玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.871.153.4228.5714.988.5N/A-
2024/92.841.8213.4225.716.438.682.04-
2024/82.79-8.56-0.5222.8616.828.622.06-
2024/73.059.8314.5620.0719.728.762.02-
2024/62.78-5.3112.3517.0120.78.661.87-
2024/52.93-0.5525.2714.2422.478.891.82-
2024/42.95-1.7627.411.321.778.431.92-
2024/33.021.4714.128.3519.898.351.77-
2024/22.47-13.979.465.3523.48.411.75-
2024/12.87-6.1138.582.8738.588.731.69-
2023/123.069.4220.5830.7140.028.641.35-
2023/112.80.730.4927.6442.568.081.45-
2023/102.7810.9329.6324.8544.078.091.45-
2023/92.5-10.726.522.0746.127.971.35-
2023/82.85.334.0619.5649.087.941.35-
2023/72.667.746.8916.7651.927.481.44主要係客戶需求增加所致
2023/62.475.5637.0114.152.917.131.33主要係客戶需求增加所致
2023/52.341.1420.1611.6256.787.291.3主要係客戶需求增加所致
2023/42.32-12.090.29.2869.857.211.32主要係客戶需求增加所致
2023/32.6316.578.796.9664.026.961.2主要係客戶需求增加所致
2023/22.268.9167.284.3356.186.871.21主要係客戶需求增加所致
2023/12.07-18.345.652.0745.656.761.23-
2022/122.5418.4144.5821.9353.756.831.1主要係客戶需求增加所致
2022/112.140.0388.4519.3955.046.271.2主要係客戶需求增加所致
2022/102.148.2558.3317.2551.76.221.21主要係客戶需求增加所致
2022/91.98-5.3648.9715.150.85.881.14主要係客戶需求增加所致
2022/82.0915.3876.6713.1251.085.711.18主要係客戶需求增加所致
2022/71.810.4669.0311.0347.045.571.21主要係客戶需求增加所致
2022/61.8-7.4158.349.2243.384.971.23主要係客戶需求增加所致
2022/51.9560.181.497.4140.154.641.32主要係客戶需求增加及子公司蘇州豐航精密金屬有限公司受上海與昆山封城停工影響而遞延出貨所致
2022/41.22-17.2835.75.4629.624.041.51-
2022/31.479.015.994.2527.974.251.43-
2022/21.35-5.1635.42.7735.394.531.34-
2022/11.42-18.9135.391.4235.394.321.41-
2021/121.7654.349.9714.26-16.34.251.39-
2021/111.14-15.9410.9312.51-19.023.821.55-
2021/101.351.8565.0211.37-21.153.871.53客戶需求增加
2021/91.3312.2355.8710.01-26.343.591.46客戶需求增加
2021/81.1810.390.518.69-31.853.41.55-
2021/71.07-5.88-3.147.5-35.143.291.6-
2021/61.146.11-12.676.43-38.533.111.62-
2021/51.0719.7-7.235.29-42.223.241.56-
2021/40.9-29.29-38.534.22-47.283.161.59-
2021/31.2727.24-41.173.32-49.243.321.43-
2021/21.0-5.17-53.462.05-53.213.651.31因受新冠肺炎疫情影響
2021/11.05-34.13-52.961.05-52.963.671.3因受新冠肺炎疫情影響
2020/121.655.68-30.1317.04-39.493.441.49-
2020/111.0325.03-56.4115.44-40.312.71.9因受新冠肺炎疫情影響
2020/100.82-3.79-66.5714.42-38.72.851.8因受新冠肺炎疫情影響
2020/90.85-27.62-66.6613.6-35.463.141.96因受新冠肺炎疫情影響
2020/81.186.36-52.2912.75-31.153.591.71因受新冠肺炎疫情影響
2020/71.11-15.14-56.4711.57-27.893.571.72因受新冠肺炎疫情影響
2020/61.3112.72-44.3410.46-22.513.921.78-
2020/51.16-20.67-54.69.15-17.914.771.46因受新冠肺炎疫情影響
2020/41.46-32.33-35.168.0-7.045.761.21-
2020/32.160.653.816.542.926.541.03-
2020/22.14-4.151.234.382.496.661.01-
2020/12.24-2.153.732.243.736.870.98-
2019/122.29-2.86-1.3328.1623.540.0N/A-
2019/112.35-4.110.0225.8826.360.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.872023/12.072022/11.422021/11.052020/12.24
2024/22.472023/22.262022/21.352021/21.02020/22.14
2024/33.02023/32.632022/31.472021/31.272020/32.16
2024/42.952023/42.322022/41.222021/40.92020/41.46
2024/52.932023/52.342022/51.952021/51.072020/51.16
2024/62.782023/62.472022/61.82021/61.142020/61.31
2024/73.052023/72.662022/71.812021/71.072020/71.11
2024/82.792023/82.82022/82.092021/81.182020/81.18
2024/92.842023/92.52022/91.982021/91.332020/90.85
2024/102.872023/102.782022/102.142021/101.352020/100.82
N/AN/A2023/112.82022/112.142021/111.142020/111.03
N/AN/A2023/123.062022/122.542021/121.762020/121.6
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.59%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.365.8889.47
24Q2 (19)0.3436.0142.86
24Q1 (18)0.2519.0547.06
23Q4 (17)0.2110.5316.67
23Q3 (16)0.1935.71171.43
23Q2 (15)0.14-17.6575.0
23Q1 (14)0.17-5.56466.67
22Q4 (13)0.18157.14800.0
22Q3 (12)0.07-12.5133.33
22Q2 (11)0.08166.6733.33
22Q1 (10)0.0350.050.0
21Q4 (9)0.02-33.33-85.71
21Q3 (8)0.03-50.0-70.0
21Q2 (7)0.06200.0200.0
21Q1 (6)0.02-85.710
20Q4 (5)0.1440.00
20Q3 (4)0.1400.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.0200.0

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