玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.861.497.6717.8510.025.6N/A-
2024/91.84-3.538.7515.9910.35.60.99-
2024/81.92.4912.9114.1510.515.570.99-
2024/71.862.869.2712.2510.145.41.02-
2024/61.814.0111.0310.3910.35.271.02-
2024/51.740.547.768.5810.155.191.04-
2024/41.73-0.1311.856.8510.774.981.08-
2024/31.7313.169.165.1210.415.121.05-
2024/21.53-18.076.283.3911.055.151.05-
2024/11.875.9215.291.8715.295.321.02-
2023/121.764.015.2219.686.825.181.05-
2023/111.69-2.213.5917.926.985.111.07-
2023/101.732.511.8516.236.335.111.07-
2023/91.690.1510.7914.495.715.071.02-
2023/81.69-0.818.4912.815.075.011.03-
2023/71.74.522.3111.124.574.941.05-
2023/61.630.951.369.424.994.781.05-
2023/51.614.367.067.795.784.741.06-
2023/41.54-2.542.76.185.464.571.1-
2023/31.5810.176.424.646.44.641.05-
2023/21.44-11.1329.083.066.44.731.03-
2023/11.62-3.33-7.961.62-7.964.781.01-
2022/121.6712.2912.1818.426.544.711.0-
2022/111.49-3.74.7116.756.014.561.03-
2022/101.551.536.3215.266.134.631.02-
2022/91.52-1.914.6713.716.114.740.95-
2022/81.55-6.462.6712.196.34.820.93-
2022/71.663.544.7810.636.854.770.94-
2022/61.66.6210.068.977.244.610.93-
2022/51.50.128.937.376.644.50.95-
2022/41.50.989.195.866.074.11.04-
2022/31.4933.6310.54.365.044.360.93-
2022/21.11-36.63-7.762.872.424.360.93-
2022/11.7617.8210.121.7610.124.670.87-
2021/121.494.837.8317.299.234.370.91-
2021/111.42-2.239.5915.89.374.330.92-
2021/101.46-0.037.0714.389.354.420.9-
2021/91.46-3.7912.7312.929.614.550.8-
2021/81.51-4.5412.9311.469.234.560.8-
2021/71.598.7615.569.958.654.420.82-
2021/61.465.538.838.377.434.220.87-
2021/51.380.364.046.917.144.10.89-
2021/41.382.188.785.537.943.930.93-
2021/31.3511.462.124.157.674.150.86-
2021/21.21-24.33-3.842.8110.634.190.85-
2021/11.615.3924.851.624.854.280.83-
2020/121.386.5810.5815.8313.014.040.87-
2020/111.3-4.4810.2714.4513.243.950.89-
2020/101.365.2512.6713.1513.553.990.88-
2020/91.29-3.626.1311.7913.654.00.88-
2020/81.34-2.3213.1910.514.654.050.87-
2020/71.372.4213.729.1614.914.040.87-
2020/61.340.8916.067.7915.123.930.84-
2020/51.334.9316.236.4514.923.910.85-
2020/41.27-4.0614.475.1214.593.840.86-
2020/31.324.9419.713.8514.633.850.0-
2020/21.26-1.7536.772.5412.150.0N/A-
2020/11.280.0-4.691.28-4.690.0N/A-
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0N/A
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0N/A
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.872023/11.622022/11.762021/11.62020/11.28
2024/21.532023/21.442022/21.112021/21.212020/21.26
2024/31.732023/31.582022/31.492021/31.352020/31.32
2024/41.732023/41.542022/41.52021/41.382020/41.27
2024/51.742023/51.612022/51.52021/51.382020/51.33
2024/61.812023/61.632022/61.62021/61.462020/61.34
2024/71.862023/71.72022/71.662021/71.592020/71.37
2024/81.92023/81.692022/81.552021/81.512020/81.34
2024/91.842023/91.692022/91.522021/91.462020/91.29
2024/101.862023/101.732022/101.552021/101.462020/101.36
N/AN/A2023/111.692022/111.492021/111.422020/111.3
N/AN/A2023/121.762022/121.672021/121.492020/121.38
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.59%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.0566.6725.0
24Q2 (19)0.03-50.00.0
24Q1 (18)0.0650.020.0
23Q4 (17)0.040.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.0433.3333.33
23Q2 (15)0.03-40.050.0
23Q1 (14)0.0525.00.0
22Q4 (13)0.0433.330.0
22Q3 (12)0.0350.0-25.0
22Q2 (11)0.02-60.00.0
22Q1 (10)0.0525.00.0
21Q4 (9)0.040.00.0
21Q3 (8)0.04100.033.33
21Q2 (7)0.02-60.00.0
21Q1 (6)0.0525.00
20Q4 (5)0.0433.330
20Q3 (4)0.0350.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.0200.0

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