玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1020.64-5.5732.77187.9429.1166.66N/A-
2024/921.85-9.5936.7167.328.6868.280.52-
2024/824.178.6454.25145.4527.5567.530.52本月營收較去年同期增加,主係客戶需求較去年同期增加。
2024/722.255.4343.63121.2823.362.320.57-
2024/621.111.2840.0599.0319.556.140.56-
2024/518.9617.9627.3177.9214.9351.40.61-
2024/416.07-1.7610.4558.9611.4444.030.71-
2024/316.3641.215.9442.8911.8242.890.71-
2024/211.59-22.4-4.3926.5215.7942.20.72-
2024/114.93-4.7238.4814.9338.4847.620.64-
2023/1215.67-7.867.73178.24-6.5548.230.58-
2023/1117.019.462.94162.57-7.7348.540.58-
2023/1015.54-2.773.26145.56-8.8447.20.59-
2023/915.992.0-10.93130.01-10.147.150.71-
2023/815.671.17-5.57114.03-9.9846.230.72-
2023/715.492.8-5.8698.36-10.6545.450.74-
2023/615.071.16-10.8882.87-11.4944.520.71-
2023/514.892.34-9.5767.8-11.6244.890.7-
2023/414.55-5.77-5.2352.9-12.1842.120.75-
2023/315.4427.42-12.5138.35-14.5638.350.91-
2023/212.1212.399.1322.9-15.8937.450.93-
2023/110.78-25.87-33.1210.78-33.1241.860.83-
2022/1214.55-11.95-26.84190.75-9.0646.130.73-
2022/1116.539.79-20.32176.2-7.249.520.68-
2022/1015.05-16.14-4.99159.68-5.5949.60.68-
2022/917.958.13-3.01144.62-5.6551.00.75-
2022/816.60.86-8.56126.68-6.0149.960.76-
2022/716.46-2.67-3.63110.08-5.6249.830.77-
2022/616.912.65-10.693.62-5.9648.740.8-
2022/516.477.24-1.2476.72-4.8749.480.78-
2022/415.36-13.01-7.9560.25-5.8244.120.88-
2022/317.6658.95-0.8944.89-5.0644.890.91-
2022/211.11-31.12-19.8327.23-7.5947.120.86-
2022/116.13-18.913.2716.133.2756.750.72-
2021/1219.89-4.1128.6209.7733.0956.470.68-
2021/1120.7430.9248.91189.8833.5855.090.7-
2021/1015.84-14.398.91169.1431.9152.50.74-
2021/918.511.9419.45153.334.8653.730.71-
2021/818.156.320.68134.7937.2954.140.7-
2021/717.08-9.7213.15116.6440.2952.670.72-
2021/618.9113.428.9599.5646.3152.280.61-
2021/516.68-0.0336.7480.6551.0851.180.63本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係因客戶需求上升。
2021/416.69-6.3339.6363.9755.3348.350.66本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係因客戶需求提升。
2021/317.8128.5755.3147.2861.7547.280.63本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係因客戶需求提升。
2021/213.86-11.2780.3229.4765.9144.930.66本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係因客戶需求提升及去年受疫情影響復工,造成同期基期較低。
2021/115.610.9754.9315.6154.9345.010.66本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係因客戶需求提升及去年同期適逢農曆新年假期,出貨天數減少所致。
2020/1215.4611.0317.63157.61-13.043.940.58-
2020/1113.93-4.25-0.01142.14-15.443.970.58-
2020/1014.55-6.115.37128.22-16.7945.080.57-
2020/915.492.995.62113.67-19.6645.620.57-
2020/815.04-0.32-13.998.18-22.5844.80.58-
2020/715.092.88-14.1883.14-23.9741.950.62-
2020/614.6720.24-13.7768.05-25.8538.810.59-
2020/512.22.07-29.7953.38-28.5935.620.65-
2020/411.954.17-26.7141.18-28.2331.10.74-
2020/311.4749.27-23.9929.23-28.8429.230.82-
2020/27.68-23.76-30.4717.76-31.6530.910.77-
2020/110.08-23.33-32.5210.08-32.5237.160.64-
2019/1213.15-5.62-18.4181.18-5.060.0N/A-
2019/1113.9310.49-15.54168.03-3.830.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/114.932023/110.782022/116.132021/115.612020/110.08
2024/211.592023/212.122022/211.112021/213.862020/27.68
2024/316.362023/315.442022/317.662021/317.812020/311.47
2024/416.072023/414.552022/415.362021/416.692020/411.95
2024/518.962023/514.892022/516.472021/516.682020/512.2
2024/621.12023/615.072022/616.912021/618.912020/614.67
2024/722.252023/715.492022/716.462021/717.082020/715.09
2024/824.172023/815.672022/816.62021/818.152020/815.04
2024/921.852023/915.992022/917.952021/918.512020/915.49
2024/1020.642023/1015.542022/1015.052021/1015.842020/1014.55
N/AN/A2023/1117.012022/1116.532021/1120.742020/1113.93
N/AN/A2023/1215.672022/1214.552021/1219.892020/1215.46
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 14.22%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.971.7913.75
24Q2 (19)3.9-10.1427.45
24Q1 (18)4.3410.1542.3
23Q4 (17)3.9412.8916.22
23Q3 (16)3.4914.05-15.09
23Q2 (15)3.060.33-30.61
23Q1 (14)3.05-10.03-23.56
22Q4 (13)3.39-17.52-20.05
22Q3 (12)4.11-6.8-18.29
22Q2 (11)4.4110.5337.38
22Q1 (10)3.99-5.983.03
21Q4 (9)4.24-15.71171.79
21Q3 (8)5.0356.7341.23
21Q2 (7)3.2147.25256.67
21Q1 (6)2.1839.74172.5
20Q4 (5)1.5636.84122.86
20Q3 (4)1.1426.670.0
20Q2 (3)0.912.50.0
20Q1 (2)0.814.290.0
19Q4 (1)0.70.00.0

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