83.230.09-96.19
2019 (6)47-4.085.00-51.464.74-40.922.45-28.1827.734.7213.00-16.8310.62-35.642.92-40.293.1-50.482.36-53.36
2018 (5)496.5210.30-44.328.02-60.4531.26-44.2326.48-2.2215.63-22.0816.508.064.89-56.536.26-40.325.06-40.96
2017 (4)460.018.5040.2620.2859.1856.0549.5927.08-5.4520.063.1415.27-5.3911.2554.3210.4939.878.5740.95
2016 (3)469.5213.19174.7912.74244.3237.47115.7228.64-0.0319.4559.316.1440.597.29243.877.5211.26.08205.53
2015 (2)422.444.800.213.70-1.0717.3725.8728.6512.6612.21-23.0111.48-19.662.12-3.22.41-1.231.991.02
2014 (1)4104.7903.74013.8025.43015.86014.2902.1902.4401.970

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